Mayo Media Newsletter

Share this post

Week 15 Picks, Ranks, Injuries, Player Notes

mayomedia.substack.com

Week 15 Picks, Ranks, Injuries, Player Notes

+ Spread Show, Cheatsheet & GOLF

Mayo Media
Dec 15, 2021
2
Share this post

Week 15 Picks, Ranks, Injuries, Player Notes

mayomedia.substack.com

GOLF IS BACK!!!!!!

The Race for the MAYO CUP is BACK for 2022. And the prize pool is BIGGER this time around. It’s one pick in golf per week for the season, $125 per entry, up to five entries. So there’s $625 in dead money just from me.

If you’re a higher (or lower) roller, there are contests for you as well. This doesn’t start until the second week in January, but based on last year, it may be filled by New Year’s day. so GET IN NOW!!!!!

PLAY: GOLF ONE AND DONE LEAGUE

SPOLIER: There may be private leagues coming as well if you wanna take on your buddies.

Additionally, we always want to make sure Fantasy National is up to snuff for tools and data, and I’m FIRED UP to announce a BRAND NEW feature to the site. If you click on “Distance/Accuracy” on each player profile, you can now see how players shape the ball off the tee! I know this is something people have be looking for for years and now we’ve got it.

JOIN: Fantasy National Golf Club (20% Discount)

Oh, we’re recording the season long golf draft show starting next week, and I’ll be giving away FREE ENTRIES into the One and Done as a part of the MEGA SHOW. So, tune in. Full time golf is almost back.

Week 15 Rankings

Last Updated: FRIDAY
Next Update: Saturday Morning Newsletter

WATCH: Week 15 Rankings Breakdown

RB https://bit.ly/21w15RBs
WR https://bit.ly/21w15WRs
QB https://bit.ly/21W15QBs
TE/DST https://bit.ly/21W15TEDST

Week 15 Injury Report

Last Updated: FRIDAY
Next Update: Saturday Morning

LV/CLE Postponed Until MONDAY
PHI/WAS Postponed Until TUESDAY
SEA/LAR Postponed Until TUESDAY

Running Back

  • Austin Ekeler (Ankle) Likely IN

  • Michael Carter (ankle) Likely IN Week 15

  • Damien Harris (Hamstring) OUT

  • Leonard Fournette (Ankle) Likely IN

  • Aaron Jones (Knee) Likely IN

  • Alex Collins (COVID LIST) Likely OUT

  • Saquon Barkley (ankle) Likely IN

  • Alexander Mattison (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Chase Edmonds (Ankle) Likely IN

  • Darrell Henderson (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • James Conner (Foot) Likely IN

  • Kareem Hunt (Ankle) OUT

  • Rex Burkhead (Groin) Likely OUT

  • Tevin Coleman (Concussion) Likely IN

  • Adrian Peterson (Back) QUESTIONABLE

  • Travis Homer (Calf) QUESTIONABLE

  • David Johnson (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • Javonte Williams (leg) Likely IN

  • Jamaal Williams (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Carlos Hyde (concussion) OUT

  • Elijah Mitchell (Head/Knee) Likely OUT

  • Mark Ingram (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • D’Andre Swift (shoulder) Likely OUT

  • Mike Boone (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • JD McKissic (Head) QUESTIONABLE

  • Tony Pollard (Foot) Likely IN

  • Gio Bernard (Knee) OUT For Regular Season

  • Miles Sanders (Ankle) Likely IN

  • Jordan Howard (knee) Likely IN

  • Phillip Lindsay (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Myles Gaskin (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • Salvon Ahmed (COVID LIST) Likely IN

Wide Receiver

  • Tyler Lockett (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Freddie Swain (ankle) QUESTIONABLE

  • D'Wayne Eskridge (foot) QUESTIONABLE

  • Jaylen Waddle (COVID LIST) Likely OUT

  • Allen Robinson (COVID LIST) Likely OUT

  • DeAndre Hopkins (Knee) Likely OUT FOR SEASON

  • Jarvis Landry (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Odell Beckham (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Quez Watkins (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Dez Fitzpatrick (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • D.J. Moore (Hamstring) Likely IN

  • Terry McLaurin (concussion) QUESTIONABLE

  • Emmanuel Sanders (Knee) Likely OUT

  • Kadarius Toney (quad/COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Marquise Goodwin (foot) QUESTIONABLE

