WATCH: Week 8 Rankings Breakdown
Week 8 Rankings Lists
Last Updated: Saturday Morning
RB https://bit.ly/21W8RB
WR https://bit.ly/21W8WRs
QB https://bit.ly/21W8QB
TE/DST https://bit.ly/21W8TEDST
Week 8 Injury Report
Last Updated: Saturday Morning
Running Back
Jordan Howard (From Practice Squad) Likely IN
Austin Ekeler (hip) Game Time Decision
Alex Collins (hip) Likely IN
Mark Ingram (Traded to Saints) Likely IN
Nick Chubb (Calf) IN
Miles Sanders (ankle) OUT; Placed on IR
Saquon Barkley (ankle) Doubtful; Could be back Week 9
Tevin Coleman (hamstring) OUT
Chris Evans (hamstring) OUT
Darrynton Evans OUT FOR SEASON
Taysom Hill (head) OUT
Ty Johnson (concussion) Likely IN
Josh Jacobs (chest) On Bye
Latavius Murray (ankle) On Bye
Wide Receiver
Corey Davis (hip) Likely OUT
Julio Jones (hamstring) OUT
DeSean Jackson (asked for trade) OUT
Donovan Peoples-Jones (groin) OUT
TY Hilton (quad) Likely IN
Will Fuller (finger) OUT
Michael Gallup Likely to Play off IR
Deonte Harris (hamstring) Questionable
Dyami Brown (knee) OUT
Sterling Shepard (hamstring) Likely IN
DeVante Parker (hammy) Likely IN
Jerry Jeudy (foot) Questionable
Michael Thomas (ankle) Questionable; Expected back Week 9/10
Antonio Brown (ankle) OUT
Kadarius Toney (ankle) Likely IN
Terrance Marshall (concussion) OUT
Kenny Golladay (knee) Likely OUT
Curtis Samuel (groin) OUT
Sammy Watkins (hamstring) On Bye
Quarterback
Dak Prescott (calf) Game Time Decision
Zach Wilson (knee) OUT
Tyrod Taylor (hamstring) Will NOT Start
Baker Mayfield (shoulder) Will Start
Tight End
Eric Ebron (hamstring) OUT
Pharaoh Brown (thigh) Questionable
Jonnu Smith (shoulder) Likely IN
Rob Gronkowski (Ribs) Likely IN
Jimmy Graham (COVID 19) Questionable
Robert Tonyan (knee) Likely OUT FOR SEASON
Dawson Knox (broken hand) Likely OUT 2-4 weeks
Darren Waller (Ankle) On Bye
CUST LOGIC GALAXY BRAIN: DAL (-2.5) at MIN
CUST likes to play indoor teams when they go on the road in indoor situations and you know what? He might be onto something.
From 2014-17
The seven indoor/retractable roof teams playing on the road in such a setting
28-24 outright (53.8% win percentage)
30-22 ATS (57.7% cover rate)
22-27-3 (over/under, 57.7% unders or push)
From 2018-today
The seven indoor/retractable roof teams playing on the road in such a setting
19-21-1 outright (47.6% win percentage)
22-19 ATS (53.7% cover rate)
19-22 (over/under, 53.7% unders)
Now, it is important to note that their win and cover percentages have dropped in the past few seasons, obviously a result of CUST making his thoughts known, but they are still covering more often than not with the under being the side to take for the total.
Why do I bring that up? The Cowboys find themselves in such a spot this week, riding a 5-game win streak, laying less than a field goal, off of their bye, in prime time … against Kirk Cousins. If there was ever a betting spot to check every single box, this seems to be it. OK, so maybe I’d prefer the Vikes not be coming off their bye, but still. It’s a quarterback driven league, so here is a snap shot of this matchup:
Primetime Kirk Cousins
In his last 7 primetime games …
10 TD passes on 235 attempts
That’s a 4.2% TD rate … or lower than the career rate of Marcus Mariota
Hasn’t thrown for 300 yards in any of those games (236 pass yards per game)
Dak Prescott
- In 3 wins this season, MIN is allowing opponents to complete 27.3% of deep passes
- In 3 losses this season, MIN is allowing opponents to complete 54.5% of deep passes
This season, Prescott ranks 5th in deep accuracy
DAL is streaking despite being a bottom-10 red zone offense
The Vikings are a bottom-10 red zone defense
Weeks 1-4: pressure allowed on 24.2% of non-blitzed drop backs
Weeks 5-6: pressure allowed on 17.2% of non-blitzed drop backs
Week 6, MIN created pressure on just 15.6% of drop backs when not blitzing (their lowest rate of the season)
What does the last part of that breakdown mean? Well, in theory, it would point to Minnesota blitzing in an effort to get home. Right? The way the rules are designed, any QB with time to throw is going to be efficient. But … Prescott is enjoying his most efficient season against the blitz.
All of the analysis seems to lean the way of the ‘Boys. Dallas holds a crazy edge at the QB position … and the ground game is their strength! Tune into the show to see if CUST undoes all of this math with a simple picking of them. Spolier: I actually took The Vikings as a home dog here.
