PME PROGRAMMING NOTE
Because of the Tuesday games and Christmas this weekend, the Spread Picks show is being moved to Tuesday with the Rankings Show going to Wednesday. The Best Bets show is now on Thursday for this week
Sub to the show btw…
Video: https://bit.ly/YTMMN
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
Stitcher: http://goo.gl/Ft3Gmr
MONDAY + TUESDAY NIGHT
LV/CLE Postponed Until MONDAY
PHI/WAS Postponed Until TUESDAY
SEA/LAR Postponed Until TUESDAY
Beyond the typical Showdown slates for Primetime, since there are now four games the next two days, there is a two-game Monday slate on DraftKings and also three-game contests with the late MNF game and the Tuesday games. No four tho.
WATCH: DK Showdown Picks & Props — MIN/CHI + LV/CLE
Beyond DK, there’s plenty of ways to get down on the action Monday. LQ went through his Prize Picks Prop plays and came up with the Fields/Jacobs combo. Of note, by using code “MMN” at first deposit at Prize Picks, they’ll match you up to $100. So deposit $100, get $200. How doesn’t want a FREE $100?
PLAY AT PRIZE PICKS USING CODE “MMN”
The easiest way to navigate these small slates is to just simulate the projections 10000 time. Which you can do, with your own custom inputs, at Run The Sims. Here’s how mine turned out.
TOOLS: Run The Sims Optimizer, Simulations & Projections only $100 from now through the Super Bowl
Obviously, a lot can change pregame, especially for the Browns should players begin to get activated off the COVID RESERVE List and suit up Monday. Fortunately, you can re run the 10,000 simulation in under 10 seconds and get your projections and lineups all over again.
Week 15 Injury Report
Last Updated: Monday Afternoon
Next Update: Monday Night
Running Back
Travis Homer (Calf/COVID LIST) Likely OUT
JD McKissic (Neck) Likely OUT
Kareem Hunt (Ankle/COVID LIST) OUT
Darrell Henderson (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Miles Sanders (Ankle) Likely IN
Jordan Howard (knee) Likely IN
Mark Ingram (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Mike Boone (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Alex Collins (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Alexander Mattison (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Adrian Peterson (Back) QUESTIONABLE
Leonard Fournette (Hamstring) Exited Game
Joe Mixon (Knee) Exited Game
Carlos Hyde (concussion) DNP
Elijah Mitchell (Head/Knee) DNP
D’Andre Swift (shoulder) DNP
Jamaal Williams (COVID LIST) DNP
Phillip Lindsay (COVID LIST) DNP
Jamaal Williams (COVID LIST) DNP
Damien Harris (Hamstring) DNP
Gio Bernard (Knee) OUT For Regular Season
Wide Receiver
Jarvis Landry (COVID LIST) OUT
Allen Robinson (COVID LIST) Likely OUT
Marquise Goodwin (foot) Likely OUT
Adam Thielen (Ankle) GAME TIME DECISION (Likely OUT tho)
Odell Beckham (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Freddie Swain (ankle) Likely IN
D'Wayne Eskridge (foot) Likely IN
Terry McLaurin (concussion) Likely IN
Anthony Schwartz (concussion) QUESTIONABLE
Quez Watkins (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Tyler Lockett (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Mike Evans (Hamstring) Exited Game
Chris Godwin (Knee) Exited Game; Likely OUT FOR SEASON
Julio Jones (Hamstring) Exited Game
Rondale Moore (Ankle) Exited Game
Sterling Shepard (Achilles) Exited Game; OUT FOR SEASON
Nelson Agholor (Head) Exited Game
Kadarius Toney (quad/COVID LIST) DNP
DeAndre Hopkins (Knee) OUT FOR SEASON
Elijah Moore (Quad) ON IR
Randall Cobb (Core) ON IR
AJ Brown (Chest) ON IR
Antonio Brown (FAKE VAX) OUT til Dec 26
Deonte Harris (DUI) OUT two more Games
Will Fuller (finger) ON IR
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield (COVID LIST) OUT
Case Keenum (COVID LIST) OUT
Jalen Hurts (Ankle) Likely IN
Taylor Heinicke (Knee/COVID LIST) Likely OUT
Teddy Bridgewater (Head) Exited Game
Lamar Jackson (Ankle) DNP
Daniel Jones (Neck) DNP
Tight End
Darren Waller (Knee) OUT
Foster Moreau (core) Likely IN
Austin Hooper (COVID LIST) OUT
David Njoku (COVID LIST) Likely IN
Tyler Higbee (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Harrison Bryant (ANKLE) QUESTIONABLE
David Njoku (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Pat Freiermuth (Head) Exited Game
T.J. Hockenson (hand) OUT FOR SEASON
Week 15 RB Snaps
GOLF IS BACK!!!!!!
The Race for the MAYO CUP is BACK for 2022. And the prize pool is BIGGER this time around. It’s one pick in golf per week for the season, $125 per entry, up to five entries. So there’s $625 in dead money just from me.
