Week 9 Picks, Injuries, Player Notes
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Week 9 Injury Report
Last Updated: Saturday Morning
WATCH: Week 9 DRAFTKINGS PICKS
Running Back
Elijah Mitchell (ribs) Game Time Decision
Adrian Peterson SIGNED BY TITANS; IN
Christian McCaffrey (Hamstring) Activated from IR; Game Time Decision
Matt Rhule has said 40-50 snaps if he playsJosh Jacobs (chest) Likely IN
James Robinson (Heel) Game Time Decision
Chris Evans (hamstring) QUESTIONABLE
Latavius Murray (ankle) Likely OUT
Saquon Barkley (ankle) OUT
Damien Williams (knee) Likely OUT
Justin Jackson (Quad) OUT
Miles Sanders (ankle) Placed on IR
Jeff Wilson (knee) Could be Activated from IR Soon
Derrick Henry (foot) OUT FOR SEASON
Darrynton Evans OUT FOR SEASON
Tevin Coleman (hamstring) Missed Week 9
Wide Receiver
A.J. Brown (knee) Game Time Decision
Julio Jones (hamstring) IN
Rashod Bateman (groin) QUESTIONABLE
Amari Cooper (hamstring) Likely IN
CeeDee Lamb (ankle) Game Time Decision
Michael Gallup (Calf) Game Time Decision
Deebo Samuel (calf) Likely IN
Cole Beasley (ribs) Likely IN
Robert Woods (foot) Likely IN
AJ Green (COVID LIST) OUT
Davante Adams (COVID) IN
Marquez Valdez-Scanting (hamstring) Likely IN
Allen Lazard (COVID) IN
DeAndre Hopkins (Hamstring) Game Time Decision
Sterling Shepard (hamstring) OUT
Dante Pettis OUT
Kenny Golladay (knee) Game Time Decision
Jalen Reagor (ankle) Likely IN
Donovan Peoples-Jones (groin) QUESTIONABLE
Will Fuller (finger) OUT
Terrance Marshall (concussion) IN
Sammy Watkins (hamstring) Game Time Decision
Calvin Ridley (personal) Placed on Reserve LIST; OUT at Least 3 Weeks
Dyami Brown (knee) ON BYE
Antonio Brown (ankle) ON BYE
Curtis Samuel (groin) ON BYE
DeVante Parker (hamstring) OUT; Placed on IR
Odell Beckham Jr. (CUT) OUT
Henry Ruggs (Legal) CUT BY LV
DeSean Jackson CUT BY LAR
Michael Thomas (ankle) OUT FOR SEASON
TY Hilton (Concussion) Missed Week 9
Corey Davis (hip) Likely Missed Week 9
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford (back) Likely IN
Tua Tagovailoa (Finger) Game Time Decision
Kyler Murray (ankle) Game Time Decision
Sam Darnold (Concussion) Game Time Decision
Tyrod Taylor (hamstring) Likely to Start
Aaron Rodgers (COVID) OUT
Dak Prescott (calf) Likely IN
Taysom Hill (head) Likely IN, Will Not Start
Mike White (hand) Exited Game Week 9
Jameis Winston (knee) OUT FOR SEASON
Zach Wilson (knee) Missed Week 9
Tight End
George Kittle (calf) Likely IN
Noah Fant (COVID LIST) Likely OUT
Blake Jarwin (hip) OUT
Eric Ebron (hamstring) Likely OUT
Pharaoh Brown (thigh) OUT
Darren Waller (Ankle) Likely IN
Logan Thomas (hamstring) On IR; Likely back Week 10
Dawson Knox (broken hand) OUT; 1-3 weeks Time Table
Rob Gronkowski (Back) Exited Game; ON BYE
Robert Tonyan (knee) Likely OUT FOR SEASON
WEEK 9 RANKINGS
WATCH: WEEK 9 RANKINGS BREAKDOWN
LAST UPDATED: Saturday Morning
RB https://bit.ly/21W9RBs
WR https://bit.ly/21W9WRs
QB https://bit.ly/21W9QBs
TE/DST https://bit.ly/21W9TEs
MAYAKOBA GOLF PICKS
WATCH: World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba DK Picks & Bets
Betting Cheatsheet
HATTON — After a rough season, Hatton was one of the few bright spots on the Euro side of the Ryder Cup, and he’s been solid coming out the other end. After a runner up at the Alfred Dunhill, he squeezed out a T18 in a difficult field at the CJ Cup. A week where he was severely limited by his distance. Distance won’t be much a of a factor this week, it’s mainly all about irons and putting, two things Hatton has proved elite in when he’s on his game. This is a solid price for the world’s No 17 ranked player.
