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Week 2 Team by Team Notes, Week 3 Injury Report, Recap
Week 3 Rankings
WATCH: Week 3 Rankings Debate & Waiver Wire Adds
WATCH: Nick Chubb Out for the Season | Ranks & Waiver Update
RB https://bit.ly/23W3RBRanks
WR https://bit.ly/23W3WRRanks
QB https://bit.ly/23W3QBRanks
TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W3TEDSTRanks
Week 3 Injuries
RB
Nick Chubb (Knee) — OUT for season
Jamaal Williams (Hamstring) — Did Not Return
Saquon Barkley (Ankle) — Exited Game; Unlikely to play Thursday Night
David Montgomery (Thigh) — Carted Off; Did Not Return
Salvon Ahmed (groin) — Did Not Return
Chase Edmonds (Knee) — Did Not Return
Kendre Miller (hamstring) — Missed Week 2
Aaron Jones (Hamstring) — Missed Week 2
Austin Ekeler (Ankle) — Missed Week 2
Cordarrelle Patterson (thigh) — Missed Week 2
Kenneth Gainwell (Ribs) — Missed Week 2
Jonathan Taylor — OUT; On IR
Alvin Kamara — OUT; Suspended
Jeff Wilson — OUT; On IR
WR
Diontae Johnson (Hamstring) — Missed Week 2
Brandon Aiyuk (Shoulder) — No Update
Zay Jones (knee) — No Update
Jaylen Waddle (Concussion) — Did Not Return
Davante Adams (Concussion) — Did Not Return
Odell Beckham Jr. (Ankle) — Did Not Return; Not expected to be serious
Darnell Mooney (Knee) — Did Not Return
Christian Watson (hamstring) — Missed Week 2
Brandin Cooks (knee) — Missed Week 2
Jakobi Meyers (Concussion) — Missed Week 2
DeVante Parker (knee) — ???
TE
Logan Thomas (Concussion) — Did Not Return
Greg Dulcich (Leg) — Placed on IR
QB
Joe Burrow (Calf) — Reaggravation of Injury; Iffy for Week 3 MNF
Anthony Richardson (Concussion) — Did Not Return
Week 3 Look Ahead DSTs
Just keep streaming against Washington, Denver, Houston, both New Yorks, and Chicago when you can. Of the plausibly available options in Week 3, first glance I’d rank them…
JAX vs HOU
MIA vs DEN
KC vs CHI
Week 2 Recap
We’re LIVE every Sunday recapping the games and guessing the spreads for the following week. We are also making Cust food on the show. And yes, he eats it before it cools down. I’d watch (or listen!) if I was you…
WATCH: Week 2 NFL Recap, Week 3 Betting Lines + Cooking Air Fryer Frozen Pizza
Audio Podcast
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
Week 2 Team Notes
Packers: Jordan Love is playing well. Jordan Love is overachieving for fantasy. Both things can be true ... and are. His touchdown rate is unsustainable, but he will have more weapons at his disposal with time. He's not going to matter in most leagues and I wouldn't mind selling him now in two-QB formats: this is still a low volume pass attack that wants to limit the possession count.
Falcons: Three guys with 10+ carries? In this economy? The Falcons do what the Falcons do and that makes Drake London a fine sell if you can find someone willing to buy into his 6-67-1 stat line. There simply isn't enough volume in this pass game to count on London or Pitts ... no matter how talented they are.
Raiders: Josh Jacobs doesn't have a run gaining more than 20 yards since that walk-off 86 yarder in overtime against the Seahawks. Last November. I don't think he's THIS bad and the 6 targets were helpful, but the lack of explosion is certainly noteworthy before assuming that he'll bounce back to his 2022 form.
Bills: Gabe Davis finally paid off some of his snap share with 92 yards and a score. Do I expect him to equal Stefon Diggs' target count on a consistent basis? No, but if he can see 6-8 targets on a consistent basis, he'll be a fantasy starter more often than not.
Ravens: Gus Bus looked like the better runner this week and I expect that to be the case moving forward. Hill was used more early, but Edwards punched in a short TD after Hill failed and that makes him a threat to hold regular value. Some will agrue Hill is the better pass catching option, and they’re likely correct, but Lamar doesn’t really check down, so who cares? Zay Flowers continues to make plays and while his target share declined in a big way with Mark Andrews back, he is still a top-30-ish sort of guy moving forward. Also, Lamar is now 11-0-1 as an underdog against the spread in his career during the regular season.
Bengals: This offense still doesn't look near right, but at least Tee Higgins was productive. Joe Mixon's role in the pass game remains valuable - all of his teammates are strong buy low options. Better times are ahead if Joe Burrow can return to full health, which appears like something that went backwards Sunday vs Baltimore.
Seahawks: Kenneth Walker scored a pair of short TD runs, but after a 14 yard run to open the game, his next 16 carries gained just 29 yards. I've yet to be impressed with him, but it's pretty clear that he is "the guy" with Zach Charbonnet holding nothing but handcuff value.
