NFL SEASON PRIMER: Strategy, Rankings, Picks, Tools
FOOTBALL STARTS NEXT WEEK go I’ve decided to reel off a series of cheatsheets, announcements, giveaways and a secret show link for everyone to make sure their content needs are satiated for the long weekend.
The RAKE FREE NFL PME listeners has 5000 spots for Week 1. 2000 of them are gone. Let’s get this filled ASAP so we can keep generating massive amounts of RAKE FREE money week after week. Here’s the direct link
PLAY IN WEEK 1 DRAFTKINGS RAKE FREE PME OPEN
$500 GIVEAWAYS (BUT MAYBE MORE)
I’ve made this one simple. SUB, RATE (5-STARS) AND REVIEW the Pat Mayo Experience Audio Podcast. Leave an X handle or email in the review. For every 100 new reviews we get, I’ll chuck another $500 winner into the draw. If you’ve review before, freshen it up for me, please. If you can’t leave a Spotify review on the APP, just screenshot it to me @ThePME.
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
SURVIVOR LEAGUE
UPDATE: I’ve been working on a survivor league for 2023. It was going to be a $200 buy-in and it was going to be amazing. Unfortunately, state gaming laws didn’t make that possible. So I’ve been able to secure $10,000 for a FREE LEAGUE, but the system isn’t quite done yet. Hopefully, it will be by the end of Friday. I say hopefully as there’s little chance the developers won’t be taking three days off in a row. Once I have the link, I’ll blast out another newsletter to make sure everyone gets it.
FREE TOOLS
We’ve decided to make the opening game — DET at KC — open to everyone at Run The Sims: The Projections, Custom Optimizer, Lineup Builder, etc. Adjust the score and market shares anyway you want and you just by creating a free account with your email. After Thursday, the tools go back behind a paywall. (Code “MAYO” gets you a discount btw if you like the test run)
USE RUN THE SIMS TOOLS FREE FOR TNF
Here are the stock optimal lineups on my 10,000 simulations
But also, there’s a new feature (more on that below) called Sim Runner Pro that shows you which lineups and players are either +/- EV based on projections and number up duplicated lineups. It does the same for lineups as well.
Keep Your Money SAFE
Make buying in and paying out your league simple. No need for one person to collect and hold everything. Use LeagueSafe. Click on the Mic Icon and use code "MAYO" and get an added $10 to your commissioner.
Frankly, it’s just easier to keep your league money there, be it for a fantasy league, private survivor league, whatever. It’s the site we use to store the $500K used for the Race for the Mayo Cup during golf season. Bets part: Being able to pay by CC makes life (and collecting points) much much easier. And payouts get sent out to whomever you want immediately. Just take the stress out of your life
Store your league funds at LeagueSafe and use code “MAYO” to get an extra $10 just added on for being a good person.
THE CHEATSHEETS & SHOWS (+secret Show)
Week 1 Rankings
Running Back Rankings https://bit.ly/23Week1RBs
Wide Receiver Rankings https://bit.ly/23Week1WRs
Quarterback Rankings https://bit.ly/23Week1QBs
Tight End/DST Rankings https://bit.ly/23Week1TEDSTs
NOTE: Week 1 Rankings breakdown will be dropping over the weekend with Jake Ciely.
Draft Rankings
Top 150: https://bit.ly/23Top150Ranks
RB Rankings List : https://bit.ly/23RBRankingsPME
WR Rankings: https://bit.ly/23WRRanks
QB Rankings: https://bit.ly/23QBRankings
TE Rankings: https://bit.ly/23TERankings
NOTE: One final rankings update (mainly to talk about Taylor, Kupp and other injuries) coming this week to make sure you have fresh info for drafts)
SHOWS
The Win Totals show were a roaring success! From an entertainment perspective, that is. Plus, there’s a Cust Corner Mini in each!
