Sony Open Picks & Info + NFL Wild Card

Mayo Media

Jan 11

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Sony Open DraftKings Picks, Bets & One and Done

Wild Card Spread Picks + Cust Corner

DraftKings Listener Leagues

PME RAKE FREE SONY OPEN CONTEST

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Sony Open Bets

Brian Harman — Ended the swing season on fire and, despite a middling performance at Kapalua, the fact he played is a good sign. Hideki and Na have won the last two years despite poor weeks at the season opener.

Mac Hughes — The Canadian was a true travesty off the tee last week. But now, not against the world best ball strikers, he can put his short irons and putting stroke to good use. Already twice a winner on TOUR, anytime you can get this deep of odds on a potentially putting savant in a weak field putting contest, you gotta roll the dice.

Ben Griffin — The ball striking was on point the entire being season, and he has one of my favorite skills to target for upside: the hot and cold putter. He’s flashed zero consistency with the flat stick, but there’s no middle ground. It’s ice cold or flaming hot. One of the hot weeks will have him in contention.

PGA DRAFTKINGS

On the DraftKings side, we’re back to our fav, FULL FIELD NO CUT!!!!!! Get ready to bitch about 5/6 teams again! Here’s how the ownership is shaking out Wednesday afternoon. Still a lot of time for that to change however with lock not coming until 12pm ET Thursday. Get the real time reports on Fantasy National.

GET 20% OFF FANTASY NATIONAL DFS/BETTING TOOLS

The Tidbits

I suggest you follow Tambo for the Tidbits every week. It’s a great recap of the best free info from around the space. Plus, Tambo and I talk through the DK slate every Wednesday on MMN, and now we’re splitting a One and Done team and going through our thought process each week.

WATCH: Sony Open DraftKings Picks & Strategy

Tyler Tamboline @ToeTagginTambo

TAMBO’S TIDBITS ⛳️🧵 Every week I read/watch a LOT of the free PGA content around the industry. I compile screenshots of the information that stands out to me and can help you with your Bets/DFS play. Here’s my 10+ favorite tidbits for the #SonyOpen 💰 RT/SHARE ⤵️🙌🏼

For more golf coverage, I highly recomend my guy Axis’ substack newsletter. Since you’re already on the page, you may as well check it out. Completely free!

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NFL PICKS

In a best of all worlds situation, I won the overall picks; Geoff and Cust tied in SUPERLOCKS so that competition is now in a Golden Goal situation. Also, the Custys Ballot is now out and we learn Cust had never had quality mashed potatoes before two nights ago…

WATCH: Wild Card Spread Picks, Custys & Cust Corner

SIXTH ANNUAL CUSTYS

Here’s a taste…

VOTE IN THIS YEAR’S CUSTY AWARDS

NFL Betting Insight

Seahawks at 49ers

Over the past 10 postseasons, underdogs in postseason games that feature divisional opponents are 9-4 ATS
Double digit point playoff favorites have covered 10 of their past 11 games (overs have cashed in 9 of the past 12 instances)
Since 2011, home teams playing a Saturday playoff game are 27-16-2 ATS (62.8%)

Chargers at Jaguars

Over the past 5 postseasons, games with a total over 47 points cash under tickets 65.6% of the time
Since 2015, home ‘dogs are 6-2 ATS (AFC South teams in such a spot: 0-2, rest of NFL: 6-0)
Since 2011, home teams playing a Saturday playoff game are 27-16-2 ATS (62.8%)

Dolphins at Bills

Over the past 10 postseasons, underdogs in postseason games that feature divisional opponents are 9-4 ATS
Double digit point playoff favorites have covered 10 of their past 11 games (overs have cashed in 9 of the past 12 instances)
Overrated “edge”? Since 2000, the Dolphins are a respectable 8-10 ATS (overs: 10-7-1) in games that kickoff at freezing temperatures.

Giants at Vikings

Over the past 5 postseasons, games with a total over 47 points cash under tickets 65.6% of the time
League-wide, under tickets cashed 60.9% of the time when the spread was 3 points or fewer (5-2 in Giant games, 5-4 in Viking games)

Ravens at Bengals

Over the past 10 postseasons, underdogs in postseason games that feature divisional opponents are 9-4 ATS
Road teams have covered 56.7% of games thus far in January, up from 50% in December and 40.7% in November)
Under tickets have cashed in 61.5% of Bengal covers since the beginning of last season (60% of Raven covers)

Cowboys at Bucs

Since 2015, home ‘dogs are 6-2 ATS (AFC South teams in such a spot: 0-2, rest of NFL: 6-0)
Road teams have covered 56.7% of games thus far in January, up from 50% in December and 40.7% in November)
Since the beginning of last season, the Cowboys are the 3rd best team ATS (65.7% cover rate) and the Bucs are 3rd worst (40%).

— PM