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Week 13 NFL Weekend Update

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Week 13 NFL Weekend Update

Injuries, Rankings, Betting Notes, DraftKings

Mayo Media
Dec 4, 2022
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Week 13 NFL Weekend Update

mayomedia.substack.com

THINGS TO DO

  1. Fill the PME DraftKings Listener’s League. It’s Sunday am, and there’s still 400 spots. That’s bad.

DIRECT LINK: Week 13 PME DRAFTKINGS LEAGUE

  1. Send good vibes to Tambo to take down King of the Beach. There could be a large boost to YOUR bank account if that works.

  2. Use Omaha Steaks to send packages of meat as a Christimas Gift to people. I just sent some to Cam and two of my uncles across the coountry. Everything on the site is 50% right now and code “MAYO” at checkout will get you an extra $30 with a min spend.

OMAHA STEAKS 50% OFF SITE WIDE + CODE “MAYO” FOR $30 EXTRA OFF

Twitter avatar for @ThePME
Pat Mayo @ThePME
GO TO @OmahaSteaks RIGHT NOW!!!! Not only are most packages 50% site wide atm, code "MAYO" at check out gets you another $30 off with a min spend. I just sent some out to uncles I had no idea how to xmas shop for. omahasteaks.com
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5:15 PM ∙ Dec 3, 2022
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WEEK 13 HOT LINKS

Week 13 Ranks Update + Props

Week 13 DraftKings Picks

Week 13 Best Bets

Week 13 Spread Picks + Cust Corner

Rankings Lists

RB https://bit.ly/22W13RB

WR https://bit.ly/22W13WR

QB https://bit.ly/22W13QBs

TE/DST https://bit.ly/22W13TEDST

Week 13 Injury Cheatsheet

RB

Joe Mixon (Concussion) — Has not passed concussion protocol as of Sunday morning, but still could for the 4pm ET start time. That makes him more likely OUT than IN at this point with that hurdle to jump in such short time.

Micheal Carter (Ankle) — Likely OUT

Elijah Mitchell (Knee) — OUT 6-8 Weeks

Josh Jacobs (calf) — Likely IN

Najee Harris (Abs) — IN

Travis Etienne (foot) — Likely IN

Christian McCaffrey (Knee) — IN

Leonard Fournette (hip) — Likely IN

Antonio Gibson (foot) — Likely IN

Jaylen Warren (Hamstring) — Questionable

Damien Harris (thigh) — DNP

WR

Jameson Williams (Knee) — Likely IN

Deebo Samuel (Quad) — GAME TIME DECISION (Leaning towards playing)

Mike Williams (Ankle) — OUT

Brandin Cooks (Calf) — OUT

Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) — OUT

KJ Hamler (Hamstring) — OUT

Darnell Mooney (Ankle) — OUT FOR SEASON

Ja'Marr Chase (hip) — Likely IN

Jerry Jeudy (ankle) — Likely IN

Russell Gage (hamstring) — Questionable

Courtland Sutton (illness) — Questionable

Romeo Doubs (Ankle) — Questionable

TE

David Njoku (knee) — OUT

Juwan Johnson (ankle) — Likely OUT

Jelani Woods (shoulder/quad) — Likely IN

Daniel Bellinger (eye) — Questionable

QB

Matt Stafford (Neck) — Placed on Injured Reserve; John Wolford Will Start

Week 13 DraftKings

Since Tambo is out of town, I broke down some of my favorite DraftKings builds with Chris Meaney this week on the DK Show, but my partner at Run The Sims has put together an excellent thread (and fancy excel screenshot) of the chlak, optimals, and their combos…

NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan

Twitter avatar for @JustinFreeman18
Justin Freeman @JustinFreeman18
It's that time of the week: 1⃣ - Highest owned players of the week (Chalk) 2⃣ - Top plays of the week (Highest optimal rates via @RunTheSims ) 3⃣ - Most under-owned players of the week (optimal rate minus projected ownership) Let's dig in...
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3:18 AM ∙ Dec 4, 2022
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DIRECT LINK: Week 13 PME DRAFTKINGS LEAGUE

Week 13 Betting Notes

This is lining up to be one of the better slates from a competitive standpoint of the season, so here are some betting notes to help you navigate those waters …

  • Favorites of under a FG have covered 53.2% of the time this season (favorites of over a FG this season cover under 40% of the time)

  • In games where a team is favored by less than a FG, under tickets have cashed 59.6% of the time this season

  • In games where the road team is favored by less than a FG, under tickets have cashed 78.3% of the time (18-of-23)

How about the few games on this slate with a projected total over 50 points …

  • Under tickets have cashed in 62.5% of those instances this season (overs hit in 51% of such games in the six seasons prior)

In the few instances of a big spread …

  • Teams catching at least 7.5 points this season have covered 59.4% of the time

WATCH: WEEK 13 Best Bets — Gold, Silver, Bronze

Week 13 Prize Picks & Props

I’d been nice to get back on the winning side of things over at Prize Picks, right? Hopefully these goobers can come through

Use code “MMN” at Prize Picks for a deposit match up to $100

*I noticed the Chark number is down to 38.5 Sunday morning. Still love the under. I have him projected for 21 yards, the largest gap of any player than their number this week.*

There’s nothing more fun than convincing yourself you’re going to hit the 6-Leg Prize Picks for 25/1 when you know that the 2-Leg is basically impossible for you at the moment. If you could bottle up the confidence of a losing gambler and sell it, you’d probably get back close to even.


— PM

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Week 13 NFL Weekend Update

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