Week 6 Trends, Restart Survivor, Injuries, Cheatsheets + Projections

+ Shriners Children's Open Bets and Model

Restart Surivior

It finally happened. The restart survivor league IS HERE!!!!!! It starts in Week 7 (you can make your picks starting next Tuesday fyi). And since it was delayed in coming out, they’ve decided to make it FREEEEEEEEE to play and have $5,000 up top. There’s no legitimate reason not to play. Takes about 43 second to sign up, and less than 10s to make your pick every week, and you may win $5K. 

PLAY IN RESTART SURIVIOR LEAGUE

Do me a favor and tell some people about it too. The more people who sign up, the more FREE MONEY they’ll give me to make a massive prize pool one to start next year. But if we don’t get the numbers, then they wont'. So let jam it full.

And let’s face it, you’re probably out of your Week 1 Survivor League anyway. REDEMTION TIME!!!!!!!

Week 6 Rankings Lists

RB https://bit.ly/23W6RBRanks

WR https://bit.ly/23W6WRRanks

QB https://bit.ly/23W6QBRanks

TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W6TEDSTRanks

Week 6 Injury Report

RB

Austin Ekeler (Ankle) — IN

Rashaad Penny (illness) — Expected IN

Keaontay Ingram (Neck) — IN

Saquon Barkley (Ankle) — Game Time Decision (SNF)

Elijah Mitchell (knee) — Questionable

Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring) — OUT

Miles Sanders (shoulder) — OUT

Roschon Johnson (Concussion) — OUT

Jeff Wilson (finger, ribs) — Expected OUT; Would be on Snap Count if Activated 

James Conner (Knee) — Placed on IR

De'Von Achane (Knee) — Placed on IR

Khalil Herbert (Ankle) — Placed on IR

Jamaal Williams (Hamstring) — OUT; On IR

Aaron Jones (Hamstring) — On Bye

WR

Tee Higgins (Ribs) — Game Time Decision

Quez Watkins (hamstring) — OUT

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Head) — OUT

Treylon Burks (knee) — OUT

Demario Douglas (Head) — OUT

Zay Jones (knee) — OUT

Tank Dell (Concussion) — Expected OUT

Tyquan Thornton (shoulder) — Can Return from IR

Wan’Dale Robinson (Concussion) — Expected IN

Mike Evans (Hamstring) — Expected IN

Hollywood Brown (Illness) — Questionable 

Diontae Johnson (Hamstring) — On Injured Reserve; Can return Week 7

Justin Jefferson (Hamstring) — Placed on IR

Justin Watson (Elbow) — Exited Game; no significant damage

TE

Juwan Johnson (Calf) — OUT 

Ian Thomas (calf) — Expected OUT

Dalton Kincaid (Concussion) — Remains in Concussion Protocol; Questionable 

Mo Alie-Cox (Concussion) — Remains in Concussion Protocol; Questionable

Dawson Knox (wrist) — Questionable (SNF)

David Njoku (face/hands) — Questionable 

Donald Parham (Wrist) — Expected IN

Sam LaPorta (calf) — Expected IN

Pat Freiermuth (Hamstring) — On Bye

Greg Dulcich (hamstring) — Returned from IR; Exited Game

QB

Daniel Jones (Neck) — OUT

Deshaun Watson (Shoulder) — OUT

Anthony Richardson (Shoulder) — On IR; Expected OUT 4-8 Weeks

THURSDAY NIGHT PICKS & NEW PROPS PACKAGE

YOU, such great people, (many are saying this), have spoken and trying VERY SOON we’ll be offering the Prop Snipper Tool at Run The Sims as a cheaper, stand alone option from the combo with the DFS product for those that only care about the props and not DFS, or live in spots where DFS is like dancing in that Footloose town. Your feedback was heard. So, I’ll send some updates in here (so SUB, for FREE no less)  and give mention on socials and on there show so you don’t miss it. 

UPDATE: THE PACKAGE IS NOW LIVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

SUB TO RUN THE SIMS PROP TOOLS PACKAGE

Because you’re all such terrific people, code “MAYO” will get you 10%.