AFC Win Totals & Cust Corner Mini
NFC Win Totals & Cust Corner Mini
There’s also a SECRET SHOW dropping next week where me, Cust, Geoff, Cam and Rob got together and did a WIN TOTAL DRAFT!!!!! But you good people can watch it now…
WATCH: WIN TOTAL DRAFT with the entire gang
Me, Cam, and Pizzola also got together to debate our three favorite bets heading into the season as well…
WATCH: NFL Future Best Bets | NFL Win Totals, Player Props, Win Division, Make the Playoffs
If you’re actually serious about getting better at DraftKings NFL this year, you’ll wanna check out my chat with Tambo and Hoop. Here’s a list of the topics if the interest you…
WATCH: NFL DraftKings Strategy — Contest Selection, Mistakes, Lineups, Tools
4:54 Goals/Process
8:43 Mistakes to Avoid
17:27 Contest Selections
25:11 How to Play $100 a Week
30:48 Using Tools
36:01 Lineup Strategy
39:02 Cheap WR v RB
48:21 DST
51:04 Stacking
55:51 Games to Target + Weather
1:01:16 Setting Your Expectations for the Season
1:14:30 Different Tools
If DFS isn’t your jam, but betting on NFL is, then I got you covered from that point too. Me and Pizzola talked through a ton of mistakes bettors make and some tips to solidify your bankroll this season…
WATCH: NFL Betting Strategy, Tips, 6 Mistakes to Avoid
1:42 Mistakes/Casual vs Pro Bettor
5:51 Timing of Bets
11:13 Getting Limited/Closing Line Value
17:42 Reverse Line Movement
24:17 Buying Points/Parlays
34:10 Cash Outs
39:41 Wong Teasers
44:14 Bankroll Management/Odds Boosts/Pressing
56:24 How to Use Bonuses and Free Bets
1:00:13 Touts/Pizzola vs Darren Rovell
There’s also two long form shows about the industry in case you’re looking to fill time.
Matt Wiley joined to talk a bit of everything in a final hang before the start of NFL season: PGA DFS, NFL DFS, Injured RBs, Best Ball Drafts, French names not being pronounced that way, Showdown, projections, Golf investment, along with Wiley’s recent six-figure win on DraftKings and his joining Run Pure Sports.
WATCH: DFS NFL + PGA, Where to Draft Jonathan Taylor, Showdown + Wiley Wins & Joins RPS
Adam Chernoff discuss the direction of the sports betting industry from tout products to the integration of sports books into mainstream platforms and broadcasts to the executive obsession of live micro betting.
WATCH: Direction of Sports Betting Content | 2023 NFL Week 1 Spread and Total Values
Oh, there’s a new Cust Corner with me, Garion and Cust as well
WATCH: CUST CORNER 45 | F1 Cars, Fast Planes, Supermarkets, Pennies, Sidewalks
All these shows are available on the PME Audio Podcast feeds too. Just a another reminder to Sub, Rate and Review
Apple: http://bit.ly/PMEiTunes
Spotify: https://goo.gl/VboemH
SIMS ON SIMS
Sims are all the rage in DFS these days. We we’re ahead of that curve at Run The Sims, since our site is built on the power of simulations. Now, you can Sim all the players and game, but also there DFS tournaments you’re playing in to see how valuable your lineups are.
Look, this isn’t a tool most people are going to use. It’s really only for the big bankroll, high volume player. That’s why it’s an add-on package to the regular season-long RTS pass, as it’s pretty expensive. If you’re interested, however, here’s what it is…
WATCH: EXPLAINATION OF NEW RTS TOOLS
What is SimRunnerPro?
SimRunnerPro is a premium add-on that transforms the way you approach DFS strategy. This cutting-edge tool has been crafted to refine up to 50,000 simulated lineups, pitting them against each other in a battle royale of expected value. Uncover which lineups consistently deliver superior returns and gain an edge over the competition. SimRunnerPro isn't just a game-changer; it's the type of weapon that many professional DFS players rely on.
Pricing Plans: Flexibility that Fits Your Strategy
We understand that this product may not be in the budget for everyone. If you play a few lineups per week, this likely is not the product for you. We also understand that every DFS player has their own time horizon, which is why SimRunnerPro comes with flexible pricing plans to suit your needs:
$50 per week: Dive into the action with our weekly plan.
$150 per month: Enjoy extended benefits on a monthly basis.
$600 per year: Get a whole year of advantage at an unbeatable value.
Unlock the Power with Tutorial Videos
We want you to harness the full potential of SimRunnerPro, and that's why we've prepared comprehensive tutorial videos to guide you through the process. Whether you're tackling classic slates or showdown slates, our YouTube tutorial videos have you covered.
Showdown Slate Tutorial: Watch Now
Classic Slate Tutorial: Watch Now
Subscribe Now and Dominate the Game!
Are you ready to revolutionize your DFS journey? Subscribe to SimRunnerPro today and witness firsthand the transformation in your DFS strategy. Join us on the cutting edge of DFS play.
JOIN RUN THE SIMS. USE CODE MAYO for 10% OFF
— PM