Week 16 Injuries, Fantasy Rankings, TNF Picks, SECRET Golf Show + Random Betting Trends
HOT LINKS
NFL Week 16 DraftKings Picks & Lineups
NFL Week 16 Best Bets, Teaser | Week 16 NFL Game Previews
Week 16 Spread Picks | NFL Predictions | Cust Corner: Christmas Party Etiquette, Gift Cards
SECRET LINK: 2024 PGA TOUR/GOLF Year in Review with Geoff & Kenny Kim
Fantasy Golf Picks: Top Underdog Sleepers, Best Late Picks | 2025 PGA Best Ball Draft Breakdown
PGA/LIV, Ryder Cup Pay, Gambling Influence on Golf, Pace of Play, TV Coverage with Michael Kim
Week 16 Injuries
QB
Aidan O’Connell (Knee) — IN
Geno Smith — IN
Derek Carr (Hand) — OUT; Spencer Rattler to Start
Tommy DeVito (Concussion) — Drew Lock to Start
Kirk Cousins BENCHED — Michael Penix To Start
Will Levis BENCHED — Mason Rudolph to Start
Jameis Winston BENCHED — DTR To Start
RB
Justice Hill (Head) — Exited Game
Alvin Kamara (Groin) — OUT
Isaac Guerendo (hamstring) — OUT
Trey Benson (ankle) — OUT
David Montgomery (Knee) — OUT Indefinitely
Kenneth Walker (Ankle/Calf) — IN
Zach Charbonnet (oblique) — IN
Roschon Johnson (concussion) — Leaning IN
Tony Pollard (ankle) — Leaning IN
Isaiah Davis (back) — Questionable
Jaleel McLaughlin (Quad) — Missed Game
Sincere McCormick (ankle) — OUT FOR SEASON
WR
Jaylen Waddle (Knee) — Expected OUT
Xavier Legette (groin) — OUT
Alec Pierce (Concussion) — OUT
Chris Olave (Concussion) — OUT
Cedric Tillman (Concussion) — OUT
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (ankle) — Questionable
AJ Brown (Ankle) — Questionable
Tank Dell (leg) — OUT FOR SEASON
George Pickens (hamstring) — Missed Game
TE
Cade Otton (Knee) — OUT (Payne Durham likely New TE in TB)
Zach Ertz (Concussion) — Questionable
David Njoku (hamstring) — Questionable
Luke Musgrave (ankle) — Questionable
Tyler Higbee (knee) — Leaning IN
Will Dissly (shoulder) — Missed Game
TNF UNDERDOG
If you’re new to Underdog you can get a JUSTIN HERBERT FREE PICK with code MAYO to replaced the Herbert pick I made. Also, I’d expect the Smartt number to vanish pretty quick since Hayden Hurst is now active. If it’s gone you can add Vidal o1.5 catches to get back to 5.88x or just roll the 3x with the other two! Good Luck
TAIL THIS ENTRY (or fade) & Use code “MAYO” at underdog for a FREE PICK and deposit bonus up to $1000
PGA ONE AND DONE
Now that the RACE FOR THE MAYO CUP is approaching 25% FILLED (Well ahead of the pace of any other year btw) I’m encouraging you to get some entries NOW for yourself or someone you know before it all fills up.
ANNNNNDDDD as an added bonus, if you reply to this newsletter or tweet at me with a screen shot of your entry for this year, you get in a draw for another FREE ENTRY in a Christmas Day Giveaway. And don’t worry, they’re be a couple more FREE ENTRY giveaways after that too.
Oh, if you live in a place where you can’t legally play, if you happen to be traveling for the holidays, sign up in that place and you cam make picks from anywhere all year long.
PLAY IN THE 2025 RACE FOR THE MAYO CUP ONE AND DONE
Here’s the breakdown of the Top 50 places. Top 690 of 4500 pay this year.
Season Long PGA Best Ball is LIVEEEEEE in the Underdog lobby and Byron and I went through the optimal strategy for drafting your teams and did two drafts together to show how they worked from start to finish. Check it out.
