Week 4 RECAP: Injuries, RB Snaps, Team Notes
Week 4 RECAP: Injuries, RB Snaps, Team Notes
MONDAY CONTENT
Week 5 PME DraftKings Listeners League LINK
Monday Night Football Picks
Week 5 Waiver Wire Adds
Shriners Open Golf Picks, Bets
Week 4 Recap; Week 5 Early Betting Lines
Week 4 Injury Cheatsheet
RB
Javonte Williams (Knee) — OUT FOR SEASON
Brian Robinson (GUNSHOT) — Activated to Return from IR
Cordarrelle Patterson (Knee) — Plasced on IR (Out at least 4 weeks)
Jonathan Taylor (Ankle) — Not major; may miss TNF
Alvin Kamara (Ribs) — DNP
David Montgomery (Ankle/Knee) — DNP
D’Andre Swift (Shoulder) — DNP
Boston Scott (Ribs) — DNP
WR
Jahan Dotson (hamstring) — Expected to miss at least one week
Jamison Crowder (ankle) — Left Game
Isaiah McKenzie (Concussion) — Left Game
Laviska Shenault (Hamstring) — Left Game
Quintez Cephus (Foot) — Left Game
Kenny Golladay (knee) — Left Game
Treylon Burks (Foot) — Left Game; Likely OUT a few weeks
Michael Thomas (Toe) — DNP
Amon-Ra St. Brown (Ankle) — DNP
DJ Chark (Ankle) — DNP
Kennan Allen (hamstring) — DNP
Hunter Renfrow (Concussion) — DNP
Jakobi Meyers (knee) — DNP
Zay Jones — DNP
Wan’Dale Robinson (Knee) — DNP
Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) — DNP
AJ Green (Knee) — DNP
Jake Kumerow (ankle) — DNP
QB
Jonnu Smith (Ankle) — Left Game
Foster Moreau (Knee) — OUT
Brevin Jordan (Ankle) — OUT
TE
Cameron Brate (Concussion) — Left Game
Brian Hoyer (Head) — Left Game
Daniel Jones (Ankle) — Left Game; Came Back
Tua Tagovailoa (back/ankle) — Left Game; OUT Indefinitely
Jameis Winston (Back) — DNP
Mac Jones (Ankle) — DNP
Week 4 RB Snap Shares
Week 4 Players Notes
Week 4 Team Notes
Dolphins: Over 50 rushing yards and 3 targets in 2 of his last 3 games. Raheem Mostert is currently healthy and currently an asset
Bengals: When Tee Higgins has seen at least 8 targets in a game since the beginning of last season, he’s averaging 22.9 PPR PPG.
Vikings: Adam Thielen has seen his target count increase each week this season and the important part is that he continued that trend on a game where Dalvin Cook was featured (22 touches) and Jefferson racked up 150 total yards and a TD. He gets the Bears next week.
Saints: New Orleans didn’t really have anybody and yet, Chris Olave was still able to find seams. Four catches, led the team in targets and scored. The kid might already be teammate proof … Seahawks, Bengals, Cardinals, Raiders and Ravens up next.
Browns: This is what Amari Cooper is going to be in a Brissett led offense. After consecutive big games … he ranked 6th on the team in catches and had a sub-12% target share.
Falcons: The Tyler Allgeier 10-for-84 game was cute, but the Bucs and 49ers are up next. I’m as encouraged by you and not in on C-Patt, but let’s not get out of hand here.
Commanders: No Commander had 45 receiving yards. I want to buy low on Terry McLaurin, but I’m not sure even I believe it at this point. It always depends on price, but the floor is low and I’m not sure the ceiling is high enough.
Cowboys: A long reception for Zeke and a 19-8 carry edge over Pollard. As much as we like the idea of Pollard, Zeke is going to be a viable flex until his time with the Cowboys is over.
Seahawks: DK Metcalf had 140 yards by the middle of the 3rd quarter after posting 135 yards in September. Geno Smith is still his quarterback. Yea, I’m fine with selling high for anyone willing to pay full price.
Lions: Jamaal Williams is the first player since Tomlinson (2005) with multiple rush TD in 3 of the first 4 games of a season. And for those worried about a split … at the time of his 2nd rush TD, all other Lion backs had 3 carries.
