Week 17 Rankings, Injuries, XMAS DAY PROPS, SECRET Shows + Random Betting Trends
Merry Christmas
This newsletter has become more of an info dump for people who just want the info who maybe don’t have time to watch 10 hours of PME content every week. I mean, I likely wouldn’t watch all 10 hours either if I was the one who had to physically create it. I get it. But I want to thank every single person who has taken the time to sign up, watch, listen, or send a hateful instagram DM my way over the past year. From my family to you, MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!!!
If you’re the terrific type of person who is looking to give back to a show they enjoy this xmas season, it’s all the usual stuff. Using code MAYO and signing up to Underdog, joining the Golf One and Done, leaving a rating and review where you can, or simply telling some friends about the show. All these things are paramount to enduring The PME, MMN, and the newsletter remain free and frequent. (Also, there are two advanced links to the Best Bets show and Part 2 of the spreads in the HOT LINKS to entice everyone a little bit more.)
Just a reminder, one which has helped me tremendously over the year: The holidays are a fantastic time for a lot of people, but that doesn’t mean everyone. For some, even some in my own life, the holidays are filled with a tremendous amount of sadness. The default is to coax those people to “cheer up” but they really don’t want to. Maybe you all know this already, but I’d always just assumed growing up everyone enjoyed it as much as I did. Not the case. Have some empathy this time of year. You likely have no clue what people are going or have gone through.
HOT LINKS
NFL Week 17 Sunday DraftKings Picks, Lineups, Ownership, Stacks
NFL Week 17 Saturday DraftKings Picks, Lineups | 3 Game Slate Strategy
2024 PGA TOUR/GOLF Year in Review with Geoff & Kenny Kim
NFL Week 17 Spread Picks Part 1 | Jets Dysfunction | Cust Corner: Fast Food On Christmas (XMAS, TNF, SAT Games)
NFL Week 17 Best Bets, Teaser | Week 17 NFL Game Previews | NFL Game Breakdowns
Week 17 Spread Picks Part 2 | NFL Predictions | Cust Corner AI Chat Bots/Bagging Groceries
Fantasy Golf Picks: Top Underdog Sleepers, Best Late Picks | 2025 PGA Best Ball Draft Breakdown
Week 17 Injuries
Last Updated 12/27
QB
Jalen Hurts (Concussion) — OUT
Anthony Richardson (back, foot) — Questionable
Dorian Thompson-Robinson (calf) — IN
Derek Carr (Hand) — Expected OUT
RB
Alvin Kamara (Groin) — Leaning OUT
Gus Edwards (ankle) — OUT
J.K. Dobbins (knee) — IN
James Conner (knee) — Leaning IN
Isaac Guerendo (hamstring) — Leaning IN
Trey Benson (ankle) — Questionable
Jaleel McLaughlin (Quad) — Questionable
Justice Hill (Head) — Missed Game
Ken Walker (Knee) — Missed Game
WR
CeeDee Lamb (shoulder) — OUT FOR SEASON
Xavier Legette (groin) — Expected IN
Tee Higgins (ankle, knee) — Leaning IN
Christian Watson (Leg) — Questionable
Drake London (hamstring) — IN
Dymai Brown — Leaning OUT
Sterling Shepard — OUT
Jaylen Waddle (Knee) — Leaning IN
Alec Pierce (Concussion) — Leaning IN
Chris Olave (Concussion) — Questionable
Cedric Tillman (Concussion) — OUT
Tank Dell (leg) — OUT FOR SEASON
Nelson Agholor (concussion) — Missed Game
TE
David Njoku (knee) — OUT
Cade Otton (Knee) — OUT
Will Dissly (shoulder) — Questionable
XMAS DAY UNDERDOG PICKS
First off. Code MAYO unlocks a Patrick Mahomes FREE SQUARE you can add to or replace on my entry if you’re new to Underdog. Always take the FREE SQUARE. But not only did I play this 5-Pick entry, I also split them up into 3-pick and 2-pick plays for each individual game. Let make it a GREEN CHRISTMAS!!!!
(Oh, in case I forget to mention it elsewhere, I played AJ Barner 1st, Last and anytime TD for TNF)
TAIL THIS ENTRY (or fade) & Use code “MAYO” at underdog for a FREE PICK and deposit bonus up to $1000
PGA ONE AND DONE & FREE ENTRY
Now that the RACE FOR THE MAYO CUP is approaching 25% FILLED (Well ahead of the pace of any other year btw) I’m encouraging you to get some entries NOW for yourself or someone you know before it all fills up.
ANNNNNDDDD as an added bonus, if you reply to this newsletter or tweet at me with a screen shot of your entry for this year, you get in a draw for another FREE ENTRY in a Christmas Day Giveaway. And don’t worry, they’re be a couple more FREE ENTRY giveaways after that too.
