HERE, HAVE SOME MONEY
I’m giving three people $100 (straight cash), who Rate 5-Stars, leave a review (a good one) along with twitter/email in the review on Apple Podcasts over the next week. If you’ve previously left one, you’re already in the draw, but updating the review will bump you up to the top of the list, thus making it easier for me to see it. It’s ad sales season, so support the show by taking the 30 seconds if you can.
THANKS IN ADVANCE!!!!!
There’s only one prop that matters this week…
If you can bet on the thing that will TRIGGER Fienberg the most, you have to take it.
Don’t be scared to take advantage of the PRIZE PICKS 7/11 BONUS too.
Simply making a 5-pick entry (NO MNF PLAYERS) for $7.11. That amount qualifies it for the contest and you get a bonus $50 if you get all five picks correct. You’d get paid 10x for winning anyway, then another $50 bonus because you played an entry of $7.11. Seems like a good way to get 17x your money for a low investment. Perfect for anyone trying to build a bank roll.
Use code “MNN” when you deposit and you’ll get matched up to $100. So, deposit $100 and have $200 on Prize Picks
Here’s what I’m rolling out for Sunday as a 2-Pick Play
Week 12 RANKINGS
BYE WEEKS: ARZ, KC
Last Updated: Inactives Released
Week 12 INJURIES
Last Updated: Inactives Released
Jeremy McNichols (Concussion) OUT
Michael Carter (ankle) OUT 2-3 Weeks
Jordan Howard (knee) OUT
JaMycal Hasty (Ankle) OUT
Travis Homer (Calf) OUT
Rashaad Penny (Hamstring) OUT
Kareem Hunt (Calf) Likely IN
Cordarrelle Patterson (ankle) Likely IN
Saquon Barkley (ankle) Likely IN
Elijah Mitchell (Finger) Likely IN
Damien Harris (Neck) Likely IN
Rhamondre Stevenson (Knee) Likely IN
Aaron Jones (knee) GAME TIME DECISION
D’Andre Swift (shoulder) Day-To-Day
Philip Lindsay Cut by the Texans; Signed by Dolphins
Chase Edmonds (Ankle) ON IR
Mark Ingram (Knee) Did not Play Week 12
Alvin Kamara Did not Play Week 12
AJ Brown (Chest) OUT; Placed on IR
Kadarius Toney (quad) Likely OUT
Sterling Shepard (hamstring) OUT
Antonio Brown (ankle) OUT
Anthony Schwartz (concussion) OUT
Calvin Ridley (personal) OUT
Will Fuller (finger) Likely OUT
Corey Davis (Groin) Likely OUT
Marquise Brown (Thigh) Likely IN
Donovan Peoples-Jones (core) Likely IN
Nico Collins (hip) QUESTIONABLE
Ray Ray McCloud (COVID LIST) QUESTIONABLE
Jarvis Landry (knee) QUESTIONABLE
Curtis Samuel (groin) QUESTIONABLE
Allen Lazard (Shoulder) QUESTIONABLE
DeAndre Hopkins (Hamstring) Missed Week 11; On BYE
Amari Cooper (COVID LIST) Did not Play Week 12
CeeDee Lamb (Concussion) Did not Play Week 12
Allen Robinson (hamstring) Did not Play Week 12
Zach Wilson (knee) WILL START
Lamar Jackson (illness) WILL START
Kyler Murray (ankle) Missed Week 11; On BYE
Justin Fields (Ribs) Did not Play Week 12
Jonnu Smith (Shoulder) Likely IN
Adam Shaheen OUT
Eric Ebron (Knee) OUT
Kyle Rudolph (Ankle) Likely OUT
Geoff Swaim (concussion) Likely IN
Ricky Seals-Jones (Hip) Likely OUT
Logan Thomas (Hamstring) QUESTIONABLE
WEEK 12 BETS
After Cam was forced to be LIVE for over 12 straight hours on Thanksgiving, our holiday gift to him was a bye week on the Best Bets show. Cam did send his picks to Fienberg who forced to deliver Cam’s picks on the show as if they were his own. He even got to take the mysterious half points which Cam always finds!
It’s probably worth tuning in just to see Pizzola’s Cam Impression…
For the game by game breakdowns (+ a Cust Corner) Geoff, Cust, and myself hit the Sunday Slate for Week 12…
WEEK 12 Player Notes
Mark Andrews (vs. Browns – Showdown lock)
There is no such thing as a showdown slate lock, but … the Browns allow 9 yards per pass attempt to the slot (3rd most) and Andrews owns a 35.7% slot target market share (14.9% outside the slot).
Mike Williams (at Broncos)
Remember the new look Mike Williams that was dominating fantasy slates early this season? Yea, he’s kinda gone, but that doesn’t mean that his days as an asset are gone. His aDOT is up 43% from the first three weeks this season and he gets a Broncos defense that allows a TD on 11.1% of deep passes (2nd highest in the league).
AJ Dillon (vs Rams)
This was all setting up to be a perfect spot after the world was on Dillon a week and he didn’t live up to the SMASH expectations. Despite still having a pretty solid week. But NOW, Aaron Jones has a chance to play against the Rams. It’s not a lock (until an official declaration is made Sunday), but I can see this all being a smoke screen. Issue is Rams/Packers is a late game so you’ll have to keep paying attention throughout Sunday to take advantage. The reason I can see a smoke screen is the Packers schedule. If Jones isn’t 100% or at risk for reaggravation, why play him this week with a bye week in Week 13? That seems stupid. So keep an eye out on the status updates, because…
Dillon had over 73% of the RB carries and saw six targets: that pays the fantasy bills most weeks and I’ll go back to it in this spot. Did you know that Packers RBs have run for over 130 yards three times this season, all three coming against a defense that ranks 16th or worse in terms of opponent play-action completion percentage? Basically, they run effectively against defenses that are vulnerable to fake runs … they overcorrect to stop the pass and running lanes open. Well, the Rams rank 30th in play-action CMP% against, so … back in!
GALAXY BRAIN: Vikings Double Stack (at 49ers)
The only thing grosser than putting real money on Kirk Cousins might be putting money on Kirk Cousins the week after he paid off, but I’m not scared! It’d a little easier to talk a big game with the Chiefs, Cardinals, Cowboys, Bills and Ravens all off the main slate, but still.
Cousins has multiple TD passes in three straight, four games with 3-TD passes and is on pace to complete over 67% of his passes again, something that he has done each season since joining the Vikes. So he’s better than anyone wants to acknowledge, but that’s not the best part.
The best part is that we know exactly where that production is going. Seven times this season Justin Jefferson AND Adam Thielen have seen at least 7 targets. Both of them. In 5 of those games, the dynamic duo combined for over 160 receiving yards and in four of them … multiple touchdowns. That’s a print fest when it hits, so why is it a good bet this weekend?
The 49ers create pressure at the third lowest rate and the harder they try, the worse things get … no team in the league creates less pressure when blitzing than the Niners. Woof. That’s going to be a problem against any quarterback, but especially Captain Kirk.
77.1% complete, 8.6 yards per pass attempt, 34 TD and 0 INT
No big deal, just listing Cousins’ passing numbers over his past 17 games when NOT pressured. Yea, that’ll play and with 8-10 quarterbacks seemingly equally viable, I don’t think you have to worry about this being an overly popular stack to build around. What’s all that mean? It means that it’s time to have a weekend!
Week 12 DraftKings Chalk Report