  • Adam Thielen (Ankle) Likely OUT 1-3 Weeks

  • Anthony Schwartz (concussion) OUT

  • Elijah Moore (Quad) ON IR

  • Randall Cobb (Core) ON IR

  • AJ Brown (Chest) ON IR

  • Antonio Brown (FAKE VAX) OUT til Dec 26

  • Deonte Harris (DUI) OUT two more Games

  • Will Fuller (finger) ON IR

Quarterback

  • Bake Mayfield (COVID LIST) Likely OUT

  • Josh Allen (Toe) IN

  • Taylor Heinicke (Knee/COVID LIST) Likely OUT

  • Lamar Jackson (Ankle) Likely OUT

  • Jalen Hurts (Ankle) QUESTIONABLE

  • Daniel Jones (Neck) OUT

Tight End

  • David Njoku (COVID LIST) Likely IN

  • Austin Hooper (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • Harrison Bryant (ANKLE) QUESTIONABLE

  • David Njoku (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE

  • T.J. Hockenson (hand) OUT FOR SEASON

  • Darren Waller (Knee) OUT

GALAXY BRAIN: Tony Pollard ($5,800 at NYG)

And you thought a buying window on Pollard was shut. Not so fast! Zeke is the second highest priced back on the main slate and while that may seem crazy, keep in mind that this is a shallower player pool than most weeks than to Saturday’s action and that Pollard obviously sat last week. Oh, and he’s the only active RB priced $6,500 or better that has a pretty green OPRK rank next to his name. So while he is pricy, I expect him to still draw at least some interest and that naturally takes people off of Pollard. As does Dak Prescott being in a good spot where so many of the top options at the QB position are banged up (you’d be surprised how impactful that Q can be next to their name when it comes to projecting popularity). Hell, even for those that are off other pieces in this offense … are they going to land on Pollard? After Corey Clement got 13 carries last week and offers another mouth to if not feed, at least worry about? In a price range that includes “LAR starting RB” in a good spot and AJ Dillon, who is defacto Pollard but with a role that seems to be trending toward the lead in Green Bay? My thinking is no, but that’s not the main reason I’m on him: it’s simply a benefit.

First of all: Zeke isn’t the pounder people want him to be. He has 9 red zone carries over his past 7 games which sounds find until you realize that 6 of them came against the Falcons in Week 10. In the other six games: 3 red zone carries. That doesn’t scream to me a team that is comfortable with their red zone package, thus leaving the door open for Pollard. But that’s not the main reason I’m on him: it’s simply a benefit.

Dallas is the 7th run heaviest first quarter offense in the NFL and as massive favorites, figure to walk into a positive game script sooner than later. But that’s not the main reason I’m on him: it’s simply a benefit.

How about this? The Giants are the 2nd worst per carry defense when opposing RBs run right, allowing 32.2% more YPC in those situations than the average team. Not that they are great when opponents go left (9th worst, 7.2% worse than league average), but the right side has proven to be especially troublesome. And guess what? Pollard is a print fest when running right. And Zeke … well, he’s not.

  •               Pollard to the right: 6.2 yards per carry (43 carries for 266 yards)

  •               Zeke to the right: 3.4 yards per carry (55 carries for 185 yards)

I like him for all formats. That includes this cant-imagine-it-gets-duplicated-fade-the public-perception GPP build that sounds good. Here on a Tuesday at least.

Week 15 Player Profiles

Since Week 6, the Broncos rank 6th in pressure rate when NOT blitzing: they can get after it without having to commit additional resources.

This season, Joe Burrow ranks 4th in fantasy points per pass attempt when not pressured, but falls to 12th when feeling the heat. And by the way, don’t box score chase with him. He was QB26 in Weeks 9-13 and got over 65% of his points last week in the fourth quarter. Those points still count, but realistically, he’s been held in check for 19 of the past 20 quarters and Denver is a top-10 deep ball defense in completion percentage, yards per attempt as well as yards per completion.

Darnell Mooney could be a playoff week winner in season long leagues. Since returning from their Week 7 bye, the Vikes have given up over 20 PPR points to four different WR1’s and is there really any question that Mooney Tunes is that in Chicago? He obviously carries risk, but considering Minnesota is bottom 5 in deep yards per attempt and deep TD rate, not to mention the worst defense against the slot on a per pass basis … there’s more upside than downside in this spot that could determine your playoff matchup!

WEEK 15 SPREAD PICKS

As always, the Spread Picks show is HERE a night early for you, the amazing newsletter subs. If you stumbled here by accident, SUB NOW

WATCH: Week 15 Spread Picks + Cust Corner

Zee Cheatsheet…

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

WATCH: TNF DraftKings Showdown Picks

Oh, Prize Picks is giving away FREE MONEY on their site for TNF too. Just use Code “MMN” if you’re a new player and take advantage of the FREE MONEY.

PLAY AT PRIZE PICKS USING CODE “MMN”

TOOLS: Run The Sims optimizer, simulations & Projections only $100 from now through the Super Bowl

Here are my customized projections for TNF at RB + WR. I was surprised there wasn’t a bigger gap between Hill and Allen.

— PM

Share this post

Week 15 Picks, Ranks, Injuries, Player Notes

mayomedia.substack.com
TopNew

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 Mayo Media
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing