Week 5 Injuries, DFS Notes, Cheatsheets, Projections
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Week 5 Injury Report
RB
Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring) — Expected OUT
Saquon Barkley (Ankle) — Expected OUT
Jonathan Taylor — Signed Extension with IND; Expected IN
Javonte Williams (Hip) — Game Time Decision (Late Set of Games)
Rashaad Penny (illness) — OUT
Elijah Mitchell (knee) — OUT
Miles Sanders (groin) — Expected IN
Rhamondre Stevenson (thigh) — Expected IN
Keaton Mitchell (shoulder) — Expected IN
Justice Hill (foot/hamstring) — Expected IN
Aaron Jones (Hamstring) — Expected IN(MNF)
Jeff Wilson — Eligible to return; Still Needs to be Activated
Austin Ekeler (Ankle) — On Bye
Jamaal Williams (Hamstring) — OUT; On IR
Khalil Herbert (Ankle) — Exited Game
Roschon Johnson (Concussion) — Exited Game
Week 5 Rankings
RB https://bit.ly/23W5RBRankings
WR https://bit.ly/23W5WRRankings
QB https://bit.ly/W5QBRankings
TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W5TEDSTRanks
WR
Zay Jones (knee) — Active (LONDON GAME)
Khalil Shakir (Head) — Active (LONDON GAME)
Treylon Burks (knee) — OUT
Amon-Ra St. Brown (abdomen) — Expected OUT
Tee Higgins (Ribs) — Expected OUT
Davante Adams (Shoulder) — Questionable (MNF)
Cooper Kupp (Knee) — IN
Chase Claypool (The Shits) — Traded To MIA
Jameson Williams (Teasing Through Zero) — IN
Jonathan Mingo (concussion) — IN
Quez Watkins (Hamstring) — IN
Odell Beckham Jr. (Ankle) — Expected IN
Rashod Bateman (Hamstring) — IN
Jauan Jennings (shoulder) — IN
Mike Evans (Hamstring) — On Bye
River Cracraft (Shoulder) — OUT; On IR
Diontae Johnson (Hamstring) — OUT; on Injured Reserve
TE
Pat Freiermuth (Hamstring) — OUT 2-3 Games
Juwan Johnson (Calf) — OUT
Luke Musgrave (Concussion) — IN
Irv Smith (Hamstring) — IN
Donald Parham (Wrist) — On Bye
QB
Derek Carr (Shoulder) — Expected IN
Kenny Pickett (Knee) — IN
Matt Stafford (Hip) — IN
Jimmy Garoppolo (Concussion) — IN
Geno Smith (Knee) — On Bye
Deshaun Watson (Shoulder) — On Bye
Week 5 DraftKings Ownership & Top Plays
Justin Freeman released this handy cheatsheet to guide you quickly this weekend. This chart is from Friday evening. Once certain players are offically ruled IN or OUT, then everything will get a fresh update Sunday morning. But it should give you a sense of what people are doing on DraftKings this week.
Note: The Montgomrey ownership in the graphic was made before Gibbs was listed as doubtful. Expect that to be much, much higher…
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Cheatsheets & Shows
Pat Mayo, Geoff Fienberg and Tim Anderson go game-by-game and make their 2023 Week 5 Picks, Bets and Props. Plus, a mini Cust Corner on McDonald’s Monopoly Opening Day…
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Pat Mayo, Rob Pizzola, and Cam Stewart give their 2023 NFL Week 5 Best Bets with their Gold, Silver and Bronze Selections.
WATCH: NFL Week 5 Best Bets + Week 5 Teaser
WEEK 5 NFL PICK’EM
Leaguesafe is offering up $1,000 for a free pick’em game every week. Great way to build bankroll with no investment. Two reasons to play?
A) It’s Free
B) Takes like 30 seconds to play.
Download the FREE Leaguesafe App (Apple or Android) and click “Games” on the bottom. Then BOOM, make your picks
GET APP: https://apps.apple.com/app/leaguesafe/id1639028513
We even have custom Qs this week for The PME
DRAFTKINGS IDEAS
Of course, Tambo and I talk through our favorite ideas and lineups on Friday. Yes, I’m still rocking CJ Stroud stacks with Bijan as my main
Watch: Week 5 DraftKings Picks, Lineups
But here something different…
Stack Attack
Wedged between four MVP candidates and the league's leader in touchdown passes is Anthony Richardson, a spot in the pricing hierarchy that could suppress his ownership in a real way. We know the upside is there with his legs, but how about a matchup with a defense that ranks 26th or worse in completion percentage, yards per attempt, passer rating and just about any other aerial metric you want to look at?
Even better is the fact that 29% of his targets go to a single source who is capable of breaking a big play at any time in Michael Pittman. This stack is $2,600 cheaper than the Hurts/Brown tandem and saves you $2,400 from the Mahomes/Kelce duo. When you factor in rushing and one single pass catcher, there might not be a more concentrated pass game in the league than what the Colts have and they are in the premier matchup!
Pay Down QB
Jared Goff vs CAR: He's not dirt cheap, but he is a few levels down in a week that should figure plenty of ownership at the top. Combine that with him playing at home (23-to-3 touchdown-to-interception rate at home last season and his top-two games this season have come at Detroit) and you have a perfect buy spot. Some will worry about the big spread, but I embrace it -- how do you think they get up by so much? Look for the Panthers to try to do what the Packers couldn't last week and contain David Montgomery. If they pull that off, Goff hitting the bonus is a decent bet and he's an easy stack option with St. Brown or LaPorta.
Running Backs
Neither Breece Hall nor James Conner hits $6,000 this week and that means they could both be in your lineup in a savings build that focuses on elite pass catchers. I'm not sure what to make of the coach speak out of New York as they talk about unleashing Hall, but I do know what to make out of the Denver defense at the moment:
https://twitter.com/KyleSoppePFN/status/1708543605336363506
He might be a chalky play, but with a unique stack to start things off, you should be OK. As for Conner, all he is doing is earning 80% of the RB carries in 'Zona and he faces the third worst yards per carry defense in the league. Maybe Burrow gets right this week and game script is an issue. If not, Conner is a good bet for 20 touches and 100+ yards, a nice value at his price point.
Rookie Receiver Week!
Rashee Rice is very much trending in a positive direction and has yet to see his price tag reflect much separation from the others in that KC WR room. Zay Flowers hasn't been all that good after a strong debut, but against a pressure oriented Steelers defense, his low aDOT role could well be gold.
Buying the rookie narrative this week? Forget onslaughting the Vikings/Chiefs game (scary, I know) and get your exposure by way of a rookie skinny stack with Rice and Jordan Addison. The Vikings first year receiver has yet to separate from KJ Osborn for the WR2 role, but that doesn't mean he can't. He's the more explosive player and with a better-than-we-thought Chiefs defense likely obsessed with trying to slow Justin Jefferson, why can't Addison truly breakout at a cheap price tag?
Is it a Taysom Week?
I have no idea, but he does have 20 carries on his ledger this season and Derek Carr wasn't near right last week. It doesn't take much to come through at the TE position these days, so if he gets his hands on the ball 6-8 times (I don't care how: pass, rush, or catch), he could provide value - not to mention the break the slate potential that he has if the usage spikes.
D/ST Pick
If I'm triple stacking Richardson, it's with the Colts defense. Think about it. If Phony Tony and Pittman go off, the Titans are going to have to throw. If you're telling me Ryan Tannehill is throwing 35 times, there isn't a price too high for me to go on the Colts D.
Using the same logic, the Saints DST makes sense. If you want to tell a story with Mac Jones airing it out 40 times, I'm in!
— PM