HOT LINKS
Week 12 Ranks, Injuries & Props
Week 12 DraftKings Picks
Week 12 Best Bets
Week 12 Spread Picks + Cust Corner
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Week 12 Rankings Lists
WATCH: Week 12 Rankings
RB https://bit.ly/22W12RBs
WR https://bit.ly/22W12WRs
QB https://bit.ly/22W12QBs
TE/DST https://bit.ly/22W12TEDST
Week 12 Injury Cheatsheet
WATCH: Week 12 Injury Breakdown & Rankings
RB
Leonard Fournette (hip) — OUT
Raheem Mostert (knee) — Likely OUT
Joe Mixon (Concussion) — OUT
Jaylen Warren (Hamstring) — OUT
Josh Jacobs (ankle) — Questionable
Gus Edwards (Hamstring) — Likely IN
Mark Ingram (Knee) — Likely IN
Darrell Henderson — Signed by JAX; OUT in Week 12
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Ankle) — Placed on IR
Giovani Bernard (ankle) — Likely IN
WR
Russell Gage (hamstring) — OUT
Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) — OUT
Rondale Moore (Groin) — OUT
Mike Williams (Ankle) — OUT
Jerry Jeudy (ankle) — OUT
KJ Hamler (Hamstring) — OUT
Romeo Doubs (Ankle) — OUT
Ja'Marr Chase (hip) — Likely OUT
Allen Robinson (ankle) — Likely OUT
Greg Dortch (thumb) — Likely OUT
Corey Davis (Knee) — Likely IN
Marquise Brown (foot) — Likely IN
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Concussion) — Likely IN
Devin Duvernay (hamstring) — Questionable
Demarcus Robinson (hip) — Questionable
Josh Reynolds (back) — DNP
TE
Isaiah Likely (ankle) — OUT
Tyler Higbee (knee) — Likely IN
David Njoku (ankle/knee) — Likely IN
Logan Thomas (ribs) — Likely IN
Jelani Woods (shoulder) — Questionable
Kyle “the"“ Pitts (Knee) — OUT FOR THE SEASON
QB
Kyler Murray (hamstring) — Likely To Start
Justin Fields (Shoulder) — Likely OUT
Matt Stafford (Concussion) — OUT; Perkins Starting
Sam Darnold — Starting for CAR
Mike White — Starting For NYJ
Kyle Allen — Starting for HOU
TOP PLAYS
The Tidbits
BETTING LEADERBOARDS
So much of betting is about telling a story. Laying out the proper game script goes a long way towards cashing bets (sides, totals and props alike), so now that we have 11 weeks of data under our belts, here are some leaderboards to consider as you look to improve your storytelling down the stretch.
Top 5 teams in terms of cover margin (points better than the spread per game):
1. Dallas Cowboys: +8.2
2. New York Jets: +6.1
3. Seattle Seahawks: +4.8
4. Buffalo Bills: +3.6
5. New England Patriots: 3.6
Top 5 teams in terms of over margin (points above the total per game):
1. Cleveland Browns: +6.1
2. Detroit Lions: +4.5
3. Chicago Bears: +4.3
4. Seattle Seahawks: +3.9
5. New Orleans Saints: +3.7
Teams covering 75%-plus of their home games
1. Eagles/Cowboys – 80%
2. Titans/Seahawks/Bengals – 75%
Team covering 75%-plus of their road games
1. Chargers – 100%
2. Titans – 83.3%
3. Ravens/Jets – 80%
5. Giants/Patriots – 75%
SGP … teams with the best ATS record in games that go over the total
1. Bengals: 4-0
2. Jets: 3-0
3. Colts: 2-0
4. Commanders/49ers: 3-1
SGP … teams with the best ATS record in games that go under the total
1. Titans/Giants: 6-1
3. Cowboys: 5-1
4. Steelers/Patriots: 4-1-1
WATCH: Week 12 Picks Against The Spread
Week 12 DraftKings
If you missed me and Tambo chatting about the Week 12 DraftKings slate… Give your fucking head a shake, PALLLLLL. Still, there’s time to rectify that. We talked through different Burrow, Herbert, Mahomes, Tua, and even MAGIC MIKE stacks along with the best secondary mini stacks to target on the slate.
WATCH/LISTEN: Week 12 DraftKings Picks & Strategy
You can always just skip that and get your own info and build your own designs with Run the Sims…
NFL TOOLS: 10% OFF OPTIMIZER, CUSTOM PROJECTIONS, LINEUP GENERATOR on Weekly, Monthly or Annual Plan
Week 12 Prize Picks & Props
There are a slew more I actually like as props (Gibson over receptions, Kittle under receptions, Rodgers under passing yards, terrace marshall under receiving yards, ken walker over rushing yards, keenan allen over receiving yards, just to name a few), but those are only available on Sportsbooks, not Prize Picks. Luckily, these two stuck out to me on Prize Picks, and hopefully, the others will populate Sunday morning on the site.
WATCH: Week 12 Prize Picks & Props
Use code “MMN” at Prize Picks for a deposit match up to $100
— PM