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Week 12 Injuries, MNF Props, Week 11 Team by Team Notes, Recap
There are THREE Listener Leagues this week on DraftKings
All $15 per entry
All RAKE FREE
Black Friday Showdown https://bit.ly/BLACKFRIPMEDKLL
Week 12 Main Slate https://bit.ly/23W12DKPMELL
Week 12 Injuries
Aaron Jones (knee) — Likely OUT
Ken Walker (Oblique) — Likely OUT
Salvon Ahmed — Placed on IR
D’Onta Foreman (ankle) — Questionable
De’Von Achane (knee) — Questionable
Dameon Pierce (ankle) — Questionable
Antonio Gibson (toe) — Questionable
Kyren Williams — Likely IN; Darrell Henderson Waived
Week 12 Rankings
Michael Thomas — Placed on IR
Cooper Kupp (Ankle) — Questionable
Odell Beckham Jr. (shoulder) — Questionable
Darius Slayton (arm) — Questionable
Tee Higgins (Hamstring) — Questionable
Noah Brown (knee) — Questionable
Justin Jefferson (Knee) — Questionable
Treylon Burks (Concussion) — Questionable
Michael Wilson — Likely IN
Luke Musgrave (abdomen) — Questionable
Dallas Goedert (Arm) — Likely OUT
Gerald Everett (Back) — Questionable
Hayden Hurst (concussion) — Questionable
Mark Andrews (Leg) — Expected OUT FOR SEASON
Geno Smith (Back) — Questionable
Derek Carr (Concussion/Shoulder) — Questionable
Joe Burrow (wrist) — OUT FOR SEASON
Week 12 Slate
Joe Burrow Under rushing on Thurday
Tommy Devito under rushing on Sunday
These were the prop sniper’s top plays each day this week and they were both winners. Unders are no fun to begin with, but small unders are more terrifying. Monday will test that with Jerick McKinnon.
Week 11 Team-By-Team Notes
TB: Rachaad White's fantasy floor is borderline elite at this point. He, again, failed to average even 3.5 YPC, but he caught six of seven targets and got there for PPR managers. I'm willing to buy his floor week over week, but Chris Godwin isn't getting it done and it's time to remove him from starting lineups if you've built a roster with reasonable depth.
SF: Brock Purdy gave us a perfect Passer Rating (21/25 for 333 yards and 3 TD) and it was Deebo Samuel that was the odd man out in terms of his skill guys. That's the way it goes. Most weeks, one of these three pass catchers is going to underachieve. I'm a little nervous about Deebo, but I'm not overreacting here -- better times are ahead (and worse times too, this is an explosive offense that has a wide range of outcomes for their three primary pass catchers).
SEA: Like Godwin, Lockett is a veteran who we've been trained to play over time. Not the case right now. The efficiency isn't what it once was and nor is the per catch upside.
LAR: Kupp leaving with an injury opened up the door for Puka to provide value. I'm still worried about both receivers getting there on a consistent basis when healthy ... to that end, if Kupp ends up missing time, Tutu Atwell is a fine stash, but not someone that I'm locking into lineups by any means.
NYJ: Not that you needed a reminder, but awful QB play can completely cancel out all fantasy options. Breece Hall was fine because he scored and was used in the dump off passing game, but type it into your phone for draft season -- don't assume that talent will win out when discussing an offense with below average play under center.
BUF: Stefon Diggs couldn't get into the fun and I'm weirdly encouraged by Josh Allen as a result. He was able to have success as a passer without his ace receiver bailing him out. Sure, there were some Jet tackling issues, but the point remains that Allen put his secondary options in a position to succeed and that is a massive step forward from the past month.
PIT: Can we be done with Najee Harris officially now? Jaylen Warren is by far the superior player, not that that is news. He is the most trustworthy Steeler these days and his team doesn't even trust him enough to feature him. If you can go through your fantasy week without spending mental energy on the Steelers, you're doing something right.
CLE: The DTR experience was ... well ... something. He averaged 3.8 yards per pass and under 7.0 yards per completion. Same train of thought applies for the Browns as the Steelers -- less is more when it comes to time spent on evaluating them.