I’m letting the good times roll on this hot streak from the sniper and betting the top rated prop…

… and even constructed another Same Game Parlay to try and get greedy. Imagine having to sit through a terrible TNF game and then having to sweat unders? Worth it if it wins. Or, just don’t watch.

Shriners Picks & Bets

I jumped the gun early on Hojgaard & Kim, you can get better numbers on them today. That Schenk number is gone, but I still like him at 33/1.

Adam Schenk — The worry is that Schenk hasn’t played since the TOUR Championship, which was in the middle of August, and knocking off the rust, even if it’s for a round, is enough to put in too far behind in a birdfest. If that worries you; take a pass, PALLLLLLLL!!!! If it doesn’t you’ll get access to a player with six Top 10s in his past 11 starts, including two in the FedEx Cup playoffs against the best players on TOUR. Of note, this event doens’t have the best players on TOUR. Additionally, Schenk’s made the cut in Vegas in five of six starts, including consecutive Top 12 finishes. 

Nicolai Hojgaard — Fresh off his Ryder Cup debut, the young Danish bomber is a prime breakthrough candidate while others are focused on Aberg. Despite no PGA results since the Wyndham (T14), Hojgaard did the European gauntlet in the run up to the Ryder Cup where he posted two Top 5 finishes in his las three starts. 

SH Kim — One missed cut is getting a better price with the lesser known Kim. He finished T4 here a year ago, and opened the season in Napa with a T2. As long as he doesn’t donk off too many strokes with his irons, he has the rest of the game to contend again. 

Callum Tarren — The Tarren Empire went true to his mirror universe self in Jackson last week, breaking a string of five consecutive starts in the positives putting by dropping six to the field with the flat stick. Of note: He was still fourth in the field T2G (+7.4); that was a follow up to his +7.5 gained in his T7 at the Fortinet. Hopefully the switch back to bent from Bermuda, Tarren’s best surface, is enough to match the hot rest of his game. 

DraftKings Stats. This is my Fantasy National model for the past 12 rounds overall.

GET 20% FANTASY NATIONAL TOOLS & STATS WITH CODE MAYO

Here’s how it changes when you look back at the past 50 rounds…

Week 6 Cheatsheet

You don’t wanna miss this week’s Cust Corner. It has an ALL TIME Cust moment. The Picks? Probably shitty.

WATCH: Week 6 Spread Picks & Cust Corner

The Best Bets show will be dropping Wednesday evening, but you CAN GET IT RIGHT NOW if you click the link…

WATCH: Week 6 Best Bets and Teaser

Week 6 Betting Trends

The Broncos are 3-6 ATS on the road since the beginning of last season, second worst in the league over that stretch (Bears). At kickoff, it will have been 2,947 days (15 games) since the last time the Broncos beat the Chiefs.

No team cashes under tickets when favored since 2021 at the rate of the Ravens (20-7, 74.1%). Since 2021, unders are 14-5 when the Titans play at home (third highest hit rate).

Since 2021, the Falcons are a league-worst 3-11 ATS following an outright win.

The Vikings have won three straight at Solider Field, outscoring the Bears 65-35 in the process.

Overs are 6-3 since the beginning of last season when the Seahawks play on the road.

The Dolphins are 16-8 ATS since 2021 when playing in warm weather - early forecasts are projecting 90 degrees for kickoff.

San Francisco is 21-12 ATS as a favorite since the beginning of 2021 (fourth best).

Since 2021, the Jaguars are the second worst home ATS team (6-11, 35.3%).

The Saints have covered just three of their past 10 games when favored.

New England is a league-worst 5-13 ATS (27.8%) as an underdog since the beginning of 2021.

The Rams have won 11 of the past 13 meetings, but have lost two of the past three games against the Cardinals played at home.

Unders are 8-2 in the last 10 games in which the Jets are getting more than a field goal.

The Bills have covered eight of 12 games against bottom-10 pass offenses since 2021.

The Bolts have covered seven of their past 10 games following an outright victory.

— PM