CANADIAN OPEN CHEATSHEET: Bets, Weather, Underdog, DraftKings Notes
US Open Notes & Early Research Link
QUICK BETS
MacIntyre +3300
Pendrith +3300
Clanton +5000
BOMBS
Castillo +11000 (8 Places)
Rozner +15000 (8 Places)
Tosti +15000 (8 Places)
Champ +30000 (8 Places)
LIV VIRGINIA
Ancer +6600
CH3 +6600
HOT LINKS
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2025 Canadian Open Golf Picks, Research, Sleepers, Course Preview
CUST EATS Vol. 1
PICKS
Taylor Pendrith +3300 — The Canadian is such an obvious pick that he’ll probably end up missing the cut. Pendrith has likely played this course more than anyone in the field and enters with B2B weeks of almost 10 SG:T2G performances against stacked fields at the PGA Championship and Memorial. He was actually the only player who bested Scottie in approach play last week.
Robert MacIntyre +3300 — The defending champ, albeit at a different course, has started to see an uptick in his ball striking as of late and the putter has warmed up with the weather. I worry that is is just a bombers track and Bobert doesn’t have enough distance to make everything easier on himself, but he’s become Mr. National Open and has the game trending properly.
Luke Clanton +5000 — Didn’t expect to be here with I AM CLAN-TON in his pro debut, but I couldn’t help the drift. On 365 he’s down to 50/1, and as of now they’re offering a 50% boost, so you can actually get him up to 75/1 if you like. He’s sniffed contention a few times already in his career and actually sets up quite well at a bombers track.
Ricky Castillo +11000 — In case Rory just crushes everyone, it’s nice to have a few long shots who can make the week with a high finish. Castillo possesses plus distance, elite short term iron play, quality chipping, and a sweet shell necklace. This course has the potential to play a lot like TPC Criag Ranch, a spot where Castillo finished T5 less than a month ago.
Tosti & Rozner +15000 —Tosti mashes it and no player has been better from 175+ with his irons than Rozner over the past two months. Problem is, they both love missing 3 foot putts. What I presuppose is: What if one of them doesn’t this week?
Cameron Champ +30000 — He bombes. Sometimes he putts better than anyone. And he’s currently smacking his long irons about as well as any other time in his career. I’m in at these odds, especially with the placements.
WEATHER
The weekend wind has died down from early Wednesday projections, but knowing the area, it can reappear at any point. So bookmark the page to check back in mid-Friday to glance at the weekend for showdown and live betting. More so, once you get a better sense of how the course is going to play. For example, on Tuesday, Wednesday winds were projected to be around 8mph. There ended up being gusts up to 45mph on the grounds.
WIND TOWER: Caledon
UNDERDOG
Alex shared his main Underdog strategy on the Wednesday show and I attempted to put that into practice for this week.
TAIL THIS ENTRY (or fade) & Use code “MAYO” at underdog for a FREE PICK and deposit bonus up to $1000
DRAFTKINGS
It’s looking like a lazy week in advance of a Major. Basically everyone is on the same guys. If you have an alternate path to success this is the week to follow it.
2025 US OPEN
US OPEN EARLY SCHEDULE
Thursday: Research Show
Friday: Interview with Andrew Novak
Saturday: Hole By Hole Playthrough
But if you wanna check out the research show NOWWWWW (it features Novak, Keith Stewart & Alex Blickle), I got you with a secret link
WATCH: US Open Golf Picks, Research, Sleepers, Course Preview, Stat Rankings
US OPEN QUICK NOTES
Field: 156 Players
Cut: Top 60 and Ties after 36 Holes
First Tee: June 12, 2025
Defending Champion: Bryson DeChambeau
Course: Oakmont CC
Par: 70
Yardage: 7,372
Greens: Poa
Avg. Green Size: 8,300 sq. Ft.
Bunkers: 210
Water Hazards: Zero (But has drainage ditches which likely don’t have water in them)
No club in America has hosted more U.S. Open Championships than Oakmont. This will be the club's 10th.
Oakmont's famed Church Pew bunker lies between the third and fourth fairways. It is 100 yards long and 40 yards wide, and features 12 grass-covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.
2021 US Am was at Oakmont
Jacob Bridgeman & Ricky Castillo made the round of 16.
Joe Highsmith, Ryan Gerard made round of 32
Bridgeman was T7 after stroke play -4
Highsmith was T9 after stroke play -3
COURSE
Par 3's (4): Average distance - 227 yards
- The longest Par 3 (289 yards, #8) is only 23 yards shorter than the Par 4 #17
- Dustin Johnson (2016): Par'd his final seven Par 3's of the week
Par 4's (12): Average distance - 436 yards
- Both 9's start (488 yards and 461 yards) and end with a long Par 4 (472 and 502 )
- Dustin Johnson (2016): Played the front-9 Par 4's at even par for the week
Par 5's (2): Average distance - 622 yards
- Both Par 5's are on the front half of each respective nine -- this tournament isn't getting a dramatic Par 5 score late, something to consider for live bettors on Sunday.
- Dustin Johnson (2016): 7 par's and a Saturday birdie on his Par 5 card during the win
Additional Course Notes
The turn could be a leverage spot over the weekend -- Holes 9 and 10 have a cumulative double-or-worse rate that is greater than their collective under-par rate.
Holes 13-14-17 are three of the four most birdied holes on the course, all over 16% ... if you like the form of a chaser, we could see a streak put together and a lead get into the clubhouse (especially if there are weather concerns).
In 2016, the DraftKings scoring didn't match super cleanly with finishing position. Jason Day and Zach Johnson both tied for 8th on the final leaderboard, but Day scored 21.7% more DK points.