CHI: Fields hit the 100-yard bonus in his return to action and completed nearly 70% of his passes. That'll do! The crazy carry count (18) is how his fantasy floor is created and considering he is an iffy passer coming back from a thumb injury, that role feels sticky. There will be bad passing weeks, but if the rushing volume stays near double digits, he's a top 12 guy.
DET: This is shaping up as a full blown committee of a backfield and I think it's possible that both hold enough value weekly to be started. It comes with some risk due to the low touch ceiling, but we trust this offense to score (especially with limited weather concerns the rest of the way) and if this team is in position, both Montgomery and Gibbs can be viable.
LAC: Justin Herbert was running (73 yards) and targeting Keenan Allen (44.4% target share). What more could you ask for? With health issues among his pass catchers, Herbert was viable and that should only get better as the options around him get healthy. It sure would help with Quentin Johnston was good -- not counting on it. Not this year anyway.
GB: Jordan Love offered some upside and that was good to see, but not new. We know what he can do ... we also know how sideways it can go. He's a weird version of Sam Howell: high risk of throws and the willingness to spread the ball around. He comes without the floor of Howell, but given the Aaron Jones injury, his volume could trend in the direction of Howell and that will have him on the GPP radar.
LV: The force feeding of Davante Adams was good to see -- and needed. It took 13 targets to get him 7 catches (82 yards and a TD), a reminder of just how fragile this pass game is. Understanding that, Jakobi Meyers isn't a player you can feel good about starting anymore.
MIA: The De'Von Achane return to action was fun for the two touches it lasted. We will see how serious that injury is, but even with him hurt, Miami's backfield touched the ball 34 times. If he's healthy, it would seem that there is enough to go around for he and Mostert. Jeff Wilson is at least worthy of stashing in deeper formats (even with Achane reportedly lobbying to get back into the game). I want exposure to this offense if I can get it.
NYG: They scored 31 points and somehow didn't have a player see more than five targets. I'm not reading anything into Darius Slayton's 18.2 PPR points ... this offense is going to be a mess more often than not and that means Saquon Barkley is the only option even on my radar.
WAS: Another 45 passes for Sam Howell -- volume drives value. He's going to be an option most weeks, even weeks in which he doesn't play all that well. Brian Robinson was able to be productive (131 yards) even without the help of a score. His role is fantasy friendly, though I'm still skeptical of him in difficult matchups.
DAL: Pollard totals 80 yards and a TD and it feels like we got a spike performance. Isn't this supposed to be what he was every week? The touchdown was a reminder of his physical skills and helps provide hope moving forward. You've hung in there with him up to this point -- you're pot committed whether you like it or not. Let's hope. I have a lot of him too, so we are all in this together!
CAR: Thielen saw 42.3% of the targets -- he's doing all he can to be viable in an offense that has no business in providing a viable option. Frank Reich took back over in calling plays and the backfield was back to a split (Hubbard and Sanders had 12 touches apiece.
TEN: Will Levis as efficient in this blowout, but it's tough to read much into a game where the Titans had the ball for under 24 minutes. Hopkins remains a Flex option, as long as you're well aware of the risk involved.
JAX: Three months late, but we got the Trevor Lawrence (262 pass yards, 4 total TDs) and Calvin Ridley (121 yards and 2 TDs) stack attack that we've been praying for. Does it continue? Maybe not at this level, but it's no secret that Zay Jones being active has a positive impact on RIdley (and negative on Kirk - 3 catches for 48 yards).
AZ: With Michael Wilson out, Greg Dortch led this team in catches, targets, and receiving yards while Rondale Moore had the 48-yard TD. I don't care about either of them -- for me, that is proof positive that there is a fantasy viable role for WIlson to step into when healthy. I'm keeping the rookie stashed if at all possible.
HOU: C.J. Stroud looked like an MVP in the first half, but it didn't last. He remains a top-10 QB with a trio of options who you can trust weekly (Collins, Dell, and Schultz) at his disposal. I remain skeptical that this offense can run the ball like they have over the past two weeks (consecutive 100 yard games for Devin Singletary, a career first), so if you're looking to make a deal prior to the trade deadline, moving on from him is certainly an option.