HOT LINKS
Week 17 DraftKings Picks
Week 17 Best Bets
2023 FANTASY GOLF DRAFT
Week 17 Spread Picks + Cust Corner
PGA Season & Majors Preview
A Very Custy Christmas
PME RAKE FREE NFL WEEK 17 CONTEST
PME RAKE FREE PGA CONTEST
DOP UFC YEAR IN REVIEW + AWARDS
WEEK 17 RANKINGS
Week 17 RANKINGS DEBATE & BREAKDOWN
RB https://bit.ly/22W17RBRanks
WR https://bit.ly/22W17WRRanks
QB https://bit.ly/22W17QBRanks
TE/DST https://bit.ly/22W17TEDST
Week 17 Injuries
RB
Tony Pollard (thigh) — DNP
Derrick Henry (hip) — DNP
Austin Ekeler (knee) — Questionable
Antonio Gibson (knee/foot) — OUT
Aaron Jones (Ankle) — Questionable
Travis Homer (Ankle) — Questionable
Damien Harris (thigh) — IN
WR
DeAndre Hopkins (Knee) — Likely OUT
Jerry Jeudy (ankle) — Questionable
Christian Watson (hip) — GAME TIME DECISION
Shi Smith (Foot/Head) — Questionable
Chris Olave (Hamstring) — Questionable
Equanimeous St. Brown (Concussion) — IN
Tyler Lockett (Finger) — Likely IN
Marquise Goodwin (Wrist) — Placed on IR
Mecole Hardman (abdomen) — OUT
Chase Claypool (knee) — Questionable
DeVante Parker (Concussion) — OUT
TE
Tyler Higbee (elbow) — Questionable
Will Dissly (knee) — Out for Season
Greg Dulcich (hamstring) — OUT
Kyle Granson (Ankle) — OUT
Hunter Henry (Knee) — Questionable
Jonnu Smith (Head) — Questionable
Hayden Hurst (calf) — Questionable
QB
Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) — OUT
Colt McCoy (concussion) — OUT
Ryan Tannehill (Ankle) — OUT
Jalen Hurts (Shoulder) — Likely OUT
Lamar Jackson (Knee) — OUT
Mike White (Ribs) — Likely in
Carson Wentz — Will Start
Derek Carr — BENCHED
GOLF IS BACK!!!!!!!!!!!
The GIANT One and Done starts at the Sony Open (in two weeks) but spots are going FAST. It’s around 40% full already so spots will likely be gone next week. ALSO, I’m giving away a FREE ENTRY. Once you get your first entry, screen shot it and shoot me a copy on twitter and you’ll get in a draw for another entry.
It’s $125 for the year (so $4 a week) and you can have up to 5 entries. PRO TIP: Set up the text alerts. It’ll save your ass. It’s literally the least intensive Fantasy Game on the Market. But one which pays $50K to first. $35K to second aint bad. Fuck, neither is $900 for 47th.
JOIN: 2023 GOLF ONE AND DONE LEAGUE
Oh, we also did our annual Fantasy Golf draft. That show is now available!!!!
WATCH: 2023 FANTASY GOLF DRAFT
Here are the results. Rick will have a much fancier version very soon on this site, but this is my chicken scratch version of the results…
Additionally, Feinberg and I got together to preview the season, LIV and each of the Majors…
WATCH: PGA Season & Majors Preview
GALAXY BRAIN: Davante Adams ($8,500 vs SF)
Adams has eliminated plenty of season long managers from their home leagues and he’s cost you dearly over the past three weeks if you paid up for him in any form on DFS. That’s just a fact. In those three games, he has TOTALED 9 grabs for 114 yards and 0 touchdowns. That’s just brutal.
Now, we could be living a version of Space Jam where his talent was sucked out of him and he no longer knows what to do on the football field. I’m happy to be wrong, but I don’t think that’s the case. He is still being priced as the full talent version of himself (WR3 on the DraftKings board, behind only Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill) and draws a seemingly tough matchup with the 49ers. The roster% numbers at this point aren’t flushed out, but I can’t imagine he garners much attention … he still has the slate breaking upside, does he not? In a spot where he is a home ‘dog by nearly a full touchdown?
The defense would like to make two arguments:
Adams has crossed 25 DK points six times this season. Five of those games came against a defense that currently ranks below league average in deep touchdown-to-interception rate (all six games against a team that ranks outside the top-12 in that metric). Well, the 49ers rank 20th in deep TD/INT rate (not to mention the 7th highest deep CMP%).
Six times has a receiver scored north of 20 DK points against the 49ers this season. In all six of those instances, the productive receiver scored over 7.5 points from the slot and five of them hauled in a deep pass. Why do those notes matter? In Week 15, the first game with Waller/Renfrow back, Adams ran 14.6% of his routes from the slot. Last week, that number spiked to 38.7%. Interesting. As for the deep numbers … he is averaging one more deep target per game this season than last.
If you want to stack Jarrett Stidham and Adams in an effort to be really different, do what you have to do. But if you went Purdy/Kittle with an Adams bring back, you still have a touch over $5,000 per player left. Chuck in a cheap D/ST and a flier receiver (DJ Chark type) and we are talking $5,800 left to build your backfield, a final receiver an your flex. This sort of build comes with risk … but there is plenty of upside that comes with building against a (likely) low-owned elite talent like Davante Adams.
Week 17 DraftKings
The sims are going to be in shambles until the actives are released Sunday morning. But then, they’ll become more valuable than at any other time this year. That said, it doesn’t hurt to see what they’re saying right now. You’ll wanna check back on them at 1140am ET Sunday however…
NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan
DIRECT LINK: PME RAKE FREE DRAFTKINGS CONTEST
Week 17 Spread Picks
Oatmeal is fun? How do criminal records work? Cust got an Apple Watch? Also, there are picks…
WATCH: WEEK 17 SPREAD PICKS & CUST CORNER
— PM