Oh, if you live in a place where you can’t legally play, if you happen to be traveling for the holidays, sign up in that place and you cam make picks from anywhere all year long.
PLAY IN THE 2025 RACE FOR THE MAYO CUP ONE AND DONE
Here’s the breakdown of the Top 50 places. Top 690 of 4500 pay this year.
Season Long PGA Best Ball is LIVEEEEEE in the Underdog lobby and Byron and I went through the optimal strategy for drafting your teams and did two drafts together to show how they worked from start to finish. Check it out.
Fantasy Golf Picks: Top Underdog Sleepers, Best Late Picks | 2025 PGA Best Ball Draft Breakdown
Use code “MAYO” at underdog for a FREE PICK and deposit bonus up to $1000
The $50,000 Scramble Contest on Underdog is only 30% full and start in 7 days. It’;s only $10 to play and Underdog drafts are available even in states where the Pick’em game is banned. GET IN THERE!!!!!!!
Week 17 Fantasy Rankings
Like with the injuries, I’ll have the rankings updated before the start of each day’s game along with the corresponding news updates that trickle out during the week. Again, BOOKMARK IT!!! Good luck in the finals btw.
Week 17 RB Rankings
Saquon Barkley
Jahmyr Gibbs
Kyren Williams
Chase Brown
De'Von Achane
Bijan Robinson
Jonathan Taylor
Josh Jacobs
Chuba Hubbard
Bucky Irving
James Conner
Breece Hall
Brian Robinson Jr.
Aaron Jones
James Cook
Rico Dowdle
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Isaac Guerendo
Tony Pollard
JK Dobbins
Rhamondre Stevenson
Alexander Mattison
Tank Bigsby
Jerome Ford
Tyjae Spears
Rachaad White
Kendre Miller
Travis Etienne Jr.
Audric Estime
Javonte Williams
Ameer Abdullah
Antonio Gibson
Devin Singletary
Kenneth Gainwell
Kimani Vidal
Tyler Allgeier
Raheem Mostert
Ray Davis
Jordan Mims
Ty Johnson
Blake Corum
Isaiah Davis
D'Onta Foreman
Patrick Taylor Jr.
Jeremy McNichols
Rasheen Ali
Week 17 WR Rankings
Ja'Marr Chase
Puka Nacua
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Justin Jefferson
Mike Evans
Terry McLaurin
Brian Thomas Jr.
Courtland Sutton
Jauan Jennings
A.J. Brown
Tee Higgins
Ladd McConkey
Calvin Ridley
Davante Adams
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Malik Nabers
Jayden Reed
Garrett Wilson
Drake London
Jakobi Meyers
Adam Thielen
Jameson Williams
DJ Moore
Tyreek Hill
Jerry Jeudy
Josh Downs
Darnell Mooney
Jordan Addison
Romeo Doubs
Cooper Kupp
DeVonta Smith
Khalil Shakir
Xavier Legette
Christian Watson
Michael Pittman Jr.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Jalen McMillan
Jalen Coker
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Wan'Dale Robinson
DeMario Douglas
Quentin Johnston
Jaylen Waddle
Olamide Zaccheaus
David Moore
Devaughn Vele
Michael Wilson
Tyler Boyd
Tim Patrick
Elijah Moore
Adonai Mitchell
Ray-Ray McCloud III
Darius Slayton
Joshua Palmer
Allen Lazard
KaVontae Turpin
Brandin Cooks
Kayshon Boutte
Tre Tucker
Keon Coleman
Marvin Mims Jr.
Malik Washington
Kendrick Bourne
Parker Washington
Dante Pettis
Kevin Austin Jr.
Troy Franklin
Amari Cooper
Tutu Atwell
Demarcus Robinson
Andrei Iosivas
Ricky Pearsall
Jalen Tolbert
Dontayvion Wicks
Jamison Crowder
Josh Reynolds
Jalen Nailor
Devin Duvernay
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
Mack Hollins
Michael Woods II
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
Week 17 TE Rankings
Trey McBride
Brock Bowers
George Kittle
Jonnu Smith
Sam LaPorta
T.J. Hockenson
Hunter Henry
Zach Ertz
Tucker Kraft
Chig Okonkwo
Brenton Strange
Kyle Pitts
Austin Hooper
Juwan Johnson
Stone Smartt
Jake Ferguson
Ja'Tavion Sanders
Mike Gesicki
Payne Durham
Tommy Tremble
Dalton Kincaid
Grant Calcaterra
Noah Gray
Michael Mayer
Foster Moreau
Daniel Bellinger
Tyler Conklin
Cade Stover
Lucas Krull
Tyler Higbee
Dawson Knox
Jordan Akins
Colby Parkinson
Josh Whyle
Drew Sample
Kylen Granson
Drew Ogletree
Luke Schoonmaker
Luke Musgrave
Mo Alie-Cox
Week 17 QB Rankings
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Josh Allen
Bo Nix
Brock Purdy
Jared Goff
Baker Mayfield
Justin Herbert
Sam Darnold
Anthony Richardson
Jordan Love
Drake Maye
Michael Penix Jr.
