Week 16 Picks, Ranks, Injuries, DK Notes

+ Last of Xmas Giveaways

Dec 21, 2022

GIVEAWAY No. 1 — $1000

Still one last chance to get some ballots in the draw for the remaining $1000 xmas cash bonus. We’re drawing the winner on Friday’s PME with Tambo in studio so make sure you’ve entered. We’ve created a handy link to make it easy.

HERE ARE ALL THE WAYS TO GET INTO THE DRAW

An extra way to get a ballot is to like and share THIS NEWSLETTER post. Now that’s easy stuff.

GIVEAWAY No. 2 — $500

This one is super simple. OddsChecker is giving away $500. All you must do to enter is subscribe to their YouTube channel and comment “Mayo” on any of their videos.

Link: https://www.youtube.com/c/OddsCheckerUS?sub_confirmation=1

Check out THE HUDDLE every Thursday on OC with Ross Tucker, Pam Maldonado, Brian Matthews, and, of course, MEEEEE previewing the Week in the NFL.

HOT LINKS

Week 16 Best Bets

Week 16 Spread Picks & Cust Corner

Week 16 Rankings Debate

PME WEEK 16 RAKE FREE DRAFTKINGS CONTEST

PME RAKE FREE PGA CONTEST

SECRET LINK: DOP UFC YEAR IN REVIEW + AWARDS

RANKINGS LISTS

RB https://bit.ly/22W16RBRanks

WR https://bit.ly/22W16WRRanks

QB https://bit.ly/22W16QBRanks

TE/DST https://bit.ly/22W16TEDSTRanks

Week 16 Injuries

AJ Dillon (Concussion) — Likely IN

Nick Chubb (foot) — Likely IN

Jeff Wilson (Hip) — Likely IN

Caleb Huntley — OUT for season

Jonathan Taylor (Ankle) — OUT for Season

Damien Harris (thigh) — Questionable

Khalil Herbert (hip) — Questionable

Brandin Cooks (Calf) — Likely IN

Treylon Burks (Concussion) — Likely IN

Kendall Hinton (Hamstring) — Likely OUT

Devin Duvernay (foot) — OUT for Season

Chris Olave (Hamstring) — OUT

Jarvis Landry (Ankle) — OUT for season

Equanimeous St. Brown (Concussion) — OUT

Tyler Lockett (Finger) — OUT

Mecole Hardman (abdomen) — Likely OUT

Chase Claypool (knee) — Likely OUT

DeVante Parker (Concussion) — Likley OUT

Nico Collins (foot) — Likely OUT

Ben Skowronek (Ankle) — Questionable

Courtland Sutton (hamstring) — Questionable

Julio Jones (knee) — Questionable

Denzel Mims (Concussion) — DNP

Dallas Goedert (Shoulder) — Likely IN

Hayden Hurst (calf) — Questionable

Ryan Tannehill (Ankle) — OUT

Jalen Hurts (Shoulder) — OUT

Lamar Jackson (Knee) — OUT

Colt McCoy (Concussion) — OUT

Kenny Pickett (Concussion) — Likely IN

Matt Ryan (Awfulness) — BENCHED; Foles Starting

Russell Wilson (Concussion) — Questionable

Mike White (Ribs) — DNP

An Easier DraftKings Approach

Look, if an absolute dope like me can use the Run The Sims tools to turen $150 into $10,000, think about what you can do with tose saame tools. I mean, I can barely read. Jump in on the weekly membership (at 10% off) and give it a test ride.

NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan

The DraftKings main slate is SATURDAY this week as an FYI, and this is what RTS is spitting out as a first run of the best plays…

DIRECT LINK: PME RAKE FREE DRAFTKINGS CONTEST

Hopefully, the sims later in the week do not suggest a Jamaal Williams/D’Onta Foreman mini game stack. That $10K will not cover all those medical bills.

GOLF!!!!!!

Golf coverage will be returning to its regular Monday slot on The PME next week as me and fienberg do our yearly season & Majors preview. With the return of golf means the return of the PME RAKE FREE GOLF CONTEST!!!!! Which is now open for business.

DIRECT LINK: PME RAKE FREE GOLF CONTEST

The real money is going to be made in the Season Long One and Done. It’s still before xmas (in case you’re not familiar with calendars), and the contest is almost 20% full already. Every year, the LOSAHS complain to me the week of that they forgot about it and why can’t there be more spots because they wanted one. Imagine being a big enough moron to ask that btw.

POINT IS: This is a reminder to get your spot NOW and make sure you secure one of your (up to 5 entries) in the Race for The Mayo Cup.

It’s $125 for the entire year, and you only make one pick per week. It’s literally the least intensive Fantasy Game on the Market. But one which pays $50K to first. $35K to second aint bad. Fuck, neither is $900 for 47th.

We really worked on a flat pay out strucure to make sure if you have a good year you’re going to get rewarded in some way for that success.

JOIN: 2023 GOLF ONE AND DONE LEAGUE

GALAXY BRAIN: It’s Cam Stewart Week!

For anyone that has tuned into the Best Bets podcast, you’re well aware of Cam’s affinity for his cat teams. Take it or leave it, he loves him some cat teams … and I’m with him for GPP’s this week.

Let’s build from the back of the roster. Is anyone going to pay up for a Lions defense that is priced sixth on the main slate this week? Notta chance. I get that it’s not sexy, but a low ownership D/ST facing Sam Darnold? Seems OK by me. Well, that and the fact that the Lions (fourth in blitz rate and it’s only ticking up) play a Panthers team that allows the fourth highest sack rate when blitzed this season. Of 41 quarterbacks that hit basic playing time thresholds since Darnold entered the league in 2018, here are Darnold’s ranks when blitzed:

31st in interception rate
37th in yards per attempt
38th in accuracy

That’ll work. And what better way to get him throwing than to tell a story with a quick Lions strike? Chark leads the 181 players with at least 30 targets this season in aDOT (16.5) and the Panthers allow the 10thhighest deep CMP%. He ran a route on over 84% of Detroit drop backs last weekend and it only takes one play at a $4,200 price tag (as mentioned on the Ranks podcast with Jake, I worry a Jaycee Horn shadow, but it’s not a lock and again … one play is all it really takes).

As for the cat stack … Joe Burrow with both Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. That duo has accounted for more than half of Burrow’s career yards and touchdowns … if Tyler Boyd burns me he burns me. Whatever. The Pats can create pressure and that’s an issue in most spots, but Burrow is the third best fantasy QB on a per pass basis when feeling the heat, so I’m not scared.

Plug in a cheap TE (Daniel Bellinger is a greasy option in a fine spot) and you have over $5,500 left per player to round out a lineup with this structure. This leap of faith obviously carries quite a bit of risk, but the reward? The reward is there and if you pick the right surrounding pieces (I’m targeting RBs on big favorites), this could have you in the mix on Christmas Eve!

Week 16 Spread Picks

WATCH: Week 16 Spreads + Cust Corner

— PM