If you’re a higher (or lower) roller, there are contests for you as well. This doesn’t start until the second week in January, but based on last year, it may be filled by New Year’s day. so GET IN NOW!!!!!
PLAY: GOLF ONE AND DONE LEAGUE
SPOLIER: There may be private leagues coming as well if you wanna take on your buddies.
Additionally, we always want to make sure Fantasy National is up to snuff for tools and data, and I’m FIRED UP to announce a BRAND NEW feature to the site. If you click on “Distance/Accuracy” on each player profile, you can now see how players shape the ball off the tee! I know this is something people have be looking for for years and now we’ve got it.
JOIN: Fantasy National Golf Club (20% Discount)
Oh, we recorded the season long golf draft show and I’ll be giving away FREE ENTRIES into the One and Done as a part of the MEGA SHOW. And there’s good news. You can watch part one (Picks 1-33)… RIGHT NOW!!!!!!
WATCH: 2022 PGA Draft Picks 1-33
Week 15 Game Notes
Panthers: Ameer Abdullah had one fewer touch than Chuba Hubbard, but more than 3x’d him in fantasy points
- The Panthers still have two games against the Bucs, where the offensive game plan will be pass heavy to say the least
Bills: Gabriel Davis has scored in 3 straight games (he had 2 TD catches this season prior)
- 4 TDs on 19 targets over the past 3 weeks
- 5 catches in consecutive games (0 such games this season prior)
Cardinals: Kyler Murray has 1 TD passes on 90 attempts over the past 2 weeks. Through 13 weeks, Murray led the NFL with a TD on 7% of his passes.
- Why can assuming game script be a problem? The 13-point favorite Cardinals had 3 RB Rush attempts in the first half … they trailed 17-0 at the half
Lions: If you extend Amon-Ra St. Brown’s past 3 games for an entire season: 156 catches, 198 targets, 1411 yards and 11 TD catches
- He had a 42.3% target share against the Cardinals
Jets: For the 7th time in his 10 games this season, SACK Wilson failed to throw a TD pass
- No NYJ skill player had more than 50 total yards (4 Dolphins got there).
Dolphins: On a week where the Dolphins pass game was popular (streaming in a goofy week and in DFS), Duke Johnson gets his second rushing touchdown in the past 720 days.
Cowboys: Dalton Schultz has at least 7 targets in 3 of his past 5 games
- This was his 8th game with at least 10.5 DK fantasy points
Giants: 4 straight games with at least 17 touches for Saquon Barkley
- He has 3+ catches in every game since returning … but doesn’t have a game with 65 rushing yards over that stretch
Titans: D’Onta Foreman has 20+ touches or a score in 3 straight games
- The commitment to the ground game is here to stay … three of Tennessee’s top scoring players in Week 15 were running backs
Steelers: Najee Harris has under 15 receiving yards in 3 of his past 4 games
- He was held to a season low 1.5 yards per carry, but it was his 4th time in 5 games being held under 3.5 yards per carry
Texans: Brandin Cooks had a pair of TD catches … making December his first MONTH this season with multiple TD receptions
- He was the only Texan with more than 4 targets
Jaguars: At least 5 targets in 4 straight games for Laquon Treadwell
- He’s gone over 50 receiving yards in all 4 of those games, but in this offense … value is limited: he still hasn’t scored this season
Packers: 7 straight games with under 60 rushing yards for Aaron Jones
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has at least 7 targets in 3 of his past 4 games
Ravens: Mark Andrews has scored or seen 10+ targets in 8 of his past 10 games
- Marquise Brown caught a season high 10 passes … and was somehow still held under 60 receiving yards for a 5th straight game
Bengals: Tyler Boyd has seen at least 5 targets in 4 of 5 games since the Week 10 bye and has been good for over 80 receiving yards in 2 of his past 3
- Ja’Marr Chase scored 21.2 PPR points in the 4th quarter last week vs SF. In his most recent 7 quarters, not including that outlier … 5.4 points
Broncos: Melvin Gordon is a starter in name only. He got the first 3 carries. After that first series, Javonte Williams out-touched him 19-13 and out-gained him 81-49
Falcons: Has the Cordarrelle Patterson thing run its course? Under 14 fantasy points in 3 straight games
- In those 3 games, he has a total of 24 receiving yards
- In the past 2 games: 2.8 yards per carry
49ers: 5 straight games for WR Deebo Samuel with a rush TD
- 3rd season ever in which a player has had 1,000 receiving yards, 5 TD catches and 7 TD runs (others: Marshall Faulk and Roger Craig)
WEEK 15 BETS
Since there are still four games to go…
WATCH: Week 15 Spread Picks + Cust Corner
It’s hilarious how much the spreads have moved this week.
UFC
Derrick Lewis finished off the final UFC card of the year, and Cody Saftic recapped it. There’s one more DOG OR PASS PODCAST before the new year. Likely dropping next week for a year in review
WATCH: UFC Vegas 45 Recap
— PM