CJ CUP CHEATSHEET: Bets, Weather, DraftKings Notes + NFL SHOW!!!
QUICK PICKS
NOTE: Will Zalatoris & Gary Woodland withdrew Wednesday afternoon
PGA
Ben An +3000
Jaeger +3700
Knapp +6600
Kevin Yu +7000 (With 8 Places)
Tosti +10000 (With 8 Places)
Valimaki +10000 (With 8 Places)
Salinda +125000
LIV KOREA
Brooks +2400
Burmester +2800
HOT LINKS
Shedeur Sanders Slide, Bill Belichick Interview, NFL Draft Review, 100 Men vs Gorilla, Prank Calls
DraftKings Picks & Lineups | Final Bets, Weather, One & Done Picks
Picks & Bets, One & Done + Bryson Blows It
2025 RBC Heritage Picks, Research, Trends, Sleepers, Course Preview
PICKS
Ben An — I understand getting past -20 requires making a few putts and I’m picking the player least likely to make any of those. But here I am. A sucker. An has as rediscovered his elite T2G game have early season struggles, and maybe getting to tackle an easy course (and one with a lot of hole outs) is exactly what he needs to push him over the top.
Stephan Jaeger — Jaeger’s been excellent at the comp courses and enters the Dallas outskirts gaining an average of +3.4 SG:APP over his past five tournaments. Then driver is always the issues, but as long as the rough doesn’t get too nasty, he can rip it wherever at Craig Ranch and get away with it.
Jake Knapp —Knapp’s been shockingly good on the greens this season, the approach play has been terrific, and any course which is full go driver is always a plus for him. Knapp was the only player in the Top 30 a year ago to fire a Sunday round outside the 60s (70) and he still managed a T8 playing the final group.
Kevin Yu — Basically, he’s discount Ben An. Yu’s gained over six strokes T2G in two of his past three (The bad outing being his debut at Augusta), and he never makes any putts. In fact, he’s dropped on the greens in eight of nine starts. But it only takes only one outlier week with he flat stick to vault to the top of the leaderboard, though. He already did it in the swing season at Sanderson Farms when he +8.7 SG:PUTT en route to a win.
Alejandro Tosti — You have to understand the deal you’re making when you invest any money on Tosti: The missed short putts are the reason you’re getting him at triple digits. But he’s inching awfully close to a win. Two top 10s with another T12 in his past three starts at a course where he can surely take advantage of his length off the tee. Tosti missed the cut in his first try at Craig Ranch a year ago yet still gained +6.6 T2G in those two rounds. He just happened to lose 6.2 on the greens. With the may he’s ball striking at the moment, he doesn’t need to gain a ton to contend or even win, just a few should suffice.
Sami Valimaki — There straight Top 20s for the Wacky Finn and now gets a course which is perfectly suited to mitigate his struggles off the tee at tighter courses. Valimaki’s second in this field in approach over the past 24 rounds and has gained with his putter in right of his past nine starts.
Isaiah Salinda — Mexico, Farmers, Houston, and the Bunny Ranch: These four courses require the same skills but on varying degrees of difficultly. Salinda consistently gains massive amounts off the tee and has his two career best finishes at Mexico and Houston earlier this year. I wanted use him with placements but that market crashes, so it’s win only at 125.
My good friends at Coolbet boost this Top 20 parlay up a bit. There’s an exclusive boost of An up to +3000 there under PME Speicals too.
PME LIVE TICKETS
Get your tickets to PME CUST CORNER LIVE in Toronto on June 7th. We’ll be doing a meet and greet with everyone after the show as well. Going to be a great time. When are you ever going to get another chance to have a beer with Cam? Or smoke outside with Cust?
GET YOUR PME LIVE JUNE 7th TICKETS NOW
WEATHER
The forecast keeps jumping around for Friday. As of this writing, rain has popped up in the AM where there was none before and it is accompanied by some large wind gusts. About five hours ago, there was no Friday rain in the forecast and massive gusts all day long. If this forecast holds, I’m guessing there’s little to no golf played Friday morning, and lift-clean-and-replace will be in effect when play resumes. If there rain doesn’t materialize the PM/AM appears to get the worst of it.
When the forecast features more variables than normal, you know the drill, stack up both sides of the draw and hope to get lucky. I played 100 lineups this week: 10 mixed, 50 PM/AM and 40 AM/PM. If you keep checking back the closer to lock you may be able to get a better grasp on the weather and push all-in to one side, but since I’m old now, I’ll just set and forget.
WIND TOWER: McKinney Texas
One thing we do know is the amount of rain that poured Wednesday at Craig Ranch, almost 2”. This means soggier than normal conditions for Round 1, and lift-clean-and-replace may be activated for Thursday as well, but with almost no wind. I played a hunch on this on Underdog and targeted three separate stats since I expect birdies to be flowing, with an extra emphasis of keeping the ball in the short grass to wipe it off.
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DRAFTKINGS
Per usual, Tambo and I talked through different builds on the Wednesday LIVE show on MMN.
CJ CUP DraftKings Picks & Lineups
With Scottie potentially breaching 50% in large field GPPs we investigated how to make your lineups unique if you want to go overweight with him as an anchor. We looked at some balanced builds before doing some wave stacks. Frankly, doing Scheffler with his PM/AM wave was the easiest way to avoid chalk in those lineups, so it worked out pretty well in that sense.
Here are the jabronis I’m using at the bottom of the AM/PM wave lineups. Since Ben An is most expensive player from the AM/PM wave, these lineups tended to be more balanced, so while these players are sprinkled in some of the 40 lineups, the bottom three didn’t end up in more than 7.5% of my lineups from that wave.
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Here is the bottom tier for me in the PM/AM
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Thursday, Kentucky Derby Preview with Cam and Rasa. The line has been set at 3.5 Cam horse noises.