Bryce Young
Matthew Stafford
Kyler Murray
Mason Rudolph
Aaron Rodgers
Cooper Rush
Tua Tagovailoa
Aidan O'Connell
Dorian Thompson-Robinson
Mac Jones
Kenny Pickett
Spencer Rattler
Drew Lock
Week 17 DST Rankings
Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
Cleveland Browns
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
Washington Commanders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
Las Vegas Raiders
New York Giants
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
New England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons
Arizona Cardinals
Week 17 Silly Gambling Notes (to Not Take Too Seriously)
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (Wednesday)
Betting: Since 2022, unders are 8-1 when the Chiefs play on short rest.
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (Wednesday)
Betting: The Ravens blew out the Dolphins in Week 17 last season. Since then, they are 0-4 ATS on short rest, failing to cover by an average of 7.4 points in those games.
Betting: Unders are 9-3-1 in Houston’s past 13 home games, most recently was Week 15’s 20-12 win over the Dolphins (closing total: 46.5 points).
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears (Thursday)
Betting: Seattle has covered four straight road games, all coming by more than six points.
Betting: Overs are 8-4 in Chicago’s past 12 games played as an underdog on short rest.
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (Saturday)
Betting: Unders are 7-3 in Los Angeles’ past 10 games played on extended rest.
Betting: Home underdogs on short rest have covered just seven of their past 24 games.
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals (Saturday)
Betting: The Broncos have covered five of six games on extended rest since the beginning of last season. The only one of those games that came on the road was in Buffalo in Week 10 last season, a 24-22 outright win as a seven-point underdog.
Betting: The Bengals are one of two teams (Patriots) playing a home game on short rest against a team on an extended week. The ATS results for teams in such spots are pretty flat, but overs have cashed in seven of the past 10.
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (Saturday)
Betting: Since the start of 2022, overs are 4-0 when the Cardinals play on extended rest (1-0 this season: 28-27 win over the Dolphins with a game that closed with a 46.5-point total).
Betting: The Rams have covered seven consecutive short rest games (average cover margin: 11.4 PPG).
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
Betting: The Jets have covered consecutive road games (both in Florida) after going 2-9-1 ATS in their previous 12 contests away from home.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Betting: Over tickets have come through in seven of Green Bay’s past 10 road divisional games.
Betting: The Vikings are 6-2 ATS at home this season (previous two seasons: 6-12 ATS).
Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Betting: Seven of Vegas’ past eight road games have finished at least seven points off of the closing spread.
Betting: The Saints are 4-4 ATS at home this season – they haven’t had a winning ATS year at home since 2017.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants
Betting: The Colts have failed to cover four straight December road games (three of those four carrying a failure to cover by at least 13 points).
Betting: Unders are 12-4 in New York’s past 16 home games (they are 1-5 ATS in their past six such games).
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Betting: The Panthers are 4-11 ATS in their past 15 road games. Carolina covered in Philadelphia in Week 14 – they haven’t covered consecutive road games since Weeks 11-14 in 2022.
Betting: The Buccaneers are just 1-6 ATS in their past seven home divisional games (the lone cover, however, was in Week 17 of 2022 against the Panthers).
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Betting: Tennessee is 2-13 ATS – unless they cover each of their final two games, they are going to finish as the worst ATS team of the 2000’s up to this point (the 2007 Ravens and the 2014 Titans both finished 3-13 ATS).
Betting: The Jaguars are just 3-9-1 ATS in their past 13 home December games.
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns
Betting: Including the playoffs, the Dolphins are 2-10 ATS in their past 12 with a kickoff temperature under 40 degrees.
Betting: The Browns are 0-4 ATS at home this season when not facing a divisional opponent (average cover margin: -13.8 PPG).
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Betting: Over tickets have cashed in four of Dallas’ past five road covers
Betting: Overs are 8-3 in Philadelphia’s past 11 home divisional games.
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders (SNF)
Betting: Rookie QBs are 16-8-1 ATS (66.7%) on primetime since the beginning of 2022.
Betting: Washington hit a rough patch in Weeks 10-12 and failed to cover three straight games – they are 9-2-1 ATS otherwise.
Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers
Betting: Seven straight long rest spots for the Lions have gone over the total and they have covered 10 of their past 12 such games.
Betting: San Francisco has failed to cover five straight long rest games (0-2 this season).