Week 14 Sunday Morning Update
TL;DR
Jakobi Meyers is OUT for MNF.
Giving away $2000 in cash. Plus, another $500 at the bottom.
Seahawks RBs are likely out. We’re all rolling with Travis Homer, but if it’s Tony Jones for no reason don’t be stunned.
JK Dobbins is BACK for BAL. No clue how this plays out.
MMN XMAS BONUS
We’re giving away $2,000 in cash. Want some of it? Get your Ballots in the draw here
DRAFTKINGS CONTEST
DIRECT LINK: Week 14 PME DRAFTKINGS LEAGUE
200 spots remain as of this typing. GET IN NOW
Week 14 HOT LINKS
Week 14 Ranks Update & Props
Week 14 DraftKings Picks
Week 14 Best Bets
Week 14 Spread Picks + Cust Corner
Week 14 Rankings Debate
Week 14 Rankings Lists
RB https://bit.ly/22W14RB
WR https://bit.ly/22W14WR
QB https://bit.ly/22W14QB
TE/DST https://bit.ly/22W14TEDST
Week 14 Injuries
WATCH: Week 14 Injury Report Breakdown
RB
Saquon Barkley (neck) — GAME TIME DECISION
Kenneth Walker III (ankle) — Likely OUT
DeeJay Dallas (ankle) — Likely OUT
Damien Harris (thigh) — Likely OUT
Leonard Fournette (foot) — Likely IN
J.K. Dobbins (knee) — IN
Joe Mixon (Concussion) — IN
Travis Homer (knee) — IN
Micheal Carter (Ankle) — IN
WR
Amari Cooper (hip) — GAME TIME DECISION (Leaning IN)
Courtland Sutton (hamstring) — OUT
Brandin Cooks (Calf) — OUT
Nico Collins (foot) — OUT
Treylon Burks (Concussion) — OUT
Jakobi Meyers (concussion) — OUT
Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) — OUT
Rondale Moore (Groin) — Likley OUT
James Washington (Foot) — Likely IN
DK Metcalf (hip) — Likley IN
Quez Watkins (shoulder) — IN
Greg Dortch (thumb) — IN
Mike Williams (Ankle) — IN
Tee Higgins (Hamstring) — Likely IN
TE
Hayden Hurst (calf) — OUT
David Njoku (knee) — IN
Donald Parham (hamstring) — Designated to return from IR
QB
Davis Mills — Starting for HOU
Trevor Lawrence (toe) — LIKELY IN
Jimmy Garoppolo (Foot) — OUT FOR SEASON
Lamar Jackson (Knee) — Likely OUT
Tua Tagovailoa (Ankle) — Likely IN
Week 14 DraftKings
With Tambo BACK in of town, he listened to me as I built Geno Smith lineups until I was tired. Very nice of him. He’s also the one giving away the $2K. Also nice of him.
WATCH WEEK 14 DRAFTKINGS PICKS
My partner at Run The Sims, Justin Freeman, has put together an excellent thread (and fancy excel screenshot) of the chlak, optimals, and their combos. This is all for DraftKings. He posted a similar style chart for some other site, but I had never heaard of it. Something to do with Fan Death or jousting or something like that. Check Justin’s twitter for it if you’re interested…
NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan
Of course no week would be complete without TAMBO’S TIDBITS.
Week 14 BETTING
Admit it, you like betting overs. You just do. We all do … it’s fun to watch, it helps our fantasy rosters and so on. Betting every over is betting malpractice, but with the intel, you can bet your overs in a reasonable way. Here are the top ATS teams when the game goes over the total:
Bengals: 4-0
49ers / Jets: 4-1
Lions: 6-2
Commanders: 3-1
Who are the best teams to bet against in a game that you think is going to go over?
Broncos: 0-1 (if you’re betting Denver games over, you have bigger issues)
Buccaneers: 0-2
Steelers / Rams: 1-4
Looking to turn this sort of data into a single bet? The 49ers (4-1 ATS in games that go over) against the Bucs (0-2) with the Bengals (4-0) against the Browns (2-4-1). Put the 49ers and Bucs to cover with the overs and you’re looking at 10-to-1 or so. Not bad. If you really like this angle, maybe juice it up and say both teams win by double digits? DO that with the overs and you’re flirting with 20-to-1.
WATCH: Week 14 BEST BETS
WATCH: WEEK 14 SPREAD PICKS
PROPS
I’ve been getting shit kicked on Prize Picks of late, but eventually that must flip back the other way. It’s science.
Use code “MMN” at Prize Picks for a deposit match up to $100
If you’re a lower stakes player, there’s a Justin Herbert FREE SQUARE available this week too. I believe the most you can get on it is $20, but if there’s one you love, pair them together and turn $20 into $60.
If you’ve made it this far, here’s another giveaway for $500. I don’t do the draw, but based on what they pay me, they’re good for it. It’s a pretty good show too, if you’ve never checked it out.
— PM