Week 10 WEEKEND UPDATE - Injuries, Top Props, DraftKings Notes
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SHOWS & LEAGUES
JOIN: Week 10 DraftKings PME Listeners League (250 Spots Remain)
WATCH (945am ET): Start/Sit Live Chat + DFS Preview
WATCH (715pm ET): Week 10 Recap; Week 11 Spreads
JOIN: Fantasy Golf One and Done (80K to 1st)
Week 10 Injuries
RB
Emari Demercado (toe) — OUT
Dameon Pierce (ankle) — OUT
Kendre Miller (ankle) — OUT
Keaton Mitchell (Hamstring) — Expected IN
James Conner — IN
Clyde Edwards-Helaire — ON BYE
Khalil Herbert — Missed Week 10
De'Von Achane — Expected to Return after Bye Week
Kyren Williams — Eligible to return in Week 11
Week 10 Rankings
RB https://bit.ly/23W10RBRankings
WR https://bit.ly/23W10WRRankings
QB https://bit.ly/23W10QBRankings
TE/DST https://bit.ly/23W10TEDSTRanks
WR
Ja’Marr Chase (Back) — Game Time Decision
Michael Thomas (Arrested) — Expected IN
Tee Higgins (Hamstring) — OUT
Zay Jones (knee) — OUT
Treylon Burks (Concussion) — OUT
Nico Collins (calf) — OUT
Mack Hollins (ankle) — OUT
Justin Jefferson (Knee) — OUT
KJ Osborn (Concussion) — Expected OUT
Marquise Goodwin (concussion) — Expected OUT
DeVante Parker (Head) — OUT
Robert Woods (Foot) — Expected IN
Demario Douglas (ankle) — Expected IN
Michael Wilson (shoulder) — Expected IN
Stefon Diggs (back) — Expected IN
Curtis Samuel (Foot) — Expected IN
Josh Downs (Knee) — Expected IN
Drake London (Groin) — IN
DJ Clark (Elbow) — Missed Week 10
Josh Palmer (Knee) — Placed on IR
TE
Darren Waller (Hamstring) — Placed on IR
Dallas Goedert (Arm) — ON BYE
QB
Kyler Murray — IN
Matt Stafford (Thumb) — ON BYE
Justin Fields (Thumb) — Missed Week 10
GET in the (Up to $30,000 GIVEAWAYS Draw)
Although I fell (way) short on making to Miami for the King of the Beach Live Final, our good friend Tambo will be flying first class to South Beach to try and win the $300K top prize. Tambo said he’s going to give away 10% of whatever he wins at the KOTB to a few different people. Mega generous.
To become eligible from my end, you need to Subscribe, rate and review (5-Stars) to The Pat Mayo Experience Audio Podcast on Apple Pods and/or Spotify, and set it to auto download. Do it on both platforms for twice as many chances to get the bag!
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You should also check out Tambo’s site, ShipitNation. All sports, projections, DFS strategy and advice. It’s all there. Plus, code “MAYO” will get you 10% all packages. Or you can support by watching the FREE shows SIN does for NFL and NBA on Mayo Media Network through out the week. The shows are LIVE and you can always ask questions. Plus, I’m positive Tambo will tell you the other ways to get in the draw for his cash giveaways.
Week 10 Props
There’s one prop the sims LOVEEEEEEE this week…
SUB TO RUN THE SIMS PROP TOOLS PACKAGE
And, yes. I am worried about it because of blow out potential. That said, he has been running more the last 3 weeks and covered this number easily on 4 attempts in a blow out win vs LA two weeks back. Overall, he’s beat this number in five of seven games since failing Week 1 in a 40-0 win of NYG.
Since there’s only one International AM game left this year, let’s try to hit one more SGP for old times sake. Now, the Minshew o1.5 carries actually rates out the best (depending on the vig) but was not offered on the site available in my area. Tough times.
Don’t forget about the 1st & Anytime TD simulator either in the Prop Sniper pakcage. It’s a new tool so we’re still seeing if there’s much edge to it in such a volatile market, but it paid dividends last week! Here’s who rates out as the top vaalues in each game. “Values” being relative after looking at the edge on each one. Frankly, it’s a suckers market that should be enjoyed like the lottery.
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DraftKings Notes
Per usual, Tambo and I ran through some builds before we started making lineups we liked for Week 10. If you missed the show, now’s your chance to correct your terrible life choices.
WATCH: Week 10 DraftKings Picks, Lineups, Strategy
And Just was kind enough to release the DraftKings cheatsheet for Week 10 too. As always, this was released on Saturday, so updates on Run The Sims will continue through inactives release Sunday morning for more accurate information and projections.
GAME STACK: Joe Burrow with Ja'Marr Chase, Tank Dell bring back
- 71% of yards vs HOU come through the air
No Collins or Higgins; Can option for Irwin or Schultz or Woods or Brown for cheap.
- HOU: most missed tackles per game
- Burrow: 78% complete with 631 yards and 5 TDs over his past two games
- CIN: highest opponent aDOT (Dell's aDOT is 18% higher than Nico Collins')
Mini Correlations
Tony Pollard and Wan'Dale Robinson
- NYG: 29th in YPC
- DAL: 5th in time of possession
- Pollard: 19.2 touches in wins (17.7 in losses)
- DAL: 8th in blitz rate, encourages quick throws
- Robinson: 3.8 aDOT
- aDOT this season - Tyrod (7.7), Dimes (6.9, 6.5 in W1 vs DAL), DeVito (5.7)
Aaron Jones and Diontae Johnson
- Jones: season highs in carries (20), catches (4) and targets (6) last week vs LAR
- GB: negative PROE this season that declines in the red zone
- GB: 2.3 YPC against over the past two weeks, skew pass?
- GB: 4th lowest opponent aDOT
- GB has allowed a TD to the opponents most productive WR in all of their losses
- Drake London: 6-67-1
- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 5-56-1
- Jakobi Meyers: 7-75-1
- Courtland Sutton: 6-76-1
- Jordan Addison: 7-82-1
- Johnson: 33% target share over the past two weeks
Trey McBride and Cardinals D/ST
- McBride: 19 targets on 56 routes over the past 2 weeks
- McBride vs ATL last season: 7-78-1 (David Blough under center)
- Cheap way to fade a backup QB in ATL
— PM