Week 17 Best Bets
Call me Charlie Chalk, but I’m not talking myself out of the Eagles & Cowboys. Anyway, watch the show. Cam is on FIREEEEEE in this one.
WATCH: Week 17 Best Bets
Week 17 Rankings
Last Updated: Wednesday Afternoon
Next Update: Thursday Afternoon
WATCH: Week 17 Rankings Debate
RB https://bit.ly/21W17RBs
WR https://bit.ly/21W17WRs
QB https://bit.ly/21W17QBs
TE/DST https://bit.ly/21W17TEDST
Week 17 Injury Report
Last Updated: Friday Morning
Next Update: Saturday Newsletter
Running Back
James Robinson (Achilles) OUT FOR SEASON
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Collar Bone) Likely OUT
Tevin Coleman (COVID LIST) Likely OUT
Darrell Henderson (Knee) OUT; On IR
Miles Sanders (Fractured Hand) OUT
Austin Ekeler (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Kareem Hunt (Ankle) Likely IN
Trey Sermon (IR) Likely IN
Antonio Gibson (hip) QUESTIONABLE
David Johnson (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Jordan Howard (Stinger) QUESTIONABLE
Elijah Mitchell (Knee) QUESTIONABLE
James Conner (heel) QUESTIONABLE
Rhamondre Stevenson (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Dalvin Cook (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
D’Andre Swift (shoulder) QUESTIONABLE
Wide Receiver
Adam Thielen (Ankle) OUT; On IR
Laviska Shenault (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Breshad Perriman (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Allen Robinson (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Brandin Cooks (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Jalen Guyton (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Mike Williams (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Cole Beasley (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Gabriel Davis (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Mike Evans (Hamstring/COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Darius Slayton (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Tre'Quan Smith (chest) QUESTIONABLE
Kadarius Toney (Shoulder) QUESTIONABLE
Emmanuel Sanders (knee) QUESTIONABLE
Josh Reynolds (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Kalif Raymond (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Julio Jones (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Nelson Agholor (Head) QUESTIONABLE
Tajae Sharpe (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Albert Wilson (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Deonte Harris (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Curtis Samuel (Hamstring) QUESTIONABLE
Devin Duvernay (ankle) QUESTIONABLE
Jamison Crowder (Calf) QUESTIONABLE
Rondale Moore (Ankle) QUESTIONABLE
Quarterback
Jimmy Garoppolo (Thumb) Likely OUT
Teddy Bridgewater (Head) OUT
Jared Goff (COVID LIST/Knee) Likely IN
Carson Wentz (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Taysom Hill (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Tyler Huntley (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Lamar Jackson (Ankle) QUESTIONABLE
Justin Fields (Ankle) QUESTIONABLE
Tight End
Travis Kelce (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Pat Freiermuth (Head) Likely IN
James O'Shaughnessy (hip) QUESTIONABLE
Tyler Kroft (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Darren Waller (Knee/COVID List) QUESTIONABLE
GOLF IS BACK!!!!!!
The Race for the MAYO CUP is BACK for 2022. And the prize pool is BIGGER this time around. It’s one pick in golf per week for the season, $125 per entry, up to five entries. So there’s $625 in dead money just from me.
If you’re a higher (or lower) roller, there are contests for you as well. This doesn’t start until the second week in January, but based on last year, it may be filled by New Year’s day. so GET IN NOW!!!!!
PLAY: GOLF ONE AND DONE LEAGUE
SPOLIER: There may be private leagues coming as well if you wanna take on your buddies.
Additionally, we always want to make sure Fantasy National is up to snuff for tools and data, and I’m FIRED UP to announce a BRAND NEW feature to the site. If you click on “Distance/Accuracy” on each player profile, you can now see how players shape the ball off the tee! I know this is something people have be looking for for years and now we’ve got it.
JOIN: Fantasy National Golf Club (20% Discount)
If you missed Part 1 of the Season Long Golf Draft… SHAME!!!!!! You can rectify that however and simple watch it now. I’m giving away free entrees into the OAD contest, so watch it just to find out what you need to do.
WATCH: PGA PLAYER DRAFT PICKS 1-33
WATCH: PGA PLAYER DRAFT PICKS 34-66
Oh, Geoff and I did a full season preview as well. Comes out Thursday or Friday. But since you’ve been kind enough to sub, here’s an advanced link. If you haven’t subbed, do that, please…
WATCH: 2022 PGA TOUR Majors + Season Preview
Andddddd….. if you NEED even more golf in your life, Kenny And Tambo are back with their season preview too. Do yourself a favor and just watch the trailer.
WATCH: FGD 2022 Majors Picks & Season Preview
Player Notes
Najee Harris ranks 38 of 46 qualifiers in yards per carry before contact and the Browns defense ranks 5th best at preventing yards to running backs after contact.
Christian Kirk has six games with multiple deep receptions (he has a deep TD in three of those games) and gets a play-making Cowboys defense that gambles … bottom-10 in both deep TD rate and yards per deep pass
The Chiefs allow the 7th highest TD rate to the slot and the 10th most yards per catch after the reception to WRs this season. Tyler Boyd has 8 more slot receptions than any two of his teammates have slot targets.
GALAXY BRAIN: Triple Stacking
With a handful of double digit spreads, the question for this week is simple: do you load up on those favorites? The cases are pretty straight forward: (a) the favorite is far superior, thus their players will ball out or (b) game script is going to be a problem. Both sides hold water, but for what it’s worth … 21.9% elite triple stacks (“elite triple stack”: one team offers a QB and two pass catchers – WR/TE – score 20+ DK points) came from a 10+ point favorite.
Now, that may not seem like a big number. But when you consider that only 14.6% of team games this season feature them being a double digit favorite, it profiles as the percentage play. An elite triple is never likely, but if you’re shooting for the moon and playing the numbers, you’re wise to target these massive favorites.
As long as we are talking triple stacks, here are the leaders in games in which they were a part of an elite triple this season (highlighted are players on double digit favorites this week).
With Chris Godwin out and Mike Evans very much trending in that way, it’s far to be skeptical about throwing in Tom Brady to such a build (not impossible, but a tough sell). That means a Bills triple (Isaiah McKenzie or Dawson Knox pending the status of Cole Beasley and Gabe Davis) or a Chiefs triple is the way to chase a ceiling week. Neither is a comfortable build given the price tags, but as we sit here on a Tuesday in the COVID era, here are a pair of ideas:
WEEK 17 SPREADS
I’ve taken the lead on Geoff with the Coin closing distance. Cust, of course, is now well behind. But he does share some xmas gripes with everyone…
WATCH: Week 17 Spread Picks + Cust Corner Mini
If you have more time to kill, the NEW Cust Corner dropped this week.
WATCH: CUST CORNER 37 — Very Merry Custmas
UFC!!!!
Cody and Paul have the end of the year UFC awards, if that’s something you’re into
WATCH: 2021 UFC Year in Review + MMA Awards
Find out who wins this prestigious award…
— PM