Sorry for the email double SPAM, however I felt you needed to know, in case you didn’t see…
BREAKING NEWS 6:41pm ET
GET LOUIS OUTTTTT OF YOUR LINEUPS!!!!!!!! Ive updated my One and Done to Russell Henley.
Wyndham Final Picks
It’s the final week of the PGA Tour regular and there are a few notable names currently on the right side of the bubble for the Playoffs include Gary Woodland, Matt Kuchar, and Adam Scott, with Richard Fowler, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose, and Francesco Molinari all on the outside looking in right now. Also Will Zalatoris is trying to earn himself a spot in the Playoffs with a win, because despite the fact that he is 29th in the OWGR, he is not a full member of the PGA Tour yet. I know rules are rules and everything, but this is golf, the official pass time of corporate sleezebags (and good people like you, of course). You’d think with his dad owning a bunch of banks he would have greased the right wheels and got the rules changed.
There’s so much I don’t know about being wealthy.
Motivation will probably be the narrative of the week, which might matter on DraftKings, but in terms of bets, treat this like you would any other birdie fest. Your last five champions have all been at -21 or -22, and the names of recent winners is quite the eclectic group - Jim Herman, JT Poston, Brandt Snedeker, Henrik Stenson, Si WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Kim, and Davis Love. Length doesn’t seem to be a requirement here, but beyond that, not much the past winners can tell us about where we might find a winner.
Lots of bets, but not really a lot of money at stake, so I fully expect to take advantage of the Fantasy National LIVE Leaderboard (20% Discount HERE) and fire at something if it presents itself Friday or Saturday morning. Both Poston and Herman had their SG Ball Striking number jumping off the charts in their wins and just weren’t putting. It eventually flipped. Imagine.
SOFT NFL PRESEASON MARKETS
I never jump into NFL Preseason, but after hearing from the sharpest people I know that it’s the most beatable market in both betting and especially DFS, I’ve jumped in this year. I had Cody Main from ETR on Fantasy Football Picks and Bets last week and he delivered straight WINNERS on all accounts.
Essentially, it all about playing time projections. That’s the key to the DraftKings slate. It’s also the key to the most profitable part of NFL Preseason, player props. Now, most sportsbooks know this so they don’t offer lines on it. But Prize Picks has fucking DOZENS of them, some of them are close to FREE MONEY once you get a beat on the playing time for these teams.
Use this link to sign up and they’ll match your deposit up to $100. Or just use code “MMN” at sign up. Also, I think I’m going to run two different NFL prop contests with them. Like the SUPER CONTEST, but with player props, essentially. So you’re best to deposit now before that gets announced as they may take away the deposit match offer when that comes out. You may be able to buy into both contests for the price of one if you do it NOWWWWW. Not sure if they’d do that, but I know I would if I was them, so why tempt fade on the FREE MONEY???
And maybe you’ll just win some cash in the Fantasy Football Picks & Bets giveaway. As a reminder: The giveaway pool is up to $1000 at the moment, 31 more reviews bumps it up to $1500.
Here’s what to do.
2. RATE 5 STAR
3. Leave a short review
4. Put your Twitter Handle or Email in the review.
Winners announced next week.
Cody was so good on the preseason projections, we have the Thursday Prize Picks and DraftKings Picks OUT NOW on the FFP&B feed, then another show for the Friday and Weekend slate coming out Thursday night. So, now’s a good time to get in on that show.
In case you don’t feel like watching, here are the Prize Picks for Thursday. You probably want to tune in to get those ever-so-valuable NFL DraftKings Picks for the juicy slate on Thursday however. Plus, Pete Overzet is on too. Pete rules.
After winning last week, I feel emboldened with my Golf Prize Picks, so here’s what I’m rocking at the Wyndham…
A quick 5x to bet again an ANDERCURSED Rose and out of form Scott? LET’S GOOO!!!!!!! (I suppose Henley needs to show up, but I have faith he will). Frankly, I’m saving the real $$$$ to go in on the NFL.
Here’s where to sub to Fantasy Football Picks & Bets on all platforms:
Run The Sims is dropping the full Tools publicly on August 15th, that includes the customizable game simulations (which you run 10000 times of you want, and adjust the controls), DFS optimizer (also customizable), but it’s this betting tool I’m most FIRED UP about.
You pick a player, enter their prop (whichever one you want), then set the juice on each side of the over/under, like this
And the system will chart the change of outcomes, the distribution, weight the juice on each side of the bet and give you info on what the simulation results dicate is a good bet or not.
There are no Week 1 over/unders yet, so this is just a guess on Dalvin Cook’s prop total, but we’re very excited about this tool and the edge it can deliver.
All Season-Long Fantasy Tools, like the custom projections, will be FREE all year long, but if you’re into DFS or Betting, Run The Sims has the perfect research tools to advance your game on both. This link will get you a discount. Prices are going up soon, so get it now and still grab the discount off the current price.
Here’s what to expect.
It might get a little bit wet on the weekend, but as of now looks like another boring week weather wise in Greensboro. Thursday appears like it being played in a weather controlled Bio Dome. Expect some scoring.
Check back here closer to lock if you want to see if it might change.
Wyndham DK Ownership
The motivation narrative will be all the rage this week, but just because a golfer needs the points, doesn’t mean they’ll be able to go out and shoot four straight 66s to get them. If they were able to do that on command, they probably wouldn’t be languishing around the 125th place cut off in FedEx Cup points. Fleetwood, Fowler, and Zalatoris will be the three names that are even more popular than they always are, given the combination of narrative, name recognition, and lack of other particularly compelling options. That doesn’t seem to be translating into ownership however. At least from what I can see. NOTE: I’ve been known to be wrong about these things.
My guesses for who will be the highest owned guys this week (BEFORE WD)
Now that Louis is OUT, I have no clue how these are gonna shake out. Expect Webb to vault up even more since everyone with Louis can take the easy way out and just pivot to him using GLOBAL SWAP since he’s $100 cheaper. I know this, because that’s what I did. I also, grabbed some shares of Will Z for Louis and left a a couple hundred bucks on the table. I’d imagine Webb pushes 40% now in most contests.
Beyond the Picks & Bets show, I’ve been hammering NFL on the PME as well. I had Leone on the show Tuesday to go over the Wide Receiver tiers and make some bets. It’s always good to do a show with Mike again, he’s so reasonable and measured against my regular guests.
Top 150 Rankings List: https://bit.ly/21Top150
Top 150 Debate 1-50
Top 150 Debate 50-100
RB Rankings Tiers
QB Rankings Tiers
We’ll have AFC and NFC win totals soon enough as well, so get excited for that. Cust has some takes this year, and the Curse is alive and well after he started to victory lap China getting more golds at the Olympics than the US, before a furious last night comeback saw the yanks get the top billing. (It is truly impressive how many of his “markers” get right to the line before failing.)
Speaking of CUST, CUST CORNER 34 drops TOMORROW on all PME Feeds. But you can get the video version HERE RIGHT NOW!!!!
The UFC is on bye this week, but Cody IS NOT!!!!! He has a full breakdown of the Bellator card dropping on the Dog or Pass Podcast feed Wednesday night if you care about that sort of thing.
Anyway I’m back to my vacation. Have a good and profitable week!