Gone is the normal ramblings of a serial golf betting loser. No, not forever, but circumstances changed dramatically (forest fires!) with my planned golf excursion and just wasn’t left with the normal amount of time to get things out. Maybe that’s the change I need to boost my betting account.
I spoke Monday with Geoff about going Rahm, or a bunch of guys who won’t win. Per usual, I’ve decided on the latter.
DRAFTKINGS OWNERSHIP
Joe and I talked about this early in the week, and it looks like most have the same idea. Rahm (or Scheffler) to start with another stud, into C Bez, Ben An, Denny, and one of Eckroat, Hubbard or Streelman. Or on the those Top guys, and into the 8s/Mid 7s to try and go balanced. Where exactly? Not sure. Looks like Conners, Deki, Rickie, Scott.
Realistically, what’s probably more useful are the players in the popular pockets of salary ranges who aren’t being used and you can take you pick from one or two of them to get different. From what I can tell: Day, Sungjae, Fitz, Cam Young, and Sam Burns are all on the bottom end of ownership from 8-10K. While Rory and Morikawa are way behind Rahm, Scheff and Xander.
Beyond the obvious guys in the 6s, I’ve decided to sprinkle in Pendrith, Lucas Herbert and Andrew Putnam as a way to get wild once in my life.
Here’s what my numbers over the past 24 rounds tell me. And you can see which ones I’m chooing to believe/ignore.
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2023 Memorial Tournament: Field
120 Players | Top 65 & Ties Make The Cut
First Tee: Thursday, June 1
Defending Champion: Billy Horschel
2023 Memorial Tournament: Key Stats
Strokes Gained: Approach
Par 4s 450-500 Yards Gained
Sand Saves Gained
Proximity Gained 175-200 Yards
Mayo’s Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com
Course
Course: Muirfield Village
Par: 72
Yardage: 7,543
Greens: Bentgrass
Number of Sand Bunkers: 68
Holes With Water is in Play: 13
Par 3s (4): Average distance – 198 yards
Three of the four Par 3s check in at 200+ yards, but it is the exception (180 yards) that had the highest bogey-or-worse rate of the bunch (26.3%)
Par 4s (10): Average distance – 447 yards
Three of the four toughest holes on the course are back-nine Par 4s (Holes 10-17-18)
Three of the four easiest Par 4s come on the front nine and carry a birdie rate over 17%
Par 5s (4): Average distance – 570 yards
These are the four easiest holes on the course, all checking in with an eagle rate north of 1% and a birdie rate over 30%
Past Winners
2022: Billy Horschel -13
2021: Patrick Cantlay -13* (Jon Rahm forced to WD after three rounds as leader)
2020: Jon Rahm -9
2019: Patrick Cantlay -19
2018: Bryson DeChambeau -15
2017: Jason Dufner -13
2016: William McGirt -15
2015: David Lingmerth -14
2014: Hideki Matsuyama -13
2013: Matt Kuchar -12
2022: Billy Horschel (-13, four clear of Aaron Wise)
Horschel’s 65 on Moving Day was not only two clear of anybody on the course that day, but it was also four-plus strokes better than the next three finishers on the final leaderboard
Ten of the Top 12 finishers gained in Proximity from 200+ yards (five of the top eight in that metric finished top 10)
2021: Patrick Cantlay (-13, playoff win over Collin Morikawa)
Cantlay was better than Morikawa in just one of four days, but he made it count with a Friday 67. In Rounds 2-3, he totaled 11 birdies and just two bogeys (both coming on Par 3s)
The majority of those who ended up inside the Top 15 lost distance on the field (Cantlay gained 3.0 more Good Drives than anyone else in the field)
Jon Rahm was destroying the field but tested positive for COVID walking off the 18th green after the third round.
2020: Jon Rahm (-9, three clear of Ryan Palmer)
Rahm was able to coast to victory with a Sunday 75 thanks to being the only player to be in the 60s in each of the first three rounds.
Mid-range putting … eight of the top nine finishers gained on the field in putting from 10-15 feet (Rahm and Palmer were 1-2 on the final leaderboard despite losing on the field in putting from both 15-20 and 20-25 feet)
2019: Patrick Cantlay (-19, two clear of Adam Scott)
His 64 on Sunday was the round of the day (four better than Scott and eight better than third-place finisher Martin Kaymer)
Three of the top five finishers lost strokes off the tee.
Three of the top five finishers were among the five best in SG:APP
2018: Bryson DeChambeau (-15, playoff win over Byeong-Hun An/Kyle Stanley)
DeChambeau’s 66 on Saturday proved critical (three better than An and four better than Stanley)
The only two players to cash top 20 paychecks were the top two putters for the week. Gain in the traditional sense with the irons or run hot with the flat stick.
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Then, bright and early tomorrow, CUST CORNER 42!!!!!!
Golf Trip!!!
Our yearly trip to Cabot was two people short after forest fires forced two of our crew out of their homes in evacuation. (They, and their houses are fine btw). So… it was just me and Cust. And we had a blast.
We’re pretty fortunate to have two world class course within 4 hours of your front doors, but if you ever get a chance to make the trek to Cape Breton you won’t be disappointed. Hit me up too as I know a few people with Air BNBs next to the course.
Anyway, he’s the view of 15/16/17/18 at Cabot Cliffs. I haven’t played many world class courses in my life, but I do think you’d be hard pressed to find a more scenic closing stretch to a course.
No. 15 | 538 Yard Par 5 downhill towards the ocean
No. 16 | 150 Yard Par 3 over the cliff
No. 17 | 277 Yard Par 4 up the cliff and down it. Completely blind shot (This hole is very scenic but kinda goofy tbh)
No 18 | 509 Yard Par 5 back to the clubhouse with cliffs on the right. The sand down there is well-known as Pro-V Beach
Also, on this 114 Yard Par 3, Cust made an 8.