I’ll have a PME for Waiver Wire pickups/Injuries/Recap on Monday morning, until then check out the Monday Night Football DraftKings Picks & Props up on Mayo Media Network NOWWWW!!!!!! Oh, also, there’s a quality golf event this week too. Rasa and I will have the breakdown Monday night, if you’re into that kinda thing.
If you used the free trial at Run The Sims this week and wanted to sign up, here’s 10% off every membership level. The DIY Single game simulator for all showdown contests is pretty legit if you’re making a bunch of lineups.
Or get in on the prop game at Prize Picks. Use code “MMN” when you sign up and get up to $100 on a deposit match.
Here’s what I’m playing for MNF…
I really like that Derek Carr completion prop at all places btw. And, instead of not checking with Run The Sims this time, I DID!!!! And it’s nice to have a smart computer agree with me for once.
Week 4 Injuries (new and old)
Week 4 RB Snaps
I don’t have all the games yet, but an update will come Monday morning once all the info is available. Until then, here’s what I got. (NOW UPDATED)
Shout out to Cody, who hasn’t got a UFC incorrect in two weeks. That’s yields some nice winnings for him, and the viewers…
Catch Cody’s recap (OUT NOW) and the Dog or Pass Podcast every Wednesday on MMN.
Also., big shout out to T Fed who was a Cam Tringale par or better on 18 away from $100K. 40K is no joke however.
The Shriners field (it’s a good one btw) is now loaded on Fantasy National if you want get a head start on research.
Week 4 Player Notes by Team
Terry McLaurin produced a career-high 30.7 DK points in Week 2. We put him in the Galaxy Brain portion of the newsletter this week … bests that number with 33.3 DK points
Cordarrelle Patterson (a former first round pick) has now matched a career season in terms of TD receptions (4).
Kyle Pitts saw a career high 9 targets and hardly improved his yards per game (rose from 46.3 to a 47.3)
Points by week for HOU: 37 – 21 – 9 – 0
Brandin Cooks accounted for over 54% of HOU receiving yards … and isn’t going to be a top 40 receiver for the week
Dawson Knox has a TD catch in 3 straight games … Stefon Diggs hasn’t done that with Buffalo … hell, he hasn’t done it since 2018, it’s hard!
Zack Moss has scored in all 3 of his games this season (missed Week 1)
3 different Lion players had 12+ DK points as a pass catcher… Swift, Williams and Hockenson did not get there (Cephus, St. Brown and Raymond did!)
Darnell Mooney was highlighted in the Saturday newsletter and paid off with his first 100 yard game (125)
Sam Darnold’s best season with the Jets: 3,024 passing yards and 19 passing TDs
He’s on pace to pass both of those number by halftime of Week 11
Darnold is the ONLY active QB to have consecutive games with multiple rush TD AND 20 pass attempts … leaves the Jets and he’s historically versatile!
Dak Prescott has thrown at least 3 TD passes in 5 of his past 6 fully healthy games
Last 2 games, CeeDee Lamb (totals): 5 catches, 8 targets, 79 yards (he went over 79 yards in each of the first 2 weeks)
Michael Pittman leads the Colts in targets for a 3rd straight game (10.7 targets per game over that stretch)
Jonathan Taylor past 2 games: 6.4 yards per carry (first 2 games: 3.3)
Mike Gesicki in Brissett’s 2 starts: 15 catches, 18 targets, 143 yards, TD (Tua’s 2 starts: 3 catches, 9 targets, 41 yards, 0 TD)
Kareem Hunt’s current 17 game pace: 1,509 total yards and 13 touchdowns.
Adam Thielen is great at scoring TDs, but it’s a thin play if he doesn’t score
Under 57 yards per game this season (17-game pace: 965)
For the 2nd time in 3 weeks, Saquon Barkley has a 40+ yard touch (54-yard TD catch)
He had one such touch in the first 4 games of his monster rookie season
Upcoming opponents: at DAL, vs LAR, vs CAR, at KC, vs LV
Alvin Kamara: bellcow, but that ultimately hurts his value (targets are worth more than rushes).
Entering this season, he never had a first half with more than 12 carries. He’s had at least 13 in 3 of 4 weeks this season (14 in Week 4)
Derrick Henry keeps cooking, but the next month or so might be underwhelming if this TEN team doesn’t get their shit together
Should be great next week, but after that … vs BUF, vs KC, at IND, at LAR (will be a decent ‘dog in 3 of those 4 games)
Michael Carter was the only Jet with more than 4 carries (only 38 yards on 13 carries, but the role is there at least)
Jamison Crowder debuts and leads the team in catches (7) and targets (9)
At least 6 catches in 3 of his past 4 games. PPR consistency, even in a brutal offense
Patrick Mahomes throws 5+ TD passes for the 4th time of his career (moves into a tie for 9th all-time, tied with Favre and Wilson)
Jalen Hurts is on pace for 4,960 passing yards and 960 rushing yards
At least 10 targets in 10 of 12 games for Diontae Johnson
League-wide, targets on balls thrown 10 or fewer yards are worth roughly 1.6 DK points each. So lock in 10+ targets and we are talking at basically a 16-point floor
Look at the late season schedule: Chargers, Bengals, Ravens, Vikings, Titans, Chiefs (Weeks 12-16) … they are going to have to throw to keep up, those targets are as safe as they come!
AJ Dillon gains 81 yards to Aaron Jones’ 48 (both had 15 carries)
Dillon had a total of 15 carries for the season prior to Week 4
AJ Green has a TD over 110 receiving yards in 3 straight games
Old man Green had 3 games with a 20+ yard catch last season … he’s 4/4 this season
James Conner with multiple rushing TD and 40+ rush yards in consecutive games
Only RBs to do that last season: Henry, Taylor, Chubb, Cook, McCaffrey and … Adrian Peterson of all people
Van Jefferson has 10 catches and 12 targets over the past 2 weeks (first 2 weeks: 3 catches on 6 targets)
Seahawks: TD catch in 3 of 4 games this season for DK Metcalf )exactly how he started last season)
Deebo Samuel has seen at least 8 targets in every game, has a 40+ yard catch in 3 of 4 games (7+ touches in every game)
George Kittle is AVERAGING 10 targets over the past 2 weeks (saw a TOTAL of 9 in his first 2 games)
Dropped a 44-yard TD in Week 3 … catch that and Marquise Brown is over 19 DK points in all 4 weeks this season
Catch that and he’d have 10 TD catches in his past 10 regular season games
Latavius Murray gets 78% of the BAL RB carries
Over 12 DK points in 3 of 4 games for Noah Fant
Rare stability at the position. But Lock threw for 113 yards on his 21 attempts (and Fant’s TD came from Bridgewater) … TE hell continues to exist for just about everyone!
If those notes aren’t good enough, my friend, and one time frequent podcast collaborator, JJ Zachariason, (before he started working at [REDACTED]) releases a solid thread every Sunday evening. You probably saw it already, but in case…
JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQBLike I said earlier today: my Internet has been out. I’ve been using my phone as a hot spot. Won’t be able to do my weekly data thread as we enter Sunday night’s game as a result. Sorry!