Titans: Derrick Henry led this team in targets and got every single RB carry. As long as they can keep games close, he’s as good as there is. Washington, Indy and Houston are his next 3 games … buckle up.
Colts: Mo Alie-Cox and Alec Pierce tied Michael Pittman for a team lead in targets. Yikes. I still am in on Pittman, especially if this team is going to continue to be playing from behind … I’d sell Alie-Cox if there’s someone in your league believing he is more than a TE streamer (along with maybe 11 other guys at the position).
Bears: Finally a productive day for Mooney Tunes. It’s enough to justify rostering him, but he’s still a ways away from being lineup viable in anything but the deepest of leagues.
Giants: Sell Saquon? I don’t want to be the pessimistic one, but the dude is their entire offense. The next two weeks could be ugly with the Giants playing catchup (Packers/Ravens) and I still think he’s a big injury risk.
Jags: Tough spot for Christian Kirk, so I’m not panicking there. James Robinson is going to have down days if he doesn’t score and I expect more split situations like this moving forward with he and Etienne.
Eagles: Jalen Hurts gets all of the attention, but Miles Sanders quietly has at least 80 rushing yards and multiple catches in 3 of 4 games.
Jets: Balance was the name of the game in the pass game under Wilson and I think that makes them all unusable at the moment. Zoomer Zach did look ok though and Breece Hall seems to have taken over the keys to this backfield, so his breakout could be coming sooner than later.
Steelers: Love seeing the 8 targets for Pickens and believe he has that deep threat role over Chase Claypool … is that a viable role in a Kenny Pickett led offense? I’m not sold and would consider selling him if someone is overexcited about the big game from rookie to rookie.
Bills: Allen saves the day with a rushing TD … he led the team in carries and rush yards. He did that while throwing 36 passes. Not a pretty day, but no reason to be nervous.
Ravens: A lot of nothing for Lamar in the pass game (144 yards on 29 attempts). I don’t think this will be the last day like this, but again, dude is elite and with another 11 carries, he offers a usage ceiling that is rare.
Chargers: Austin Ekeler is back. Still … just 13 carries in a game they led throughout. I’m not looking to move him, but I would consider any deals that come my way if they are treating him as a top-5 type of player. Great player with a versatile skill set, but the touch cap is going to keep him out of that top tier.
Texans: Dameon Pierce was literally the only Texan to run the ball. The 6 catches went for basically nothing, but his role in Week 4 was nothing short of elite and he’s a lineup staple moving forward.
Cardinals: Hollywood continues to see elite volume. Great. If you’ve had him. But … D-Hop is coming back sooner than later and we do have the inevitable Kyler Murray midseason, Call Of Duty decline. Yes, more than OK with selling his stock now.
Panthers: The receiving yards don’t add up fast, but at least the targets were there. Christian McCaffrey’s value is weird right now … but I think it has much more room to improve than it does to decline further. Might make for a good guy to target, assuming his manager is struggling.
Broncos: I thought Russell Wilson looked better against the Raiders and the offense still underwhelmed. Both receivers caught a TD to save you, but you’re threading a thin needle with anybody on this offense.
Raiders: Josh Jacobs is the back we all need. Who knew? He’s basically the only RB this team trusts and with 5+ catches in consecutive games … is he not Leonard Fournette?
Patriots: Damien Harris is always going to score those short touchdowns. I don’t think either New England back is ever a bad play … but I don’t think either will ever be a good play (assuming health for both)
Packers: Allen Lazard feels like he should be the WR1 in Green Bay, but Rodgers seems to trust Romeo Doubs in close … that was supposed to be Lazard’s thing with Adams gone. That said, the Packers offense is going to be in plenty of good spots over the next two months … feels like they can sustain two viable pass catchers.
MNF BETTING NOTE: The underdog is 7-3 ATS during the Sean McVay era when the 49ers and Rams square off the in the regular season.
MNF DRAFTKINGS LAR/SF
After simulating the MNF Game 10,000 with Run The Sims here’s how the distribution plot looks for the top DraftKings plays. You can always customize the input any way you like with you have access to the tools btw.
NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan
No real surprises here. Of the 10,000 sims, here were the most common lineups spat out as “optimal”. So expect these ones to be duplicated at a fairly high rate.
— PM