ORTIZ — Now that Ancer is the Mexican player most are backing in his home country, Ortiz has some of the pressure off of him. And this course, and similar tracks have been kind to him over the years. King Carlos has cranked out Top 10s at Mayakoba each of the past two years and enters in excellent ball striking form since the swing season started. The putter has been dismal, but a switch to the familiar paspalum greens could very well sort that out.
HERBERT — Last week’s winner usually perseveres in gustier conditions, but he can follow a similar path to last week. Don’t get too wild off the tee in favour of accuracy and wedge this course to death. Obviously, it’s tough winning one week on the PGA TOUR, so two is a massive ask, but if he can roll his form another week he’ll have a chance to contend again at a birdie fest.
READ: DRAFTKINGS PICKS CHEATSHEET
DRAFTKINGS OWNERSHIP
Obviously, the closer you get to lock, Fantasy National’s Ownership projections are going to be the best to go off, but as it stands right now, from what I’ve seen around the internets, expect…
Ancer
Henley
Mito
Grillo
… to all be carrying substantial ownership this week. If you’re looking for the low owned somewhat expensive guy, it’s +Shane Lowry this week.
WEEK 9 – PLAYER NOTES
The Raiders are coming off their bye and getting the Giants on a short week after their Monday Nighter in KC with an eye on their Week 10 bye. Derek Carr has thrown multiple TD passes in 6 of his 7 career games following a bye and gone over 280 passing yards in 5 of those 7 games.
In primetime wins under McVay, Ram QBs are averaging a tick over 320 passing yards per game when they throw more than 25 passes (9 Jared Goff games and 2 Matthew Stafford games).
Aaron Rodgers averaged under 5 yards per pass attempt last Thursday night in Arizona. Not good. What is good … he’s thrown 4 TD passes in the game following his four most recent such games (he averaged 8.5 yards per pass in those games as well, not too shabby).
Upside spot for Jalen Hurts? He averages 26.3% more air yards per throw at home than on the road this season. Any production through the air is found money in this plus matchups against a defense that is allowing more runs of 5+ yards and 20+ yards than any one.
In 3 games this season against team with a bird mascot, Deebo Samuel has totaled 329 yards and 3 scores from scrimmage. He faces the Cardinals this week and has two bird games in December as your prepare for the fantasy postseason.
GALAXY BRAIN STACK: DENVER (at DAL)
There aren’t going to be many instances where the game total is flirting with 50 and stacking one side of that game is going to be unique, but this could well be one of those spots. And guess what? The numbers approve. In a big way. So if you’re getting cute … we are here for you.
Teddy Bridgewater is averaging over 21 DK points this season when there are over 35 points scored in a game this season and … that seems like a safe bet. And if Dallas is responsible for the early scoring? Even better. The Broncos are the 5th pass heaviest offense this season when trailing, so this could well be a nice game script spot (check the lineup below, tell your story and stick with it. If Dallas is winning, who do you want as a bring back?).
“But Pat, isn’t Denver going to run the ball early in an effort to keep Dallas’ offense off the field?”
Yes, voice in my head, that could happen. But will it sustain if (when) they have limited success? I say no. Over the past four weeks, the Cowboys are allowing 25.2% fewer yards per carry to running backs before contact than they did in the first four weeks of the season. That trend should continue against a Broncos offensive line that ranks outside the top-20 in creating yards before contact for their backs since Week 2 (the outlier 70-yard run from Melvin Gordon in Week 1 skews annual data, but I’m not in the business of projecting outliers).
If you’re sold on Bridgewater, you have to pick two of his three pass catchers (his rush yards have declined in three straight weeks, so a big day for him means a big day for his teammates) to stack and it might not be as hard as you think. In the two games they’ve played together this season:
o Jeudy: 46 routes, 11 targets, 10 catches
o Sutton: 59 routes, 7 targets, 3 catches
o Fant: 45 routes, 12 targets, 8 catches
Who looks like the odd man out to you? All of that statistical backing is nice, but don’t rule out a little pre-mature swag for Mr. Throwsevelt: this is the closest game on the 2021 schedule to his birthday. He’s been nominated for the Sportsmanship Award in the past, so if he puts money in your pockets this weekend… find a charity he is linked with and thank him on his birthday this Wednesday. Everyone wins. Maybe. Hopefully.
SHOUT OUT!!!!!
Brett absolutely getting done on Monday night. And with a single bullet no less.
WATCH: Week 9 Spread Picks & 2(!!!) Cust Corner Minis
Week 9 Picks Cheatsheet
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He’s pretty ANDERCURSED, but a yard seems doable.
I had some fun on Run The Sims and adjusted the winning score to be 30-28 Jets and see how that affected the best DraftKings Lineups. Here’s what it spit out, in case you were wondering. Of 10,000 simulations, these were the most frequent optimal lineups.
A bit too much Ashton Dulin for my liking. But what do I know? I don’t actually think the Jets are going to win, but it was interesting to see how the optimals adjusted for a NYJ victory.
— PM