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TNF BUF/LAR; Week 1 Injuries

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Mayo Media

Sep 8, 2022

GET $$$$

I’m giving away $1000 on next week’s Spread show. $500 to the winner of the draw, $250 for two more. Takes 27 seconds to enter and helps us out a ton, so hekp me help you. Here’s what to do (even if you'‘ve done it before, get in again!)

Sub to PME Audio Pod and set “Auto Download” (no need to actually listen if you don’t want to
Leave a 5- Star rating, and a review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Include a twitter handle or email.

DONE!!!! Links to do it here…

Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes

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Thanks!

TNF BUF at LAR

Van Jefferson (knee) OUT

Ben Skowronek is the likely benefactor (at WR; Eleanor Higbee should see the field more sans VJEFF as well), but pay attention to the actives when they’re released around 645pm ET. Tutu Atwell could sneak in some routes, as could Lance McCutcheon. A rookie from Montana St., McCutcheon likely won’t be overly involved, but he’s a big body opposed Skowronek and Atwell (and Krupp for that matter), and may get some RZ run if he’s active.

It may sound like a sneaky DK Showdown play, but it’s prob too risky unless you’re going 150 max. Instead, if you see him in uniform, since he’s likely to be in big packages near the goal line, first TD (66/1) or anytime TD (9/1) exist at DK Sportsbook. That’d be my preferred action if you wanted a true degen way to lose money to celebrate the kick off to football.

Now, if you’re playing DraftKings Showdown, just use Run The Sims and make life easier on yourself.

TOOLS: 10% OFF RUN THE SIMS OPTO, LINEUP BUILDER, PROP %s

With Isaiah McKenzie being spat out after 10,000 simulations in the optimal lineup around 44% of the time, expect him, and maybe Ben Skowronek, to be the two cheap players everyone goes to to jam in all the studs…

When there’s an obvious cheap value like McKenzie, its tends to lead to higher Captain Ownership for the the Super Studs. That means Josh Allen and Cooper Kupp in this game. While they’re obviously greta plays, understand that an Allen or Kupp Captain with McKenzie at $2,400 at the bottom is going to lead to a lot of dupes in the large field DraftKings Contests. These are the three most duped optimal lineups after my custom adjustments to the Run The Sims game simulator.

Look familiar? I’d say so. If you wanna get tricky, and still use the value plays, while it may not be the most optimal, using Diggs, Gabe Davis or Cam Akers as you captain should severely reduce the amount of duplications in whatever contest you’re entering. Plus, you’ll save salary from the superstars.

If you want to know more about the strategy behind DraftKings Showdown, Justin Freeman and I laid out why you need to think in slightly different ways in the massive field GPPs in order to reduce a split and get to the top of the standings. I won 4 showdown GPPs with the RTS tools during USFL season, and Justin has been one of the most success NFL showdown players over the past three years; since he’s the one who programs RTS, I’d listen to what he’s spitting.

WATCH: DK Showdown Strategy, Tricks & Tips

WATCH: TAMBO TNF DK BREAKDOWN & PROPS

This is a part of the REVAMPED Fantasy Football Picks and Bets audio feed as well. The feed will feature Me on Mondays with MNF and Waiver Wire, Tambo Thursdays, and Me again on Saturdays for weekend Props and the Injuries/Updated Rankings

SUB HERE

Finally, our guy John Laghezza is going three times a week, tackling MNF, TNF, and the wekeend from two angles: Jock Market & Spread vs Moneyline value to track where the lines are likely to move through the week. If youo haven’t tried Jock Market yet, it’s a fantastic game. Basically, you buy stocks of the players and cash in on their performances. If you’re good at identifying value, just load up on penny stock players and print money. John is a former market trader in real life, and he’s found the proper trends and tactics to exploit some of their pricing for easy profits.

Plus, they’ll give you an extra $100 if you deposit $100 with code MMN.

Get a deposit match up to $100 with first deposit at JOCK MKT with Code “MMN”

If you prefer the audio versions, John’s breakdowns will be up on the DFS MIX audio feeds

Week 1 Content

Ranks List

TE/DST bit.ly/22W1TEDST

PME Shows

Less than 1000 spots remain in the RAKE FREE Week 1 PME DK contest. Go grab your spot(s) NOW before it’s full

PLAY: Week 1 PME DRAFTKINGS OPEN

Week 1 Injury Outlook

Chase Edmonds (Groin) — Limited Practice
JK Dobbins (Knee) — Limited Practice; still unlikely to play
Ken Walker (hernia) — Prob not gonna play
James Robinson (Achilles) — Expect to be active; but physically limited

Michael Thomas (Hamstring) — Limited Practice; Who knows.
Allen Lazard (Ankle) No Practice; Looking doubtful atm
Diontae Johnson (shoulder) — Very Limited; May miss Week 1
Kadarius Toney (knee) — “Looks 100%” which is 60% for anyone else. Prob plays
Drake London (knee) — Limited Practice; 50/50
Russell Gage (hamstring) Limited Prac; likely to play
Chris Godwin (knee) — No lock to play, but looking better, even in Week 1
Sterling Shepard (Achilles) Limited Prac; would likely be not 100% even if he plays
Michael Gallup (knee) — Practiced WED; May Avoid PUP
Jaylen Waddle (quad) — Expected to play
Christian Watson — Full Practice; on track to play
Tre'Quan Smith (groin) — DNP; unlikely to play atm

Zach Wilson (knee) — Expected to miss at least first 4 weeks

George Kittle (Groin) — Not Practicing; looking like he may sit
Daniel Parham (Hamstring) — Limited practice; probably plays
Robert Tonyan (knee) — Limited Practice; will likely play
Logan Thomas (Knee) — Limited Practice; remains unlikely Week 1
Zach Ertz (calf) — Retuned to Limited Practice WED

Back Saturday

— PM