Week 15 Picks, Props, Trends, Injuries, Cheatsheets
WEEK 15 SHOWS AND HOT LINKS
WATCH: Week 15 Best Bets, Teaser, Cam Themes
WATCH: NFL Week 15 Spread Picks + Cust Corner: Unplugging Appliances
WATCH: UFC 296 Picks, Bets, Props | Edwards vs Covington Fight Previews
THURSDAY: Saturday Slate DraftKings Picks (Rasa)
FRIDAY: Sunday Slate DraftKings Picks (Tambo)
Sunday Slate DraftKings Listener’s League: https://bit.ly/23W15PMEDKSUNDAY
Week 15 Injuries
RB
Josh Jacobs (Knee) — Expected OUT
Rhamondre Stevenson (Ankle) — Expected OUT
Isiah Pacheco (shoulder) — Expected OUT
Jonathan Taylor (Thumb) — Expected OUT
De’Von Achane (toe) — Questionable
Aaron Jones (knee) — Questionable
Alexander Mattison (Ankle) — Questionable
Elijah Mitchell (knee) — Questionable
Brian Robinson (Hamstring) — Questionable
Week 15 Rankings
RB https://bit.ly/23W15RBRanks
WR https://bit.ly/23W15WRRanks
QB https://bit.ly/23W15QBRanks
TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W15TEDSTRanks
WR
Keenan Allen — OUT
Josh Palmer (Knee) — Expected IN
Christian Watson (Hamstring) — Expected OUT
Nico Collins (Calf) — Expected OUT
Tutu Atwell (Concussion) — Expected OUT
Mack Hollins (Ankle) — Expected OUT
Ja’Marr Chase (ankle) — Expected IN
Tyreek Hill (ankle) — Expected IN
Justin Jefferson (Chest) — Expected IN
Rashid Shaheed (Thigh) — Expected IN
Demario Douglas (Head) — Expected IN
Hollywood Brown (Heel) — Expected IN
Michael Wilson — Expected IN
Diontae Johnson (knee) — Questionable
DJ Moore (ankle) — Questionable
TE
Darren Waller (Hamstring) — Expected IN
Dalton Schultz (Hamstring) — Expected IN
Hayden Hurst (concussion) — Expected OUT
Tyler Higbee (Concussion) — Questionable
Taysom Hill (foot, hand) — Expected IN
Greg Dulcich (hamstring) — 21 Day Return Window Activated
QB
CJ Stroud (Concussion) — Questionable
Kenny Pickett (Ankle) — OUT for Week 15
Justin Herbert (Broken Finger) — OUT for SEASON
TNF PROPS — LAC/LV
The strongest prop right now (until the prop flood gates open up around 5pm ET, check back then for a free round of sims on Run The Sims) is this Ekeler under receptions. Stop checks out: Ekeler has gone under 4.5 receptions in seven of ten (almost a full Voyager) games.
It is worrisome with the switch from Herbert to Easton Stick however, and Keenan Allen being out to a lesser extent, I suppose. Who knows how many designs Ekeler will have in a simple attempt to get their one remaining decent skill player into space?
The one I really like, which is rated worse by the sims, is AOC over 18.5 completions. Issue is, it’s not yet available at most books. Sure, there’s talk of AOC getting benched if he plays poorly; I’m not too concerned about that until next week, though.
Even in LV’s 3-0 loss a week ago O’Connell passed this number btw. Once injury news about Josh Jacobs gets released more Raiders prop markets will open up. I’ll do an extra scan when those drop and see what’s what. If there’s anything new or a SGP to be had, I’ll tweet it out this evening.
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Week 15 Cheatsheets
WATCH: Week 15 Best Bets, Teaser, Cam Themes
Thanks to X user Jordan, you now have a starting point for all of Cam’s Themes. Cam has selected “Human Workers” as his theme this week.
WATCH: NFL Week 15 Spread Picks + Cust Corner: Unplugging Appliances
Coincidence? Can there ever be with cust?
Week 15 Betting Trends (For non-serious purposes only)
The Raiders are 9-5 ATS at home since the beginning of last season (5-10-1 on the road). The Chargers are just 1-5 ATS on the road this season (failing to cover by an average of 6.3 points).
Under tickets have cashed in five of Minnesota's past seven games against a bottom 10 passing offense. The Bengals have covered 11 of their past 15 games following an outright victory (beat the Colts 34-14 last week).
At 4-10 outright, the Colts are the second worst home team since the beginning of last season.
At 16-7, the Lions are the best ATS team in the league since the start of 2021.
Overs are 5-2 since the beginning of last season when the Bears face a bottom 10 offense. The Browns are 8-4 ATS since the beginning of last season against bottom 10 pass offenses.
Unders are 10-5 in Tampa Bay's past 15 road games. Unders are 9-4 following Green Bay's past 13 losses.
Since the beginning of last season, unders are 8-2 when the Texans play a bottom 10 pass offense.
Unders are 10-4 since the beginning of last season when the Jets are getting more than three points. The Dolphins are 11-4 ATS since the beginning of last season when playing in warm weather. Early forecasts are calling for low-to-mid 70's on Sunday as the 'Fins look to avoid consecutive ATS losses in such a spot.
Overs cash at a league best 65.2% rate since the beginning of 2021 when the Chiefs play on the road.
The over hit last week, but unders were 10-6 prior to that outlier since the beginning of last season when the G-men are getting more than a field goal. The Saints are a perfect 5-0 outright this season when playing a bottom 10 pass offense this season and have seen unders come through in nine of their past 11 against a bottom 10 overall offense since the beginning of last season.
The Falcons are just 3-10 outright on the road since the beginning of last season.
The Rams have played nine games against a top 10 pass offense since the beginning of last season -- they've lost all nine of those games outright.
Overs are 12-7-1 following a 49er win since the beginning of last season.
The Bills have won six of their past seven games outright against top 10 defenses.
Unders are 10-4 since 2021 when the Ravens are a road favorite.
Under tickets have come through following each of Philadelphia's past five outright losses. Unders are 6-3 since the beginning of last season when the Seahawks face a top 10 rush defense.
— PM