PME CONTENT
DraftKings Picks, Final Bets, Weather
Fantasy Picks, Bets, ONE & DONE
Valspar Research, Preview, Picks
WED NIGHT: Rodgers/Jets, NFL FA + Cust Corner
NCAA Bracket Picks
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VALSPAR BETS
Jordan Spieth — The rough is up, wind is coming, and we need a player who score enough with hot irons while saving himself regularly enough to stay afloat. Spieth’s won here in the past, has gained against the field in his past four starts (all elevated events) and has finally started to see his putter come around. And yes, he should have missed the cut (probably) last week. But he got lucky and didn’t. It shouldn’t be surprising Spieth gets great breaks. It’s kinda his thing.
Garrick Higgo — If you’ve followed Higgo for any time you know the streaks. The ball striking has been on point all year, his touch remains some of the best on the planet, and the putter goes like a yo yo. He’s going to make bogeys. Bad ones. But he’s also one of the few players in this field could can so nuclear and reel off six birdies in a row while the field is sweating 10-foot par putts. Bet on the talent.
Justin Suh — Accuracy, irons, and putting. Suh has been doing them all, albeit not all in the same event. And he’s still finished Top 10 in two of his last three starts. He hasn’t missed a cut since Vegas in December and is now seeing his game peaking through the Florida swing.
KIDS CHARITY BRACKET
We’re a day away from first tip, and there’s still plenty of cash to be raised for Fantasy Cares. It’s a charity that raises money so kids can get presents at Christmas time. We’re donating $1 for every FREE entry into the MAYO MADNESS bracket. It takes less than 20 seconds to sign up. I don’t care if you make picks or not. Just sign up. And share it around, as it’s the best way I know to get money to a deserving cause.
JOIN FREE MAYO MADNESS CHARITY BRACKET
And it’s not like you can’t win some bucks as well.
First Place | $2,500.00
Second Place | $1,000.00
Third Place | $500.00
Fourth Place | $300.00
Fifth Place | $200.00
WEATHER
It is known that these weather stacks never work out for us, but there’s a fairly distinct split Thursday between the AM and PM tee times. Of course, that can change into the evening and morning so most definitely check back. PM/AM appears to be the path of least resistance, but be warned, Friday just looks like a disaster overall, so just because you’re Thursday PM sleeper comes through for you, doesn’t mean they won’t blow up Friday am. Rasa and I talked about it on the show today, and different strategies on constructing lineups.
WATCH: DraftKings Picks, Ownership + Weather
I played 40 lineups this week. 12 of them are pure PM/AM stacks, but it’s kind of difficult. Most of the good players in this tournament are in the AM/PM wave of tee times. So, unless you leave an egregious amount of money on the table you PM/AM stacks will likely be three of: Rose, Fleetwood, Fitz, Harman, Clark, Ben An to start. Not much diversity from that wave.
Of note, all my First Round Leader picks are from the Thursday PM wave. Hitting markets like that, or even taking some matchups or unders on Prize Picks may be the more efficient way to take advantage of the wind.
VALSPAR WIND TOWER: PALM HARBOR
VALSPAR DRAFTKINGS
ICYMI Keegan Bradley WD’d from the tournament Wednesday morning. Probably because he was Cust’s One and Done picks. That shame has now been transferred Gary Woodland.
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Unless people really go out of their way to pile on the PM/AM (which I don’t think a casual DK player will do), expect Hadwin’s already inflated ownership to rise, and Denny to come in 15%+, after it seemed all week he’d be hanging out ~10% in large GPPs. Harman should get a bit of a bump at $9,100 and playing in the PM wave, but I’d actually expect most people to rebuild to get up to Rose (also in the good wave) instead. So, if lineups had Keegan and Suh in them, that probably turns into Rose/Woodland (or Clark) if there was money already left on the table.
I did make another, more simple, Fantasy National Model if you’re interested in that Kinda thing. If you’re not a member, use the link below for 20% all levels. The monthly TODAY takes you through The Heritage, so you get 5 tournaments at the 20% off.
GET 20% OFF FANTASY NATIONAL DFS/BETTING TOOLS
— PM