Fantasy Golf Picks: Top Underdog Sleepers, Best Late Picks | 2025 PGA Best Ball Draft Breakdown
Week 16 Spread Picks Cheatsheet
Week 16 Rankings
Week 16 RB Rankings
Jahmyr Gibbs
Saquon Barkley
Bijan Robinson
Josh Jacobs
Chase Brown
James Conner
Kyren Williams
Chuba Hubbard
De'Von Achane
Bucky Irving
James Cook
Rico Dowdle
Breece Hall
Jonathan Taylor
Aaron Jones
D'Andre Swift
Kenneth Walker
Kendre Miller
Brian Robinson Jr.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Tony Pollard
Jerome Ford
Ameer Abdullah
Rachaad White
Zach Charbonnet
Rhamondre Stevenson
Tank Bigsby
Travis Etienne Jr.
Alexander Mattison
Tyjae Spears
Tyler Allgeier
Braelon Allen
Ty Johnson
Raheem Mostert
Antonio Gibson
Patrick Taylor Jr.
D'Onta Foreman
Isaiah Davis
Cam Akers
Kenneth Gainwell
Roschon Johnson
Jeremy McNichols
Sean Tucker
Craig Reynolds
Ray Davis
Raheem Blackshear
Pierre Strong Jr.
Kenny McIntosh
Blake Corum
Cordarrelle Patterson
Devin Singletary
Chris Brooks
Jaylen Wright
JaMycal Hasty
Kyle Juszczyk
Emanuel Wilson
Ezekiel Elliott
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Khalil Herbert
Week 16 WR Rankings
Ja'Marr Chase
Puka Nacua
Justin Jefferson
Amon-Ra St. Brown
CeeDee Lamb
A.J. Brown
Mike Evans
Brian Thomas Jr.
Drake London
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Davante Adams
Jauan Jennings
Malik Nabers
Garrett Wilson
Tee Higgins
Calvin Ridley
Terry McLaurin
Jakobi Meyers
DK Metcalf
DeVonta Smith
Jordan Addison
Jerry Jeudy
Adam Thielen
Darnell Mooney
Khalil Shakir
Josh Downs
Cooper Kupp
Tyreek Hill
Romeo Doubs
DJ Moore
Jayden Reed
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Keenan Allen
Christian Watson
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
Wan'Dale Robinson
Elijah Moore
Jameson Williams
DeMario Douglas
Jalen McMillan
Allen Lazard
Jalen Coker
Rome Odunze
Tim Patrick
Tre Tucker
Keon Coleman
Sterling Shepard
Tyler Boyd
Tyler Lockett
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Dyami Brown
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Brandin Cooks
Amari Cooper
Michael Wilson
Darius Slayton
Malik Washington
David Moore
Kendrick Bourne
Olamide Zaccheaus
Mike Williams
Calvin Austin III
Marvin Mims Jr.
Parker Washington
Adonai Mitchell
Kayshon Boutte
Troy Franklin
Tutu Atwell
Andrei Iosivas
Van Jefferson
Devin Duvernay
Ricky Pearsall
Jalen Tolbert
Mack Hollins
Dontayvion Wicks
Demarcus Robinson
Jalen Nailor
KaVontae Turpin
Luke McCaffrey
Kevin Austin Jr.
Josh Reynolds
Curtis Samuel
Greg Dortch
Tylan Wallace
Jahan Dotson
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
Dante Pettis
Ja'Lynn Polk
Week 16 TE Rankings
Trey McBride
George Kittle
Brock Bowers
Jonnu Smith
Brenton Strange
T.J. Hockenson
Sam LaPorta
Tucker Kraft
Kyle Pitts
Zach Ertz
Jake Ferguson
Hunter Henry
Noah Fant
Cole Kmet
Juwan Johnson
Dalton Kincaid
Chig Okonkwo
Tyler Higbee
Jordan Akins
Mike Gesicki
Michael Mayer
Grant Calcaterra
Payne Durham
Austin Hooper
Dawson Knox
Jeremy Ruckert
Week 16 QB Rankings
Jalen Hurts
Josh Allen
Joe Burrow
Jayden Daniels
Baker Mayfield
Jordan Love
Jared Goff
Kyler Murray
Drake Maye
Sam Darnold
Brock Purdy
Michael Penix Jr.
