JOIN: Week 8 DraftKings PME Listeners League
JOIN: Fantasy Golf One and Done (80K to 1st)
Week 8 Injuries
RB
David Montgomery (Ribs) — OUT
Kareem Hunt (thigh) — IN
Jerome Ford (ankle) — Game Time Decision; Expected OUT
Bijan Robinson (Headaches) — Expected IN
Raheem Mostert (ankle) — Expected IN
Zack Moss (Elbow) — Game Time Decision; Leaning OUT
Roschon Johnson (Concussion) — Questionable
Zach Charbonnet (Hamstring) — Questionable
Week 8 Rankings
RB https://bit.ly/23W8RBRankings
WR https://bit.ly/23W8WRRankings
QB https://bit.ly/23W8QBRankings
TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W8TEDSTRanks
WR
Laviska Shenault Jr. (Ankle) — OUT
Zay Jones (knee) — OUT
Justyn Ross (Suspension) — OUT
Robert Woods (Foot) — OUT
Deebo Samuel (Shoulder) — Expected OUT
Tyler Lockett (hamstring) — Expected IN
Christian Watson (Knee) — Expected IN
Tyreek Hill (hip) — Expected IN
Josh Palmer (ankle) — Expected IN
Justin Watson (Elbow) — Expected IN
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Head) — Expected IN
Chris Moore (Concussion) — Questionable
TE
Brevin Jordan (foot) — OUT
Kylen Granson (concussion) — OUT
Luke Musgrave (ankle) — Game Time Decision
Gerald Everett (Quad) — Expected IN
Greg Dulcich (hamstring) — Placed on IR
Zach Ertz (Quad) — Placed on IR
Pat Freiermuth (Hamstring) — Placed on IR
Dawson Knox (Wrist) — Placed on IR
QB
Brock Purdy (Concussion) — Expected IN
Jimmy Garoppolo (Back) — IN
Kyler Murray — OUT
Deshaun Watson (Shoulder) — OUT; PJ Walker Starting
Justin Fields (Thumb) — OUT; T Bag Starting
Ryan Tannehill (Ankle) — OUT; Will Levis Starting
Daniel Jones (Neck) — OUT
Week 8 PROPS
Happy to see the Prop Sniper doing good work for eveyone who has signed up so far. It’s doubtful things will consistently go as well as Week 7 where the top rated prop cashed on TNF, Main Slate, SNF and MNF, but we can hope.
Since people have been digging the producct so much, Justin worked to create a new feature inside the Sniper and it’s the 1st TD and Any Time TD Simulator. As expected, with the amount of hold the books take on the 1sdt TD market, basically nothing is a good bet. But that doesn’t ever prevent me from playing it. You can even go game-by-game in the filters and see if there’s decent value between numbers at books.
Here’s the first run for Week 8…
SUB TO RUN THE SIMS PROP TOOLS PACKAGE
(Code “MAYO” gets you 10% discount btw)
There was no one prop that was rated higher than a 15 score for TNF so unless something opens up later in the night, it may be a pass. But the ETN rushing line for the weekend is setting up to be a good one. I’ve already seen the vig explode on this one at some places Thursday am, so it may be better to wait for an increase in the number to lower the vig since the projection sits at 90 rushing yards. Although -135 still has it as a strong play atm, I’m greedy and don’t wanna pay that juice if I can avoid it.
Of course, you can always get the Full Suite of tools for betting and DFS from Run The Sims. No better time to put it to use than on TNF. The Ship It Nation gang will be LIVE at 2pm ET on MMN walking you through builds and taking questions.
WATCH: TNF TB/BUF DraftKings Picks & Startegy 2pm ET
You can also catch the SIN crew Wednesdays and Fridays at 330pm ET FREE on MMN talking through NBA slates.
CHEATSHEETS
We made picks and discovered Cust puts up his Halloween decorations on Sept 9th.
WATCH: Week 8 Picks Against The Spread, NFL Game Previews | Cust Corner
Rob and Cam have been doing the heavy lifting, Cam is developing his “Theme System” for picks
WATCH: Week 8 Best Bets + Teaser
Week 8 Betting Trends
No team is worse than TB ATS since the beginning of 2021 when coming off a loss (3-9, they lost to Atlanta last weekend).
The Rams are 2-9 ATS against top-10 defenses since the beginning of 2021, the worst cover rate in such spots in the NFL. Since 2021, no team has been better ATS when favored than America's team (21-9).
The Vikings fail to cover 60% of the time during hte Kirk Cousins era when at a rest disadvantage (overs have also hit at a 60% clip in those spots).
The Falcons are just 3-12 ATS in their past 15 games following an outright win. Unders are 14-5 in Tennessee home games since the beginning of 2021.
Only the Giants (70%) have a higher cashed unders at a higher rate than the Saints (68.3%) since the beginning of 2021. Under tickets have cashed in 10 of Indy's past 15 games when favored.
Miami has won all three home games against New England in the post-Tom Brady era (in those games, the Pats have managed just 14.3 PPG).
This is technically a road game for Gang Green and they've covered seven of 11 road games since the beginning of last season. Unders are 14-4-2 when the Giants play at home since 2021 (77.8% cash rate, the highest in the league).
Overs are 8-3 in Jacksonville's past 11 road games.
After reaching 30 points once in 16 meetings with the Eagles, the Commanders have hit that threshold in each of their past two showdowns.
The Panthers have covered four of their past five games when getting three or fewer points (opened as three-point 'dogs).
The Seahawks are just 4-9 ATS vs top-10 rush defenses since 2021. The Browns are 0-5 ATS following a road win since 2021.
The Chiefs have won 16 straight over the Broncos. They've won eight straight in Denver, socing at least 27 points in every one of those games. The Broncos have covered just four of their past 11 games following an outright win.
The Cardinals have covered 10 of their past 14 games against top-10 pass defenses (Baltimore allows 4.5 yards per pass, more than a yard better than any other defense through seven weeks).
Under tickets have chased in each of Cincinnati's past five games against top-10 offenses.
At 17-10, the Bears own the highest over hit rate in non-divisional games since the beginning of 2021 (overs are 6-8 when they stay within the NFC North over that stretch).
The Raiders are the third worst road ATS team since the beginning of last season (4-9). The Lions are a league-best 15-5 ATS at home during the Jared Goff era.
— PM