Week 8 Fantasy First Look
Aaron Jones plays on Thursday Night in what has the potential to be the game of the year. It should be a fun game to watch, but could your fantasy matchup start in underwhelming fashion? Jones has under 15 receiving yards in 5 straight games when the over/under is 50+ and the Packers are among the pass heaviest offenses in close games this season. Not ideal. Jones averages 16.1 DK PPG over his past eight games with an over/under of 50+, so measure your annual expectations and maybe look elsewhere for a DK Captain.
JOIN: WEEK 8 RAKE FREE PME DRAFTKINGS CONTEST
I’m going to play Josh Allen with all the confidence in the world against the Dolphins until they prove they can slow him. He’s thrown multiple touchdowns in all seven of his career games against the Fish and he’s won the past six meetings with the divisional rival. In the past three Miami games in Buffalo, the Bills have averaged a cool 43 points. Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders combine for just over 16 targets per game. In the six times a player has seen at least 7 targets (something both Diggs and Sanders are more than capable of doing in this spot) from Allen against the Dolphins … 25.1 DK PPG. It could be the run game due to script, but pieces of this Buffalo offense seem more likely than not to win someone a million bucks this weekend.
Antonio Brown as a road favorite since the beginning of last season: TD or 7+ catches in all 5 instances. He just needs to play now.
The last 7 times a PIT RB got 15+ touches vs CLE, he found the end zone at least once. In those games, that featured RB averaged over 135 total yards. The names on that list: Le’Veon Bell, DeAngelo Williams, James Conner (twice), Benny Snell and Stevan Ridley. Najee Harris’ touch count is as safe as anyone this side of Derrick Henry and game script could well work into his favor against a banged up Browns team.
BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP
I actually did a full walk through for bets and DraftKings Picks using Fantasy National this week. Weirdly, I’m kind of excited for this event.
WATCH: BERMUDA CHAMPIONSHIP DK PICKS & BETS
Patrick Reed 22/1 — Look, I know he’s in awful form, but it’s Reed over 20/1 in what’s really a second rate Korn Ferry event. If we’re not on this, what are we doing?
Brian Stuard 80/1 — No, Stumanji hasn’t been good at this event the past two years however he shares the common traits with the two victors: Fairways, Wedges, Bermudagrass putting.
Camilo Villegas 100/1 — I worry about Villegas’ ability to hit enough fairways but a short, windy track on Bermuda greens is exactly the type of event he can content in.
TPJ 350/1 — YOLO
WEEK 8 SPREAD PICKS
I’ll narrow down my favs on the Friday show with Cam and Pizzola, but here are our picks for all the games this week.
Sub and share this post before you get to the goods btw.
LISTEN: Week 8 Spread Picks & Halloween Tips
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
Stitcher: http://goo.gl/Ft3Gmr
Google: bit.ly/GooglePodPME
Update: The video got delayed because of software complications, but it’s OUT NOW!!!!
WATCH: Week 8 Spread Picks
TNF - Cards vs the Ravaged Packers
If you want to get in on the TNF with a FREE PLAY, I got you. Well, Prize Picks has got you. There must be a draught because they’re THIRSTY for your business. Prize Picks is running a FREE $25 KYLER BONUS for new depositors on TNF when you sign up with code “MMNNFL”. You have to place a TNF Prize Picks entry and it doesn’t even after to include Kyler to qualify. You’ll get a deposit match up to $100 too. So, deposit $100, get a free $100 and qualify for this $25 bonus. If you play a a $25 entry, even if you lose, you’ll still have $200. It’s legit free money.
Just deposit at Prize Picks using code “MMNNFL” and get up to a $100 deposit bonus
I’d throw out a set of picks but there’s just too much uncertainty for the Packers at the moment that all prop lines are down on them.
Both Davante Adams and Allen Lazard are both going to miss this game after being placed on the COVID list. For kicks WR Malik Taylor is IN now tho, so there’s that. There was a chance MVS could be activated off the IR and play, but that was not to be. He’s out. That would leave Randall Cobb, Equanimeous St. Brown, Amari Rodgers, Bob Tonyan, and Marcedes Lewis as the primary receiving threats in this game on the Green Bay side. Still better than the Lions tbh.
Here’s how we have the updated target distribution going for the Packers pass catchers at Run The Sims now…
Don’t agree? Then just log in and adjust them how you deem fit.
Also, you should really take advantage of that Kyler Prize Picks bonus. I’m pretty sure he’s going to complete a pass in this one. Just a hunch.
WATCH: TNF DraftKings Showdown Picks
For Prize Picks, expect them to add more GB players to the mix once the injury/COVID situation becomes official. It’s worth noting Aaron Rodger is averaging 310 passing yards/game the past three years in six games without Davante Adams. Rodgers Prize Picks o/u is well below that…
Just need to find some on the Cards side you like to pair the Rodgers OVER with
Injuries
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (hamstring) OUT for TNF
Davante Adams (COVID LIST) OUT for TNF
Allan Lazard (COVID LIST) OUT for TNF
Malik Taylor (COVID LIST) IN for TNF
— PM