Caleb Williams
Anthony Richardson
Aidan O’Connell
Geno Smith
Matthew Stafford
Aaron Rodgers
Tua Tagovailoa
Mason Rudolph
Cooper Rush
Dorian Thompson-Robinson
Bryce Young
Mac Jones
Spencer Rattler
Drew Lock
Week 16 DST Rankings
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
Jacksonville Jaguars
Atlanta Falcons
Las Vegas Raiders
Seattle Seahawks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Giants
Tennessee Titans
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
Miami Dolphins
Washington Commanders
New York Jets
Week 16 Silly Gambling Notes (to Not Take Too Seriously)
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (Thursday)
Betting: The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six short rest games as an underdog.
Betting: Under tickets have cashed in both short-rest Charger games this season, a change of pace after overs were 8-2-1 in such sports from 2018-23.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (Saturday, 1:00p)
Betting: Houston is 5-1-1 ATS in their past seven games played with a kickoff temperature under 60 degrees.
Betting: Since 2022, unders are 8-1 when the Chiefs play on short rest (2-0 this season with those two games going under the cumulative total by 19 points).
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (Saturday, 4:30p)
Betting: The Steelers have covered seven straight divisional games played in Week 16 or later, including three outright wins in Baltimore.
Betting: Overs are 8-3 in Baltimore’s past 11 home games (they are only 4-6-1 ATS in those contests).
New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
Betting: The Giants have covered three of their past four December road games.
Betting: Unders had cashed in 10 straight Falcon short rest games prior to the Week 5 meeting with the Bucs, a 36-30 win (44-point closing total).
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Betting: New England is 4-9 ATS in their past 13 AFC East games (1-4 ATS over their past five).
Betting: Overs are 5-1 in Buffalo’s past six home divisional games (2-0 when facing the Patriots).
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Betting: The Lions have covered eight of their past nine road divisional games (the exception? At Solider Field in Week 14 last season, a 28-13 loss as a three-point favorite).
Betting: The Bears have failed to cover each of their past three home games played on short rest, one of which came against a Super Bowl hopeful in convincing fashion (Week 16, 2022 vs. BUF: 35-13 loss as an eight-point underdog).
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Betting: The Browns are 3-12 ATS in their past 15 road divisional games (1-4 ATS in Cincinnati over that stretch).
Betting: Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS over their past six home divisional games.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Betting: Unders are 5-2 in Tennessee’s past seven divisional games played on the road.
Betting: Overs are 11-5 in Indianapolis’ last 16 home games.
Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets
Betting: The Rams have covered six of eight games after opening the season 1-5 ATS.
Betting: New York is 3-8 ATS in their past 11 home games (four of those losses came outright as a favorite).
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Betting: The Eagles lost 33-16 in Tampa Bay as a one-point favorite in Week 4 – they’ve covered all five of their road games since, beating the spread by at least eight points in each of those contests.
Betting: In Washington’s past three home games, sportsbooks have projected a total of 135 points – there have been 176 points scored in those games.
Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers
Betting: Arizona is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 road games (most recent: 23-22 loss to the Vikings as a 3.5-point underdog).
Betting: From Weeks 4-8, Carolina was 0-5 ATS. From Weeks 9-14, they were 5-0. After failing to cover on Sunday, is another run of underachieving awaiting?
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
Betting: Overs are 11-1 in Minnesota’s past 12 games played on short rest.
Betting: Five of the first six Seahawk games this season went over the total – unders are 6-2 since.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Las Vegas Raiders
Betting: Over tickets have cashed in five straight Jaguar games played indoors.
Betting: The Raiders have covered five straight games played on short rest (remember that 63-21 win over the Chargers last season?).
San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins
Betting: The 49ers are 5-9 ATS this season, a drastic downturn after covering 58% of their games (fourth highest) over the previous three seasons.
Betting: Over tickets have come through in each of Miami’s past five home games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (SNF)
Betting: Tampa Bay is just 4-15 ATS in their past 19 primetime games.
Betting: Dallas is 1-4 ATS in their past five primetime games played inside of Jerry’s World.
New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (MNF)
Betting: Unders are 15-1 in New Orleans’ last 16 games played on extended rest, going under by an average of 7.1 points)
Betting: The Packers failed to cover four straight games in the middle of the season (Weeks 7-11), but haven’t failed to cover a game since (3-0-1).
— PM