Farmers Finals Bets, Weather, DK Notes & Mayo's Twitter HACKED
Twitter HACKED
If you didn’t know ThePME was HACKED on Twitter Tuesday afternoon. Some crypto scammer got in, changed my password and started sending out phishing links. Fortunately, it does appear like that all may be over. The updated profile changes are now long, outside of the shit coin posts they were pumping, and the handle has even been changed back to ThePME.
So, hopefully, by the end of evening I’ll have it back under my control. If you got a DM from my account DO NOT CLICK on the link. Strangely, Geoff and Cust were far more freakout out and I have been: And we lead the Spread Picks Show with it. ENJOY!!!!
NFL Championship Games Spread Picks | Mayo Twitter HACKED | Cust Corner: Fast Food Discounts
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FARMERS PICKS (IT STARTS WEDNESDAY FYI!!!!!!)
WINNER
Ludvig +1200
Zalatoris +2800
Jaeger +6600
Thorbjornsen +7500 (8 Places)
Norgaard +8000 (5 Places)
BOMBS
Moore +10000 (5 Places)
Potgieter 275 (10 Places)
Valimaki +125000 (8 Places)
Reiter +400000 (5 Places) Also, Top 10
Ludvig Aberg 10 — Could have won in his first appearance a year ago if the putter had been slightly more cooperative. Alas, I’m not one to bet the favorite, but I actually got value on him considering he’s down to 9/1 in most places. There’s no course on earth Bergs game seems better suited for.
Will Zalatoris 28 — Willy Z has already flashed some peak rounds in the early part of the season, but it’s always tough for him to win a birdiefest when his putter just can’t sustain the required fire for four rounds. Now at a stiffer test, where his T2G can do the damage, he’s plenty live for his second career win. Just don’t miss too many 5-footers and he should be fine.
Stephen Jaeger 66 — Beyond his T3 here last year, he also posted a T3 at the Mexico Open, a course where there’s been a shocking amount of cross over, then won in Houston. Another driver heavy, difficult course which relies on scrambling to keep in contention. Hopefully he’s worked his case of the LEFTS out since Hawaii.
Michael Thorbjornsen — No course history winners have happened (like last year!) but it’s fairly infrequent. Yet, when you’ll looking for the winning skill set it’s Thorbjornsen: 6th in driving distance, 16th in 200+ proximity, and 23rd around the green over the past 24 rounds while gaining 2.3+ SG: PUTT in four of his past 8 starts. The 23-year-old’s stats are looking like a slightly lesser version of 2017 Jon Rahm’s stats when he picked up his first win in his first Torrey appearance.
Niklas Norgaard 80 — Basically any bomber is good in book this week, and the big hitting Dane is playing better than most of them. Top five in driving on DPTW the last two years, Norgaard earned his my exceptional play overseas in 2024, and is fresh off a T4 in his season debut in Dubai last week. I’d think a random euro, debutant at the course couldn’t win, but I just saw it a year ago. While another Dane bomber came 2nd in their debut.
Taylor Moore 100 — On paper, Moore has the required skill set for Torrey. He bombs it, is masterful around the greens, and putts well most of the time. He rebounded nicely with a Top 10 at PGA West after missing the cut at Sony and back at a driver heavy tournament he should contend for another Top 10.
Aldrich Potgieter 275 — If I’m going to preach bombers, it’d be odd if I didn’t have the 20-year-old South African — the player with the most driving distance in the field. He became youngest winner in the history of the Korn Ferry Tour a year ago and posted consecutive Top 10s in Australia and at the Nedbank in December. It’s been bad so far in two starts on PGA this year, but whatever, this is a better fit.
Sami Valimaki 1250 — Wacky Valimaki isn’t a bomber like the rest of the long shots, but this number is just soooooooo big I couldn’t pass it up. He’s decently long, had the Mexico crossover I like (T2; 2024), and has generally played better at more difficult course over his career. Just come 7th and I’m good with this outcome.
Charles Reiter 4000 — Honestly have never heard of this guy. But if Sky is on him, why not come along of the ride, right?
FUN COUPONS!!!!
I made some extra bets this week to have some fun
TO MAKE THE CUT PARLAY +550
This is one of the events on TOUR with the strongest course history predictive value year-over-year
Pendrith/Mav/Finau/Greyserman/Willl Z/Day
TOP 40 PARLAY
I played as both a 4-way parlay, and combos of three each. The 4-way one pays like 4500/1.
Valimaki/Knapp/Potgieter/Widing
WEATHER
Absolutely nothing to worry about in terms of weather for the first three rounds. Temperate, not wind. Looks like Saturday afternoon may have some fun in store for us. If you’re looking for live betting opportunities, Jaeger and Ryder have shit down their leg with big leads making the turn inn the final round the past few years.
WIND TOWER: Torrey Pines Gliderport
DRAFTKINGS PICKS
Tambo and I talked through different lineup strategies on the show Wednesday but I’m really leaning into Showdown this week. Just play guys from the north course each of the first two rounds.
Here are the North Course Players on Wednesday
Here’s who I mixed in at the bottom of the pricing to go with the studs. So easy to do at Fantasy National. You should really check it out if you don’t have a membership tbh