Lions: Josh Reynolds has 13 targets this season and paid off the usage in Week 2 with a pair of touchdowns. As much as this team needs a WR2, I'm not sure they have one on this roster, I suppose Jameison Williams is that guy if he ever plays. Sam LaPorta's short target game makes him a fine backend option at the TE position for now, but remember that rookie tight ends have trouble in holding value throughout the season.
Chargers: That's now 21 games in the Justin Herbert decided by a FG or less, easily the most in the league. Josh Kelley failed in a chalky DFS spot in the Austin Ekeler because ... well, he's not Austin Ekeler. The Herbert-Williams-Allen triple stack is never going to be a bad play when facing an elite run defense. And, as Cust was happy to point out to as many as possible…
Titans: In a game that went to overtime ... no Titan saw more than 5 targets. You can mess around with Treylon Burks, DeAndre Hopkins or Chig if you want. I'm happy to move on from them the second they have a big game. Or right now, since that may never come.
Bears: With D'Onta Foreman being a healthy scratch, expectations leading up to lineup lock for Roschon Johnson spiked. It didn't work. This is a bad team with a committee backfield and a mobile QB. Johnson is a good player and might have a future in the league, but banking on either RB in this backfield is playing with fire.
Bucs: Mike Evans and Chris Godwin had a 50% target share in Week 1 and repeated that in Week 2. You can hate on my triple Bucs stack, but I doubt this is the last time I bring it up. This isn't an explosive offense, but in the right spots, this team is structured for DFS GPP's!
Chiefs: Another Chiefs game, another ultra-underwhelming performance from pass catchers not named Kelce. You can keep trying to pin the tail on the WR in this offense, but will you ever be able to play one of them with confidence? I don't think so, so I'm not wasting mental energy in talking myself into any one of them on a consistent basis.
Jags: Zay Jones got dinged up and Christian Kirk shined, but Kirk was targeted on the first pass of this game, so his big game isn't just the result of Jones' injury. All three of these receivers needs to be rostered, but Ridley appears to be the only one you can count on when all three are healthy (trust the targets from Week 2, ignore the production).
Colts: Anthony Richardson is a fantasy star. It's that simple. The concussion ruined what was going to be another monster performance. Should he be sidelined for Week 3, Gardner Minshew is a viable backup QB (just ask Cam!) and is more than capable of elevating Michael Pittman's short-term value
Texans: If you need me to say it, I will. I'm not fine with selling Nico Collins. I love the profile and the big Week 2, and normally if I can cash in a Texan chip at plus value, I'm doing it, but Nico is the one Texan who is going to rake in positive game scripts all season.
49ers: Last week was an Aiyuk week, this week was a Deebo week, next week Kittle? The fact that this team can hurt you in a million ways makes all involved reasonable sell-high options after a big game.
Rams: Puka Nacua continues to be Cooper Kupp but with a way cooler name. OK, so maybe he won't continue to set records (most catches through two career games in NFL history), but he looks legit. That said, what can he net you in a trade? A top-20 receiver? Yes, he looks good, but you have the moving pieces of aging Stafford, returning Kupp and potentially a bad team. The risk evaluation is worth considering for the player who has stolen the show through two weeks. The chances someone gives you fair value on him is low, so he’s just a better hold.
Giants: Jalin Hyatt made two big plays, something you love to see. Daniel Jones' CMP% on passes thrown 10+ yards has increased each season of his career and if Hyatt wrestles the deep role away from Darius Slayton, there is upside to chase. Of course, the Saquon Barkley injury has the potential to submarine this offense and render all non-Waller pieces as useless.
Cardinals: Another productive, albeit visually unexciting, effort from James Conner. He's going to do this every week. He's going to be something like RB24 on weeks he doesn't score and that's not a bad floor.
Jets: Garrett Wilson had the long TD and with it, he gives you another week to try to find the "talent" guy in your league. That is, the guy who thinks raw talent trumps everything. Right now, we have to assume that this is the Zach Wilson show and under that assumption, Wilson continuing to produce top-15 numbers is a long shot. My hunch is that you can still move somewhere around that value and I'd jump at the opportunity to do so.
Cowboys: Dak looked good, but he's still going to be on the outside looking in at my top-10 at the position most (if not all) weeks. Pollard and Lamb might both return Round 1 value this season and are potential league winners: this offense runs through them and gives them an elite weekly floor.
Commanders: Remember when we thought this was a committee? Yea, those were confusing times. This is Brian Robinson's backfield and he's a top-20 guy, albeit one that comes with less upside because he doesn't excel in the pass game. He is starting to see moore opportunities receiving, though. But a handful of targets a week needs to see a slight boost if he’s to get into the Top 10 convo.
Broncos: Samaje Perine hardly being used was noteworthy. Javonte Williams wasn't overly productive, but the knock on him was health, not talent. We trust the prospect profile and with the lead role, his current price might be the cheapest we see.
Monday Night Football (Two Games!)
With Amari not expected to play, here’s who the computer is spitting out at the top projected players between the two games Monday night.
Remember, you can always adjust the projections and game scripts to your liking if you have a Run The Sims sub, and run simulations on those inputs…
10% DISCOUNT ON RUN THE SIMS TOOLS: SIMS, OPTO, PROJECTIONS, RESEARCH TOOLS, CONTEST SIMS
— PM